
ESPN
Lead playmaker
Scoring
81
Playmaking
100
Defense
89
Shooting
73
Combine
Max vertical
40.5"p89
Lane agility
10.61sp89
¾ sprint
3.07sp90
Standing reach
98.5"p36
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionThe read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classLead playmaker. Carried by perimeter defense (98th) and passing (86th); no glaring statistical hole.
Why this rank
Our scouting call slots Flemings at #8 — the deterministic model alone had Flemings at #4.
Outlier
Elite draft-score outlier in the 2026 class
Draft outlook
Projected landing

#8
Atlanta Hawks
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#8
Field
#8
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Lead playmaker profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 90 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 8th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
How the score is built
deterministic · auditableOur blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Flemings 8th, our model 1st. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
avg rank 8 across 3 boards
Consensus floor applied: 85 (top-15 multi-source override)
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
Elite BPM
BPM = 99th pct
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
Short wingspan for position
wingspan = 8th pct
Elite playmaker (G)
AST% = 100th pct
Defensive impact
STL% + BLK% = 89th pct
Consensus top-15
average consensus rank 8.3
Plus vertical
max vertical = 86th pct
Young for class
age 19.5 at draft; class median 22.4
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 76th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
Wingspan
med 79.3"
75.5"
p12
Standing reach
med 99.5"
98.5"
p36
Max vertical
med 35.5"
40.5"
p89
Standing vert
med 30.0"
33.5"
p89
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
3.07s
p90
Lane agility
med 11.09s
10.61s
p89
Shuttle
med 3.05s
2.69s
p94
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionWingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionvia stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Houston CougarsFlemings's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs guards · 2013–2021Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Flemings.
“Top X%” = closer to Flemings than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.3 career VORP · 148 g
College: Baylor '21 · TS 59.9 · BPM 9.7
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 1.7 career VORP · 472 g
College: North Carolina '19 · TS 55.6 · BPM 6.7
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · -1.8 career VORP · 234 g
College: Florida '21 · TS 57.9 · BPM 5.8
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Star · 1× All-Star · 9.0 career VORP · 394 g
College: Kentucky '19 · TS 58.0 · BPM 7.8
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.2 career VORP · 84 g
College: South Dakota St. '13 · TS 60.3 · BPM 8.9
Comp outcomes · real careers
10/13 reached the NBAMedian outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Kyrie Irving2011
Star · 9× All-Star
Floor
Keenan Evans2018
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (2 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Flemings.
College stats · 2025-26 season
37 games · 79% min
labeled Scoring PG
Efficiency
Playmaking
Defense
Rebounding
Composite
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at positionper-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
Plus pick-by-pick grades on draft night — and we grade our own board against the actual draft, misses included. Free, double opt-in.