OKC
36-8
CLE
24-20
OKC · top performer
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · #2
30
Pts
1
Reb
3
Ast
CLE · top performer
Jarrett Allen
C · #31
16
Pts
9
Reb
1
Ast
Biggest swing: 11pp · 1st Quarter · 9:56
NBA · Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 8 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | — | +7 | 3 | 2 | |
| 31 | 28 | 11-16 | 4-5 | 2-5 | +34 | 8 | 2 | |
| 34 | 30 | 12-20 | 1-4 | 5-5 | +17 | 1 | 3 | |
| 34 | 18 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 1-2 | +34 | 5 | 3 | |
| 31 | 12 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | +16 | 6 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 5 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | — | +4 | 0 | 1 | |
| 7 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | +1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 21 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-5 | — | +6 | 4 | 3 | |
| 25 | 16 | 6-9 | 4-7 | — | +20 | 5 | 2 | |
| 18 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | -5 | 2 | 2 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | — | +9 | 1 | 0 | |
| 25 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | +17 | 2 | 9 | |
| Team | 136 | 50-90 | 23-47 | 13-20 | 38 | 32 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 17 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | — | -20 | 2 | 0 | |
| 29 | 16 | 4-8 | — | 8-10 | -31 | 9 | 1 | |
| 31 | 16 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-3 | -11 | 7 | 5 | |
| 35 | 19 | 5-18 | 1-9 | 8-11 | -26 | 4 | 3 | |
| 33 | 16 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | -26 | 10 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 26 | 16 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 8-8 | -5 | 9 | 1 | |
| 26 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-3 | — | -10 | 8 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | -9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | — | -1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 21 | 9 | 4-9 | 1-3 | — | -6 | 5 | 3 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | — | -15 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team | 104 | 34-91 | 8-35 | 28-35 | 54 | 20 | ||
| DNP: L. Nance Jr. | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
56
FG %
37
32
Ast
20
Team stats
OKC
Away
Stat
CLE
Home
50-90
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
34-91
56
FG %
37
23-47
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
8-35
13-20
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
28-35
32
Assists
20
11
Turnovers
21
Season series
OKC leads series 1-0
OKC136@CLE104todayCLE113@OKC121Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
OKC -6.5
Half-pt below key 7
Total
229.5
Standard · +3.5 vs avg
Moneyline
OKC-22569%CLE+18535%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
6.5
0.0 since open
Total
229.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
OKC beat CLE 136-104. S. Gilgeous-Alexander paced them with 30 PTS, 1 REB, 3 AST. OKC outscored the other side 45-25 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CLE vs OKC
Starters vs bench
production by unitOKCstarters 69% of ptsStarters(5)
94 PTS · 23 REB · 13 AST
GS 88
Bench(7)
42 PTS · 15 REB · 19 AST
GS 34
CLEstarters 64% of ptsStarters(5)
67 PTS · 32 REB · 13 AST
GS 54
Bench(6)
37 PTS · 22 REB · 7 AST
GS 17
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDonovan Mitchell · offensive foul turnover
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 32 | 34 | 25 | 45 | 136 |
| CLE | 27 | 24 | 28 | 25 | 104 |
Period scoring
OKC won 3 · CLE won 1
Q1
Gilgeous-Alexander 10
Mobley 8
Q2
Dort 11
Mitchell 18
Q3
Gilgeous-Alexander 10
Hunter 7
Q4
Holmgren 11
Mobley 20
Shooting comparison
56%
50-90
FG
37%
34-91
49%
23-47
3PT
23%
8-35
65%
13-20
FT
80%
28-35
Play-by-play · 519 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
OKC 136·CLE 104
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
OKC 136·CLE 104
- Q4·4.3
