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TonyTheTiger, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons
C#4 of 37 bigs in 2026· Projected R1
Aday Mara
Skill 5
Michigan·21.2 yo at draft·Zaragoza, Spain
LotteryOutlier
ATH composite
39
NCAA dominance
89
Scoring
89
Playmaking
95
Defense
95
Shooting
90
Combine
Max vertical
28.0"p4
Lane agility
11.47sp52
¾ sprint
3.61sp2
Standing reach
117.0"p99
Draft score 81 out of 100, overall rank 11, elite statistical outlier.
Outlier
Elite draft-score outlier in the 2026 class
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
#11
Golden State Warriors
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#11
Field
#16
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Skill 5 profile. The loudest scout signal: elite wingspan (wingspan 90 = 94th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 89 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 16th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Mock consensus over time
Avg rank across 3 boards
now#16▲ 2.3 spots
2026-05-1416 captures2026-05-29
Draft score breakdown
How the 81-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%39
NCAA dominanceweight 40%89
Mock consensusweight 20%84
avg rank 16 across 3 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite wingspan
wingspan 90 = 94th pct
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 100th pct
- +5
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
- -4
Slow first step
sprint = 2th pct
- -3
Heavy-legged
max vertical = 4th pct
- +3
Defensive impact
STL% + BLK% = 95th pct
Trait grades
0–100 percentile within position group
Scoring
89
Playmaking
95
Defense
95
Shooting
90
Athleticism
39
Size
97
Combine radar · vs. B-bucket
7 of 7 drills measured
Wingspan
med 86.0"
90.0"
p94
Standing reach
med 108.0"
117.0"
p99
Max vertical
med 34.0"
28.0"
p4
Standing vert
med 28.5"
24.0"
p6
¾ sprint
med 3.28s
3.61s
p2
Lane agility
med 11.49s
11.47s
p52
Shuttle
med 3.12s
3.36s
p13
College stats · 2025-26 season
Michigan· B10
40 games · 58% min
labeled C
Efficiency
- TS%65.8%91
- eFG%67.3%93
- USG%23.8%88
- ORTG119.583
Playmaking
- AST%19.0%97
- TO%19.8%33
Defense
- STL%0.8%34
- BLK%12.0%97
- DRTG83.9100
- DBPM+10.299
Rebounding
- ORB%10.4%66
- DRB%20.4%80
Composite
- BPM+14.6100
- OBPM+4.496
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs B-bucket of the 2025-26 D1 pool
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · May 30, 2026