2025 season
Model verdict
The verdict · SP+ rating
#134 of 136
SP+ rating -26.7 · 1.5 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)
Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
SP+ components
Offense
+14.5
Higher = better
Defense
+39.8
Lower = better
Special teams
-1.4
Net field-goal + return value
Schedule strength · opponent SP+
Avg opp SP+
+2.8
Avg opp rank
#62
Ranked faced
2
vs ranked
0-2
Mean SP+ of the 11 rated opponents (of 12 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.
American Athletic
Model picks on CLT
Below the 30-pick gate (n=0)