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THE ONE Analytics
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USC

2025 season

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · SP+ rating

#16 of 136

SP+ rating 16.9 · 88.9 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)

Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

SP+ components

Offense, defense, special teams

Offense

+38.9

Higher = better

Defense

+21.0

Lower = better

Special teams

-1.0

Net field-goal + return value

Big Ten

The conference, sorted by SP+

  1. 1Indiana#1+32.4
  2. 2Ohio State#2+30.1
  3. 3Oregon#4+25.9
  4. 4Iowa#12+19.7
  5. 5Washington#13+18.4
  6. 6Penn State#15+18.1
  7. 7USC#16+16.9
  8. 8Illinois#24+12.9
  9. 9Michigan#25+12.4
  10. 10Nebraska#46+6.2
  11. 11Northwestern#51+5.8
  12. 12Minnesota#70+1.5
  13. 13Rutgers#72+1.0
  14. 14Maryland#75+0.6
  15. 15Michigan State#82-3.4
  16. 16Wisconsin#85-4.4
  17. 17Purdue#90-6.1
  18. 18UCLA#99-8.7
← All CFB SP+ ratings

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MLBTop 2
SF 1@ATL 2
+17.8ppmedium
MLBTop 2
CLE 0@MIL 0
-4.1pphigh
MLBBot 1
SD 0@STL 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBTop 4
TOR 1@BOS 0
-28.6pphigh
MLBTop 5
KC 0@WSH 2
+38.7pplow
MLBBot 3
CHW 1@NYY 3
+32.6pplow
MLBTop 3
NYM 1@CIN 4
+44.5pplow
MLBTop 5
MIA 0@PHI 8
+43.3pplow
WNBA1:03 - 2nd
TOR 45@IND 51
+6.6pphigh
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
MLBTop 2
SF 1@ATL 2
+17.8ppmedium
MLBTop 2
CLE 0@MIL 0
-4.1pphigh
MLBBot 1
SD 0@STL 0
+2.2ppmedium
MLBTop 4
TOR 1@BOS 0
-28.6pphigh
MLBTop 5
KC 0@WSH 2
+38.7pplow
MLBBot 3
CHW 1@NYY 3
+32.6pplow
MLBTop 3
NYM 1@CIN 4
+44.5pplow
MLBTop 5
MIA 0@PHI 8
+43.3pplow
WNBA1:03 - 2nd
TOR 45@IND 51
+6.6pphigh
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Keith (DET): 3 H · 3 HR · 6 RBI in a win over HOU — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBD. May (STL): 9.0 IP · 9 K in a win over SD — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBE. Suarez (CIN): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over NYM — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Placed RHP Brad Keller on the 15-day IL, retroactive to June 14 (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Designated 3B Santiago Espinal for assignment (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBCubs: Placed RHP Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL (Jun 16)

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

64%Last 7 · 62-35
61%Last 30 · 299-189
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Model picks on USC

Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)