UTAH
21-54
PHX
41-33
Recap · NBA
hoenix Suns held off Utah Jazz, 134–109. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
PHX -17.5 cashed (won by 25). Total cleared the 232.5 OVER by 10.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
UTAH · top performer
Kyle Filipowski
F · #22
26
Pts
9
Reb
3
Ast
PHX · top performer
Devin Booker
G · #1
26
Pts
3
Reb
8
Ast
NBA · Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 29 | 26 | 10-14 | 2-2 | 4-4 | -12 | 9 | 3 | |
| 29 | 0 | 0-9 | 0-2 | — | -31 | 2 | 2 | |
| 33 | 26 | 11-21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | -25 | 2 | 2 | |
| 27 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | -24 | 5 | 5 | |
| 34 | 13 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | -19 | 6 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 16 | 7 | 3-6 | — | 1-4 | -9 | 7 | 1 | |
| 9 | 14 | 5-7 | 4-5 | — | +13 | 2 | 1 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | — | -24 | 3 | 5 | |
| 24 | 11 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | -2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 17 | 5 | 2-2 | — | 1-2 | +8 | 3 | 1 | |
| Team | 109 | 43-92 | 10-23 | 13-19 | 42 | 30 | ||
| DNP: K. Love, I. Collier | ||||||||
DNP: K. Love, I. Collier
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 22 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-6 | — | +15 | 3 | 2 | |
| 28 | 13 | 6-6 | — | 1-4 | +19 | 8 | 2 | |
| 27 | 26 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 9-10 | +21 | 3 | 8 | |
| 27 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-8 | — | +15 | 3 | 7 | |
| 22 | 31 | 13-22 | 5-11 | — | +9 | 6 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 20 | 9 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | +5 | 8 | 2 | |
| 18 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-4 | — | +14 | 6 | 0 | |
| 20 | 12 | 5-7 | — | 2-4 | +6 | 9 | 0 | |
| 21 | 19 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 1-1 | +14 | 3 | 3 | |
| 23 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-3 | — | +13 | 9 | 1 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -3 | 2 | 0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | — | -3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team | 134 | 52-104 | 17-53 | 13-21 | 60 | 29 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
47
FG %
50
30
Ast
29
Season series
PHX wins series 2-1
PHX134@UTAH138UTAH96@PHX118UTAH109@PHX134todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PHX -17.5
Between 10 and —
Total
232.5
Standard · +6.5 vs avg
Moneyline
UTAH+95010%PHX-165094%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
17.5
0.0 since open
Total
232.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
UTAHK. Filipowski
FGame leader · 29 min
26 PTS · 9 REB · 3 AST
PHXD. Booker
GGame leader · 27 min
26 PTS · 3 REB · 8 AST
How it ended
PHX beat UTAH 134-109. D. Booker paced them with 26 PTS, 3 REB, 8 AST. PHX outscored the other side 39-21 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
PHX vs UTAH
Starters vs bench
production by unitUTAHstarters 63% of ptsStarters(5)
69 PTS · 24 REB · 14 AST
GS 46
Bench(5)
40 PTS · 18 REB · 16 AST
GS 41
PHXstarters 57% of ptsStarters(5)
76 PTS · 23 REB · 22 AST
GS 67
Bench(7)
58 PTS · 37 REB · 7 AST
GS 52
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 21 | 24 | 38 | 26 | 109 |
| PHX | 39 | 34 | 35 | 26 | 134 |
Period scoring
UTAH won 1 · PHX won 2
Q1
Sensabaugh 9
Green 11
Q2
Sensabaugh 10
Green 9
Q3
Bailey 10
Maluach 26
Q4
Chandler 7
Williams 12
Shooting comparison
47%
43-92
FG
50%
52-104
43%
10-23
3PT
32%
17-53
68%
13-19
FT
62%
13-21
Play-by-play · 485 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
