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PG#1 of 40 guards in 2026· Projected R1
Darius Acuff Jr.
Lead playmaker
Arkansas·6'2" · 186lb·6'7" wing·8'3" reach·8.5" hand·19.6 yo at draft
LotteryRare outlier
ATH composite
55
NCAA dominance
84
Scoring
92
Playmaking
100
Defense
38
Shooting
89
Combine
Max vertical
36.5"p55
Lane agility
10.99sp62
¾ sprint
3.06sp92
Standing reach
98.5"p36
Draft score 89 out of 100, overall rank 6, elite statistical outlier.
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionBucket-GetterUSG 83rd · efficientFloor GeneralAST 83rd · low TOLockdownSynergy defense 79thTwo-WaySynergy two-way 66/100
The read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classLead playmaker. Carried by shot creation (83rd) and passing (83rd); the question mark is rebounding (14th).
StrengthsShot creation83Passing83
WatchRebounding14
Why this rank
Editorial pin
Our scouting call slots Jr. at #6 — the deterministic model alone had Jr. at #6.
Rare
Rare outlier — top 5% draft score
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
#6
Brooklyn Nets
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#6
Field
#6
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Lead playmaker profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 98th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 84 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 6th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
Where we've had him since May 30
now#6Steady
May 30 · #6Jul 27 · #6
How the score is built
deterministic · auditable88.7draft scoreboard #6
Market 62% · consensus 6th / 3 boardsModel 38% · ranked 8th
Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Jr. 6th, our model 8th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
How the 89-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%55
NCAA dominanceweight 40%84
Mock consensusweight 20%94
avg rank 6 across 3 boards
Consensus floor applied: 89 (top-15 multi-source override)
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 98th pct
- +5
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
- +4
Elite playmaker (G)
AST% = 100th pct
- +3
Consensus top-15
average consensus rank 5.7
- +2
Young for class
age 19.6 at draft; class median 22.4
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 66th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
7 of 7 drills measured
Wingspan
med 79.3"
78.5"
p36
Standing reach
med 99.5"
98.5"
p36
Max vertical
med 35.5"
36.5"
p55
Standing vert
med 30.0"
31.5"
p68
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
3.06s
p92
Lane agility
med 11.09s
10.99s
p62
Shuttle
med 3.05s
2.93s
p78
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionHeight
6'2"35
Wingspan diff
+4.5"65
Hand length
8.50"50
Hand width
9.25"55
Wingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionShooting & agility at the combine
Spot-up 3PT
19/25 · 76%84
Off-dribble 3PT
24/30 · 80%68
On-move 3PT
13/25 · 52%37
Modified agility
2.93s47
via stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Arkansas Razorbacks66 / 100 two-way score
Offense
1.15 PPP71
Defense
0.88 allow79
Shot dieteFG 56%3PT rate 34%FT rate 3%
Jr.'s offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs guards · 2013–2020Closest NBA comparisons
Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Jr..
“Top X%” = closer to Jr. than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
- 1Jerian Grant2015top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.5 career VORP · 279 g
College: Notre Dame '15 · TS 59.2 · BPM 8.2
Ht6'2"vs6'3"Wing78.5"vs79.5"Reach98.5"vs100.0"Weight186 lbvs198 lbAST%32.2vs33.5TS%60.4vs59.2PORPAG6.7vs6.3BPM6.7vs8.2USG%29.5vs25.6 - 2De'Aaron Fox2017top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Star · 2× All-Star · 15.1 career VORP · 603 g
College: Kentucky '17 · TS 54.8 · BPM 7.1
Wing78.5"vs78.5"Reach98.5"vs100.0"Ht6'2"vs6'2"Weight186 lbvs170 lbAge19.6vs19.5BPM6.7vs7.1AST%32.2vs28.6USG%29.5vs27.6TS%60.4vs54.8 - 3Coby White2019top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 1.7 career VORP · 472 g
College: North Carolina '19 · TS 55.6 · BPM 6.7
Ht6'2"vs6'4"Reach98.5"vs97.5"Weight186 lbvs191 lbWing78.5"vs77.0"BPM6.7vs6.7Age19.6vs19.4USG%29.5vs26.1AST%32.2vs24.4TS%60.4vs55.6PORPAG6.7vs3.7 - 4Jahmi'us Ramsey2020top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.3 career VORP · 39 g
College: Texas Tech '20 · TS 54.4 · BPM 5.3
Wing78.5"vs78.0"Ht6'2"vs6'3"Weight186 lbvs193 lbReach98.5"vs100.5"Age19.6vs19.0BPM6.7vs5.3USG%29.5vs24.7TS%60.4vs54.4AST%32.2vs16.1 - 5Erick Green2013top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.2 career VORP · 52 g
College: Virginia Tech '13 · TS 59.2 · BPM 7.4
Reach98.5"vs98.0"Wing78.5"vs77.8"Weight186 lbvs178 lbHt6'2"vs6'2"BPM6.7vs7.4TS%60.4vs59.2PORPAG6.7vs7.2USG%29.5vs31.6AST%32.2vs27.0Age19.6vs22.1
Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)
Comp outcomes · real careers
12/14 reached the NBAHow the closest comps turned out
2 Star1 Starter7 Rotation2 Fringe2 Never reached NBA
Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
John Wall2010
Star · 5× All-Star
Floor
Manny Harris2010
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (1 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Jr..
College teamArkansasSEC#20 T-Rank28-9SOS elite schedule · top 3%via BartTorvik
College stats · 2025-26 season
Arkansas· SEC
36 games · 84% min
labeled Scoring PG
Efficiency
- TS%60.4%91
- eFG%56.1%89
- USG%29.5%95
- ORTG125.995
- AdjOE147.698
- RIM%59.7%78
Playmaking
- AST%32.2%93
- TO%11.6%86
Defense
- STL%1.3%20
- BLK%0.9%81
- DRTG105.750
- DBPM-1.249
Rebounding
- ORB%1.6%45
- DRB%8.3%46
Composite
- BPM+6.796
- OBPM+7.998
- PORPAG6.799
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position36 games· 35.1 mpg
Points
23.599
Rebounds
3.178
Assists
6.499
Steals
0.858
Blocks
0.392
ShootingFG 48.4%3PT 44.0%FT 80.9%
per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
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