HomeScoresLiveTonight's picks
Live · 8
  • MLBBot 3
    COL 0@ATH 0
    +9.9ppmedium
  • MLBEnd 2
    CHC 0@SF 0
    -12.4pphigh
  • MLBBot 7
    STL 7@MIN 4
    -43.6pplow
  • MLBBot 7
    ATL 3@NYM 7
    +58.9pplow
  • MLBBot 8
    HOU 9@KC 5
    -49.3pplow
  • MLBTop 5
    TB 0@LAA 4
    +62.6pplow
  • MLBEnd 6
    SEA 8@WSH 1
    -47.4pplow
  • WNBA4:29 - 2nd
    GS 28@SEA 31
    +16.4pphigh
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THE ONE Analytics
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FINAL+4TEX
LAA

LAA

62-70

3
7
TEX

TEX

67-67

Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas
28,485 attended

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

LAA

league avg

TEX

TEX

.704

OPS

.715

.698

.316

OBP

.319

.316

4.46

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.00

4.65

Team ERA

4.16

▶

3.74

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.23

9.0

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TEX wins

LAA 3 · TEX 7 (by 4)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked TEX +7pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
LAA0000000033
TEX320100107

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

66%Last 7 · 69-36
61%Last 30 · 307-194
Receipts →
MLB·Tue, Aug 26·Final/SeriesTEX wins series 5-1

Recap · MLB

Texas Rangers held off Los Angeles Angels, 7–3.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Win-probability impactWPA · win prob added
  1. 1Y. KikuchiLAA−41.8pp
  2. 2C. SeagerTEX+23.0pp
  3. 3A. GarciaTEX+22.5pp

LAA · top performer

LAA
Zach Neto

Zach Neto

SS

1.750OPS

4-2

AB-H

1

R

1

RBI

TEX · top performer

TEX
Corey Seager

Corey Seager

SS

2.750OPS

2-1

AB-H

2

R

1

RBI

MLB · Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers · final

MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST

Final

Batters

batting box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerAVGABRHRBIHRBBK
Z. NetoSS
.2684121101
M. TroutCF
.2354110002
T. WardLF
.2322000010
J. AdellRF
.2344112100
L. Rengifo3B
.2474000000
T. d'ArnaudC
.2034000002
C. Moore2B
.1903010000
N. Kavadas1B
.1433000002
B. TeodosioLF
.2173010002
- M. LugoLF
.2331000000
Team32363219

Pitchers

pitching box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerIPHRERBBKPC
Y. KikuchiSP
4.04663381
C. SilsethRP
1.01001225
S. BachmanRP
2.02110123
R. ZeferjahnRP
1.00000117
Team8.077747146

Batters

batting box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerAVGABRHRBIHRBBK
W. LangfordLF
.2483110011
E. Duran2B
.2193000002
C. SeagerSS
.2672211120
A. GarciaRF
.2284121001
J. Jung3B
.2434011000
C. Freeman3B
.1473001001
K. HigashiokaC
.2434111101
J. HeimC
.2212100010
M. HelmanCF
.2113112101
- R. Tellez1B
.2701000000
Team29777347

Pitchers

pitching box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerIPHRERBBKPC
P. CorbinSP
8.030018102
D. CoulombeRP
0.13330023
P. MatonRP
0.2000014
Team9.063319129

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

Hits

7

3

Runs

7

0

Errors

0

Current series

TEX wins series 5-1

Apr 16LAALAA0@TEXTEX4
Apr 17LAALAA1@TEXTEX3
Apr 18LAALAA3@TEXTEX5
Aug 26LAALAA4@TEXTEX0
Aug 27LAALAA3@TEXTEX7today
Aug 28LAALAA3@TEXTEX20

Season series

TEX leads series 7-5

Apr 16LAALAA0@TEXTEX4
Apr 17LAALAA1@TEXTEX3
Apr 18LAALAA3@TEXTEX5
Jul 8TEXTEX5@LAALAA6
Jul 9TEXTEX13@LAALAA1
Jul 10TEXTEX8@LAALAA11
Jul 11TEXTEX11@LAALAA4
Jul 29TEXTEX4@LAALAA6
Jul 30TEXTEX5@LAALAA8
Jul 31TEXTEX6@LAALAA3
Aug 26LAALAA4@TEXTEX0
Aug 27LAALAA3@TEXTEX7today
Aug 28LAALAA3@TEXTEX20

Headlines · top performers

Game flowLAA ↔ TEX

Biggest swing: 14pp · Bottom 1st Inning

LAALAA
Z. Neto

Z. Neto

SS

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.750 OPS

Y. Kikuchi

Y. Kikuchi

SP

Starting pitcher

4.0 IP · 3 K · 6 ER · 4 H · 3 BB

TEXTEX
C. Seager

C. Seager

SS

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.750 OPS

P. Corbin

P. Corbin

SP

Starting pitcherGem

8.0 IP · 8 K · 0 ER · 3 H · 1 BB

How it ended

TEX beat LAA 7-3.