UTAH 109·PHX 134
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
UTAH 109·PHX 134
- Q4·21.7
shot clock turnover
UTAH 109·PHX 134
- Q4·46.2
Oscar Tshiebwe makes 11-foot floating jump shot (Kennedy Chandler assists)
·
UTAH 109·PHX 134
- Q4·52.9
Ryan Dunn out of bounds lost ball turnover
UTAH 107·PHX 134
- Q4·52.9
Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
UTAH 107·PHX 134
- Q4·55.2
Brice Sensabaugh misses driving layup
UTAH 107·PHX 134
- Q4·1:03
Khaman Maluach kicked ball violation
UTAH 107·PHX 134
- Q4·1:09
Jazz defensive team rebound
UTAH 107·PHX 134
- Q4·1:12
Rasheer Fleming misses 23-foot three point jumper
UTAH 107·PHX 134
- Q4·1:36
Jamaree Bouyea defensive goaltending violation
UTAH 107·PHX 134
- Q4·1:36
Kennedy Chandler makes free throw 1 of 1
UTAH 107·PHX 134
- Q4·1:36
Koby Brea shooting foul
UTAH 106·PHX 134
- Q4·1:36
Kennedy Chandler makes running layup (Oscar Tshiebwe assists)
·
UTAH 106·PHX 134
- Q4·1:38
Ryan Dunn lost ball turnover (Oscar Tshiebwe steals)
·
UTAH 104·PHX 134
- Q4·1:50
Ryan Dunn offensive rebound
UTAH 104·PHX 134
- Q4·1:52
Khaman Maluach misses free throw 2 of 2
UTAH 104·PHX 134
- Q4·1:52
Khaman Maluach makes free throw 1 of 2
UTAH 104·PHX 134
- Q4·1:52
Oscar Tshiebwe shooting foul
UTAH 104·PHX 133
- Q4·1:52
Khaman Maluach offensive rebound
UTAH 104·PHX 133
- Q4·1:54
Rasheer Fleming misses 13-foot two point shot
UTAH 104·PHX 133
- Q4·2:13
Rasheer Fleming defensive rebound
UTAH 104·PHX 133
- Q4·2:15
Rasheer Fleming blocks Kennedy Chandler 's 19-foot step back jumpshot
·
UTAH 104·PHX 133
- Q4·2:28
Jazz defensive team rebound
UTAH 104·PHX 133
- Q4·2:30
Koby Brea misses 28-foot three point jumper
UTAH 104·PHX 133
- Q4·2:44
Brice Sensabaugh makes free throw 1 of 1
UTAH 104·PHX 133
- Q4·2:44
Rasheer Fleming shooting foul
UTAH 103·PHX 133
- Q4·2:44
Brice Sensabaugh makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot (Elijah Harkless assists)
·
UTAH 103·PHX 133
- Q4·2:51
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
UTAH 101·PHX 133
- Q4·2:53
Ryan Dunn misses 12-foot two point shot
UTAH 101·PHX 133
Team stats
UTAH
Away
Stat
PHX
Home
43-92
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
52-104
47
FG %
50
10-23
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
17-53
13-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
13-21
30
Assists
29
14
Turnovers
12
Betting line
PHX -17.5·O/U 232.5·UTAH +950/PHX -1650
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 8 players in cohort
Jalen GreenPHX · GUSG%31.798- Devin BookerPHX · GUSG%31.397
Oso IghodaroPHX · FCONT792
Collin GillespiePHX · GTOUCHES59.383
Royce O'NealePHX · FCONT4.874
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · UTAH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
PHX vs UTAH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
175
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Devin BookerPHX24.6± 6.2high
- Lauri MarkkanenUTAH24.2± 5.0high
- Keyonte GeorgeUTAH21.4± 8.8high
Rebounds
- Jusuf NurkicUTAH11.4± 4.1high
- Walker KesslerUTAH10.7± 2.2low
- Oscar TshiebweUTAH8.5± 5.5high
Assists
- Isaiah CollierUTAH6.6± 2.5high
- Kennedy ChandlerUTAH6.5± 2.2medium
- Devin BookerPHX5.8± 2.3high
Blocks
- Walker KesslerUTAH1.8± 2.5low
- Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH1.3± 1.3high
- Mark WilliamsPHX1.0± 1.3high
Steals
- Bez MbengUTAH2.5± 1.7medium
- John KoncharUTAH1.9± 1.7high
- Jordan GoodwinPHX1.8± 2.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
UTAH
league avg
PHX
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.7%
46.7%
FG%
47.0
45.5%
117.6
PPG
114.9
112.2
29.6
Assists / G
25.0
24.5
15.0
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶13.6