2025 season
Model verdict
The verdict · SP+ rating
#135 of 136
SP+ rating -27.8 · 0.7 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)
Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
SP+ components
Offense
+15.3
Higher = better
Defense
+41.8
Lower = better
Special teams
-1.3
Net field-goal + return value
Schedule strength · opponent SP+
Avg opp SP+
-4.9
Avg opp rank
#88
Ranked faced
1
vs ranked
0-1
Mean SP+ of the 8 rated opponents (of 12 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.
Conference USA
Model picks on SHSU
Below the 30-pick gate (n=0)