
ESPN
Two-way wing
Scoring
85
Playmaking
85
Defense
88
Shooting
75
Combine
Max vertical
37.5"p73
Lane agility
11.17sp60
¾ sprint
3.16sp76
Standing reach
103.0"p23
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionThe read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classTwo-way wing. Carried by shot creation (90th); the question marks are passing (27th) and rebounding (30th).
Why this rank
Our scouting call slots Peterson at #2 — the deterministic model alone had Peterson at #7.
Rare
Rare outlier — top 5% draft score
Draft outlook
Projected landing

#2
Utah Jazz
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#2
Field
#2
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Two-way wing profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 82 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 2nd across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
How the score is built
deterministic · auditableOur blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Peterson 2nd, our model 21st. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
avg rank 2 across 3 boards
Consensus floor applied: 97 (top-15 multi-source override)
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
Elite BPM
BPM = 99th pct
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
Consensus top-5
average consensus rank 1.7
Defensive impact
STL% + BLK% = 88th pct
Young for class
age 19.4 at draft; class median 22.4
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 48th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. W-bucket
Wingspan
med 83.0"
81.8"
p30
Standing reach
med 104.5"
103.0"
p23
Max vertical
med 35.0"
37.5"
p73
Standing vert
med 29.5"
31.5"
p71
¾ sprint
med 3.25s
3.16s
p76
Lane agility
med 11.29s
11.17s
p60
Shuttle
med 3.04s
2.95s
p75
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionWingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionvia stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Kansas JayhawksPeterson's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs wings · 2013–2025Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Peterson.
“Top X%” = closer to Peterson than (100−X)% of all drafted wings on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.2 career VORP · 16 g
College: Georgia Tech '12 · TS 53.9 · BPM 6.4
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · 0 g
College: St. John's '25 · TS 52.5 · BPM 4.9
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.4 career VORP · 304 g
College: Michigan '14 · TS 56.6 · BPM 5.6
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.2 career VORP · 38 g
College: Iowa '21 · TS 61.6 · BPM 7.7
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · -0.1 career VORP · 25 g
College: Kansas '24 · TS 56.4 · BPM 6.5
Comp outcomes · real careers
10/13 reached the NBAMedian outcome: Fringe — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Gordon Hayward2010
Star · 1× All-Star
Floor
Julian Champagnie2022
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (2 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Peterson.
College stats · 2025-26 season
24 games · 49% min
labeled Wing G
Efficiency
Playmaking
Defense
Rebounding
Composite
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs W-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at positionper-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
Plus pick-by-pick grades on draft night — and we grade our own board against the actual draft, misses included. Free, double opt-in.