NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3UTA

UTA

17-16-3

DET

19-13-3

NHLWed, Dec 17FinalSeriesUTA leads series 1-0VegasDET -120

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth went into Detroit Red Wings and beat them, 4–1.

UTA +1.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

Clayton Keller

RW · #9

2Points

—

SOG

DET · top performer

Emmitt Finnie

C · #58

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
D. ButLW · #19	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	13:29
M. CarconeLW · #53	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	13:44
L. CrouseLW · #67	0	0	1	0	4	0	2	17:51
D. GuentherRW · #11	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	17:03
B. HaytonC · #27	0	0	1	2	1	1	4	15:46
C. KellerRW · #9	1	1	2	3	0	1	2	16:43
J. McBainC · #22	1	0	1	2	4	1	0	14:45
L. O'BrienC · #38	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	9:49
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	13:52
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	1	2	2	0	1	0	20:08
K. StenlundC · #82	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	16:04
K. YamamotoRW · #56	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	9:48

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
I. ColeD · #28	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	19:01
N. DeSimoneD · #57	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	12:47
S. DurziD · #50	0	1	2	5	0	1	0	18:10
J. MarinoD · #6	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	21:29
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	19:19
M. SergachevD · #98	0	1	2	0	1	4	0	22:32

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
K. VejmelkaG · #70	28	1	27	.964	59:57

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J.T. CompherLW · #37	0	0	-1	0	0	0	2	13:23
A. CoppC · #18	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	17:25
N. DanielsonC · #29	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	11:38
A. DeBrincatRW · #93	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	18:44
E. FinnieC · #58	1	0	-2	3	1	0	0	16:22
M. KasperC · #92	0	0	-2	3	1	0	0	11:15
D. LarkinC · #71	0	0	-2	2	1	0	0	21:58
J. LeonardLW · #43	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	12:08
M. RasmussenC · #27	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	12:05
L. RaymondLW · #23	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	19:05
E. SoderblomLW · #85	0	0	-1	0	1	0	2	10:19
J. van RiemsdykLW · #21	0	0	-1	6	0	1	0	15:01

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. Bernard-DockerD · #25	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	14:40
B. ChiarotD · #8	0	0	-1	1	2	1	0	21:59
S. EdvinssonD · #77	0	0	-2	1	1	2	2	19:59
A. JohanssonD · #20	0	0	-1	0	0	3	0	15:03
A. Sandin-PellikkaD · #44	0	0	-1	3	1	2	0	17:15
M. SeiderD · #53	0	0	-2	2	2	3	2	23:41

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
C. TalbotG · #39	28	4	24	.857	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

UTA leads series 1-0

Dec 18

UTA4@

DET1today

Feb 5

DET1@

UTA4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTA+10050%

DET-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat DET 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
UTA	0	2	2	4
DET	0	0	1	1

Period scoring

UTA won 2 · DET won 0

UTA

DET

Play-by-play · 284 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·19:58
Michael Carcone shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·19:58
Giveaway by Nate Danielson
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·19:53
Daniil But Backhand saved by Cam Talbot
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·19:51
Giveaway by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·19:37
Jack McBain hit Simon Edvinsson
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·19:37
Sean Durzi shot blocked by Moritz Seider
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·19:11
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Albert Johansson
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·18:42
Clayton Keller faceoff won against J.T. Compher
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·18:42
Puck in Benches
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·18:15
Barrett Hayton Tip-In saved by Cam Talbot
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·17:07
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·17:07
Goalie Stopped
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·17:05
Sean Durzi Wrist Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·17:03
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against J.T. Compher
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·17:03
Icing
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·16:43
James van Riemsdyk Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·16:23
J.T. Compher faceoff won against Jack McBain
·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·16:23
Kevin Stenlund Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Clayton Keller (19), Mikhail Sergachev (19)
· ·
UTA 4·DET 1
3rd·16:14
Clayton Keller Snap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
UTA 3·DET 1
3rd·15:52
Nate Danielson faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund
·
UTA 3·DET 1
3rd·15:52
Dylan Guenther Goal (16) Snap Shot, assists: none
UTA 3·DET 1
3rd·15:49
Barrett Hayton Snap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
UTA 2·DET 1
3rd·15:44
Giveaway by Barrett Hayton
UTA 2·DET 1
3rd·15:26
Dylan Guenther Snap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
UTA 2·DET 1
3rd·14:57
Jack McBain hit Simon Edvinsson
·
UTA 2·DET 1
3rd·14:56
Simon Edvinsson Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
UTA 2·DET 1
3rd·14:31
Lawson Crouse hit Axel Sandin-Pellikka
·
UTA 2·DET 1
3rd·14:25
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
·
UTA 2·DET 1

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

DET

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 5.5·UTA +100/DET -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 11 skaters with EDGE

Moritz SeiderDET · D
DIST MI299.899
Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
DIST MI252.196
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
BURSTS19394
Dylan LarkinDET · C
DIST MI243.094
J.T. CompherDET · LW
BURSTS15888

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

56.3%

ensemble · DET favored

Elo Static
59.3%
P(DET win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
59.3%
P(DET win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
59.3%
P(DET win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-120

Close price

-120

Open no-vig

52.2%

Close no-vig

52.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss