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Big Ten

Michigan State

2025 season

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · SP+ rating

#82 of 136

SP+ rating -3.4 · 40 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)

Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Model picks on MSU

Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)

SP+ components

Offense

+26.6

Higher = better

Defense

+28.7

Lower = better

Special teams

-1.3

Net field-goal + return value

Schedule strength · opponent SP+

Avg opp SP+

+9.1

Avg opp rank

#46

Ranked faced

vs ranked

0-5

Mean SP+ of the 10 rated opponents (of 12 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.

Big Ten