2025 season
Model verdict
The verdict · SP+ rating
#22 of 136
SP+ rating 13.8 · 84.4 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)
Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
SP+ components
Offense
+43.1
Higher = better
Defense
+28.6
Lower = better
Special teams
-0.7
Net field-goal + return value
Schedule strength · opponent SP+
Avg opp SP+
-3.0
Avg opp rank
#79
Ranked faced
0
vs ranked
—
Mean SP+ of the 12 rated opponents (of 14 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.
American Athletic
Model picks on UNT
Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)