Win probability

TEX vs LAA

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
TEXBottom 1st Inning · 0-0
+8pp→ 58% WP

Langford · walked.

TEXBottom 1st Inning · 0-1
+14pp→ 71% WP

A. Garc · ía doubled to right, Langford scored, Seager to third.

TEXBottom 2nd Inning · 0-5
+8pp→ 93% WP

Helman · homered to left center (383 feet), Heim scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
LAA0000000033
TEX32010010—7

Period scoring

LAA won 0 · TEX won 4

0
3

Inn 1

Garc 1

0
2

Inn 2

Helman 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
1

Inn 4

Higashioka 1

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

0
1

Inn 7

Seager 1

0
0

Inn 8

3

Inn 9

Adell 2

LAA
TEX

Play-by-play · 519 plays

period
event
player
  1. T9

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  2. T9

    d'Arnaud struck out looking.

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  3. T9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 3 Looking

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  4. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Looking

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  5. T9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Swinging

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  6. T9

    Phil Maton pitches to Travis d'Arnaud

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  7. T9

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  8. T9

    Rengifo fouled out to third.

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  9. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball In Play

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  10. T9

    Phil Maton pitches to Luis Rengifo

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  11. T9

    Maton relieved Coulombe

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  12. T9

    ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  13. T9

    Adell homered to left (408 feet), Trout scored.

    · ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  14. T9

    Pitch 9 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  15. T9

    Pitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  16. T9

    Pitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  17. T9

    Pitch 6 : Ball 3

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  18. T9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  19. T9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 2

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  20. T9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  21. T9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 1

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  22. T9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Swinging

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  23. T9

    Danny Coulombe pitches to Jo Adell

    · ·

    LAA 3·TEX 7

  24. T9

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  25. T9

    Lugo flied out to center.

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  26. T9

    Pitch 6 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  27. T9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  28. T9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 2

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  29. T9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

  30. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Swinging

    · ·

    LAA 1·TEX 7

Team stats

LAA

Away

Stat

TEX

Home

3

Runs

7

6

Hits

7

0

Errors

0

13

TB

17

2

HR

3

1

BB

4

9

K

7

9

LOB

7

STATCAST · Tonight’s standouts

3 of 12 players in cohort
  • Ezequiel DuranTEX · 2B
    SPRINT28.891
  • Mike TroutLAA · CF
    SPRINT28.688
  • Wyatt LangfordTEX · LF
    SPRINT2872

Player projections

TEX vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

122

projections · 66 high confidence

Strikeouts

  • Reid DetmersLAA
    7.0± 4.0low
  • Jacob deGromTEX
    6.3± 3.5low
  • Jose SorianoLAA
    5.8± 2.5low

Hits

  • Josh JungTEX
    1.2± 0.8high
  • Wade MecklerLAA
    1.1± 1.4medium
  • Ezequiel DuranTEX
    1.1± 1.4high

Total bases

  • Wade MecklerLAA
    1.9± 2.3medium
  • Zach NetoLAA
    1.9± 1.8high
  • Josh JungTEX
    1.7± 1.5high

RBIs

  • Jose SiriLAA
    0.8± 1.5medium
  • Wade MecklerLAA
    0.8± 1.6medium
  • Trey ManciniLAA
    0.7± 0.8low

Earned runs

  • Grayson RodriguezLAA
    4.2± 3.8low
  • Jack LeiterTEX
    2.9± 2.6low
  • Nathan EovaldiTEX
    2.7± 3.0low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.8%

ensemble · TEX favored

  • Elo Static

    57.4%

    P(TEX win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Pitching

    56.9%

    P(TEX win)

    32%

    weight

  • Bullpen Park

    57.9%

    P(TEX win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.41 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

97% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.