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PG/SG#1 of 31 guards in 2026· Projected R1
Keaton Wagler
Lead playmaker
Illinois·19.4 yo at draft
LotteryRare outlier
ATH composite
46
NCAA dominance
90
Scoring
88
Playmaking
97
Defense
65
Shooting
86
Combine
Max vertical
36.0"p42
Lane agility
11.05sp44
¾ sprint
3.27sp26
Standing reach
100.0"p44
Draft score 93 out of 100, overall rank 4, elite statistical outlier.
Rare
Rare outlier — top 5% draft score
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
#4
Chicago Bulls
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#4
Field
#5
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Lead playmaker profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 90 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 5th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Mock consensus over time
Avg rank across 3 boards
now#5flat
2026-05-1416 captures2026-05-29
Draft score breakdown
How the 93-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%46
NCAA dominanceweight 40%90
Mock consensusweight 20%95
avg rank 5 across 3 boards
Consensus floor applied: 91 (top-15 multi-source override)
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 99th pct
- +5
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
- +4
Elite playmaker (G)
AST% = 97th pct
- +3
Consensus top-15
average consensus rank 5.3
- +2
Young for class
age 19.4 at draft; class median 21.9
Trait grades
0–100 percentile within position group
Scoring
88
Playmaking
97
Defense
65
Shooting
86
Athleticism
46
Size
36
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
7 of 7 drills measured
Wingspan
med 79.8"
78.3"
p28
Standing reach
med 100.0"
100.0"
p44
Max vertical
med 36.5"
36.0"
p42
Standing vert
med 30.0"
33.0"
p84
¾ sprint
med 3.19s
3.27s
p26
Lane agility
med 11.00s
11.05s
p44
Shuttle
med 3.06s
3.00s
p73
College stats · 2025-26 season
Illinois· B10
37 games · 84% min
labeled Combo G
Efficiency
- TS%59.6%88
- eFG%54.1%82
- USG%25.7%85
- ORTG130.295
Playmaking
- AST%23.2%75
- TO%12.5%75
Defense
- STL%1.7%32
- BLK%1.3%88
- DRTG97.993
- DBPM+2.393
Rebounding
- ORB%6.7%97
- DRB%10.0%66
Composite
- BPM+11.299
- OBPM+8.899
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of the 2025-26 D1 pool
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · May 30, 2026