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
OKC 136·CLE 104
- Q4·4.3
Nae'Qwan Tomlin misses 1-foot tip shot
OKC 136·CLE 104
- Q4·5.3
Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
OKC 136·CLE 104
- Q4·7.4
Jaylon Tyson misses driving floating jump shot
OKC 136·CLE 104
- Q4·31.0
Ousmane Dieng makes 30-foot three pointer
OKC 136·CLE 104
- Q4·38.7
Jaylon Tyson makes 31-foot three point jumper (Craig Porter Jr. assists)
·
OKC 133·CLE 104
- Q4·46.1
Ousmane Dieng makes 12-foot turnaround jump shot
OKC 133·CLE 101
- Q4·55.8
Jaylon Tyson makes 4-foot driving floating jump shot
OKC 131·CLE 101
- Q4·1:04
Chris Youngblood makes 25-foot three point jumper (Cason Wallace assists)
·
OKC 131·CLE 99
- Q4·1:17
Tyrese Proctor out of bounds bad pass turnover
OKC 128·CLE 99
- Q4·1:26
Kenrich Williams makes 24-foot three point jumper (Cason Wallace assists)
· ·
OKC 128·CLE 99
- Q4·1:40
Thunder defensive team rebound
OKC 125·CLE 99
- Q4·1:40
Tyrese Proctor misses 25-foot three point jumper
OKC 125·CLE 99
- Q4·1:59
Chris Youngblood makes 27-foot three point jumper (Ousmane Dieng assists)
·
OKC 125·CLE 99
- Q4·2:10
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:13
Craig Porter Jr. misses 12-foot pullup jump shot
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Isaiah Joe enters the game for Ajay Mitchell
· ·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Kenrich Williams enters the game for Aaron Wiggins
· ·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Ousmane Dieng enters the game for Chet Holmgren
·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Cason Wallace enters the game for Luguentz Dort
·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Chris Youngblood enters the game for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Craig Porter Jr. enters the game for Donovan Mitchell
· ·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Tyrese Proctor enters the game for Jarrett Allen
·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Nae'Qwan Tomlin enters the game for De'Andre Hunter
·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Thomas Bryant enters the game for Evan Mobley
·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:35
Cavaliers Full timeout
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:40
Luguentz Dort makes 26-foot three point jumper (Aaron Wiggins assists)
·
OKC 122·CLE 99
- Q4·2:48
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
OKC 119·CLE 99
Betting line
OKC -6.5·O/U 229.5·OKC -225/CLE +185
Recap · NBA
klahoma City Thunder went into Cleveland Cavaliers and beat them, 136–104. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
OKC -6.5 cashed (won by 32). Total cleared the 229.5 OVER by 10.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort
Chet HolmgrenOKC · CCONT10.799+- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC · GDRIVES18.399
- Jarrett AllenCLE · CCONT9.899
Donovan MitchellCLE · GUSG%31.998
Evan MobleyCLE · CCONT9.498
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · OKC favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CLE vs OKC.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
140
projections · 125 high confidence
Points
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC27.7± 6.8high
- Donovan MitchellCLE27.5± 7.3high
- James HardenCLE19.6± 6.6high
Rebounds
- Isaiah HartensteinOKC8.6± 3.9high
- Evan MobleyCLE8.0± 3.5high
- Chet HolmgrenOKC8.0± 3.0high
Assists
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC7.6± 3.1high
- James HardenCLE5.9± 2.8high
- Jalen WilliamsOKC4.8± 2.9high
Blocks
- Evan MobleyCLE2.1± 1.3high
- Chet HolmgrenOKC1.4± 0.9high
- Jarrett AllenCLE1.3± 0.7high
Steals
- Cason WallaceOKC2.0± 1.0high
- Donovan MitchellCLE1.5± 1.8high
- Alex CarusoOKC1.5± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
OKC
league avg
CLE
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
55.6%
48.2%
FG%
47.0
47.7%
118.5
PPG
114.9
117.4
25.8
Assists / G
25.0
▶27.1
11.9
Turnovers / G
14.0
13.8