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PF/C#1 of 32 bigs in 2026· Projected R1
Cameron Boozer
Skilled big
Duke·6'8" · 253lb·7'2" wing·9'0" reach·8.8" hand·18.9 yo at draft
LotteryRare outlier
ATH composite
56
NCAA dominance
87
Scoring
92
Playmaking
99
Defense
47
Shooting
89
Combine
Max vertical
35.0"p69
Lane agility
11.06sp89
¾ sprint
3.31sp54
Standing reach
108.0"p49
Draft score 94 out of 100, overall rank 3, elite statistical outlier.
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionBucket-GetterUSG 97th · efficientElite ProducerBPM 97th · class
The read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classSkilled big. Carried by shot creation (97th) and passing (97th); the question marks are rim protection (6th) and perimeter defense (13th).
StrengthsShot creation97Passing97
WatchRim protection6Perimeter defense13
Why this rank
Editorial pin
Our scouting call slots Boozer at #3 — the deterministic model alone had Boozer at #2.
Rare
Rare outlier — top 5% draft score
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
#3
Memphis Grizzlies
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#3
Field
#2
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Skilled big profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 100th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 87 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 2nd across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
Where we've had him since May 30
now#3▼ Faller · down 2
May 30 · #1Jul 27 · #3
How the score is built
deterministic · auditable94.2draft scoreboard #3
Market 62% · consensus 2nd / 3 boardsModel 38% · ranked 5th
Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Boozer 2nd, our model 5th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
How the 94-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%56
NCAA dominanceweight 40%87
Mock consensusweight 20%98
avg rank 2 across 3 boards
Consensus floor applied: 96 (top-15 multi-source override)
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 100th pct
- +5
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
- +5
Consensus top-5
average consensus rank 2.3
- +2
Young for class
age 18.9 at draft; class median 22.4
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 58th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. B-bucket
7 of 7 drills measured
Wingspan
med 85.8"
85.5"
p43
Standing reach
med 108.0"
108.0"
p49
Max vertical
med 32.5"
35.0"
p69
Standing vert
med 28.5"
28.5"
p50
¾ sprint
med 3.33s
3.31s
p54
Lane agility
med 11.65s
11.06s
p89
Shuttle
med 3.10s
2.99s
p82
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionHeight
6'8.3"30
Wingspan diff
+5.3"48
Hand length
8.75"13
Hand width
9.75"39
Wingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionShooting & agility at the combine
Spot-up 3PT
19/25 · 76%90
Off-dribble 3PT
18/30 · 60%71
On-move 3PT
11/25 · 44%33
Modified agility
2.99s43
via stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Duke Blue Devils49 / 100 two-way score
Offense
1.26 PPP69
Defense
0.99 allow13
Shot dieteFG 61%3PT rate 26%FT rate 6%
Boozer's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs bigs · 2010–2024Closest NBA comparisons
Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Boozer.
“Top X%” = closer to Boozer than (100−X)% of all drafted bigs on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
- 1DaRon Holmes II2024top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · 0.1 career VORP · 25 g
College: Dayton '24 · TS 62.6 · BPM 9.8
Reach108.0"vs108.0"Shuttle2.99svs3.03sWing85.5"vs85.0"Agility11.06svs11.20sHt6'8"vs6'9"Max vert35.0"vs34.0"Std vert28.5"vs27.5"¾ sprint3.31svs3.25sWeight253 lbvs236 lbUSG%30.6vs31.2TS%65.3vs62.6AST%25.6vs19.0BPM16.0vs9.8Age18.9vs21.9 - 2Trayce Jackson-Davis2023top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 2.3 career VORP · 183 g
College: Indiana '23 · TS 60.9 · BPM 13.1
Shuttle2.99svs3.00sWing85.5"vs85.0"Ht6'8"vs6'8"Max vert35.0"vs37.0"Weight253 lbvs240 lbReach108.0"vs106.0"Agility11.06svs11.80sStd vert28.5"vs33.0"¾ sprint3.31svs3.00sUSG%30.6vs30.1AST%25.6vs24.8BPM16.0vs13.1TS%65.3vs60.9Age18.9vs23.3 - 3Luka Garza2021top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 1.3 career VORP · 193 g
College: Iowa '21 · TS 62.0 · BPM 10.7
Wing85.5"vs85.5"Reach108.0"vs107.5"Ht6'8"vs6'10"Weight253 lbvs243 lb¾ sprint3.31svs3.51sAgility11.06svs11.90sStd vert28.5"vs24.0"Max vert35.0"vs29.5"Shuttle2.99svs3.38sUSG%30.6vs30.4PORPAG7.6vs7.0TS%65.3vs62.0BPM16.0vs10.7Age18.9vs22.5AST%25.6vs12.1 - 4Greg Monroe2010top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 15.3 career VORP · 646 g
College: Georgetown '10 · TS 56.7 · BPM 8.0
Reach108.0"vs108.5"¾ sprint3.31svs3.35sHt6'8"vs6'10"Weight253 lbvs247 lbWing85.5"vs86.3"Std vert28.5"vs25.0"Agility11.06svs12.10sMax vert35.0"vs29.0"AST%25.6vs22.4Age18.9vs20.1USG%30.6vs27.5TS%65.3vs56.7PORPAG7.6vs4.5BPM16.0vs8.0 - 5Bruno Fernando2019top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · -0.6 career VORP · 220 g
College: Maryland '19 · TS 65.3 · BPM 9.9
Ht6'8"vs6'9"Shuttle2.99svs3.05sStd vert28.5"vs29.5"Agility11.06svs11.29sMax vert35.0"vs33.5"¾ sprint3.31svs3.21sWing85.5"vs87.3"Reach108.0"vs110.0"Weight253 lbvs237 lbTS%65.3vs65.3Age18.9vs20.9USG%30.6vs23.8BPM16.0vs9.9AST%25.6vs14.5PORPAG7.6vs4.1
Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)
Comp outcomes · real careers
13/14 reached the NBAHow the closest comps turned out
4 Starter6 Rotation3 Fringe1 Never reached NBA
Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Greg Monroe2010
Starter · 15.3 VORP
Floor
Drew Timme2023
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (1 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Boozer.
College teamDukeACC#3 T-Rank35-3SOS elite schedule · top 4%via BartTorvik
College stats · 2025-26 season
Duke· ACC
38 games · 84% min
labeled Stretch 4
Efficiency
- TS%65.3%93
- eFG%60.7%88
- USG%30.6%97
- ORTG131.496
- AdjOE157.798
- RIM%64.5%55
Playmaking
- AST%25.6%98
- TO%14.7%70
Defense
- STL%2.5%93
- BLK%2.2%42
- DRTG85.797
- DBPM+5.896
Rebounding
- ORB%12.5%83
- DRB%22.1%85
Composite
- BPM+16.099
- OBPM+10.299
- PORPAG7.699
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs B-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position38 games· 33.5 mpg
Points
22.599
Rebounds
10.299
Assists
4.199
Steals
1.499
Blocks
0.670
ShootingFG 55.6%3PT 39.1%FT 78.9%
per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
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