WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+29IND

IND

23-20

9465

WSH

16-27

WNBASun, Sep 7FinalSeriestied 2-2

IND · top performer

Aerial Powers

G · #23

15.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

WSH · top performer

Sonia Citron

G · #22

6.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowIND ↔ WSH

Biggest swing: 7pp · 2nd Quarter · 4:51

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. HowardF · #6	24	17	6-10	0-1	5-7	+21	4	1
A. BostonC · #7	32	12	6-12	—	—	+29	11	5
O. SimsG · #1	24	6	3-6	—	—	+22	2	8
K. MitchellG · #0	25	10	4-10	0-4	2-2	+10	0	1
L. HullG · #10	20	7	3-7	1-4	—	+21	0	2
Bench
B. TurnerF · #11	8	2	1-3	—	0-2	+7	1	0
M. TimpsonF · #21	5	3	—	—	3-4	+1	0	0
D. DantasC · #12	11	9	3-5	3-4	—	0	2	0
S. PeddyG · #5	20	13	5-5	3-3	—	+12	2	0
A. PowersG · #23	26	15	5-10	2-3	3-4	+21	6	4
B. HallG · #3	5	0	0-2	—	—	+1	1	0
Team		94	36-70	9-19	13-19		29	21
DNP: C. Bibby, S. Colson, S. Cunningham, A. McDonald, C. Clark

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
A. ClarkF · #32	27	7	2-5	1-4	2-4	-33	2	1
K. IriafenF · #44	22	11	5-8	—	1-2	-19	5	2
S. AustinC · #0	25	11	4-11	0-1	3-3	-25	7	1
S. SuttonG · #1	25	4	2-8	0-1	—	-10	3	2
S. CitronG · #22	32	17	6-9	2-2	3-4	-19	2	0
Bench
E. EngstlerF · #21	14	4	1-3	0-1	2-2	-5	7	1
S. DolsonC · #31	15	3	1-3	1-3	—	-8	2	0
M. ScottG · #24	3	0	—	—	—	-1	0	0
L. OlsenG · #33	15	4	2-5	0-1	—	-7	2	1
J. MelbourneG · #5	22	4	2-5	0-1	—	-18	0	5
Team		65	25-57	4-14	11-15		30	13
DNP: J. Sheldon, G. Amoore

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

IND

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

36-70

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

25-57

FG %

9-19

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

4-14

13-19

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

11-15

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

Series tied 2-2

May 28

IND77@

WSH83

Jun 3

WSH76@

IND85

Aug 15

WSH88@

IND84

Sep 7

IND94@

WSH65today

How it ended

IND beat WSH 94-65. A. Powers led with 15 PTS, 6 REB, 4 AST. IND outscored the other side 32-18 in the 4th quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

WSH vs IND

Starters vs bench

production by unit

INDstarters 55% of pts

Starters(5)

52 PTS · 17 REB · 17 AST

GS 44

Bench(6)

42 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST

GS 36

WSHstarters 77% of pts

Starters(5)

50 PTS · 19 REB · 6 AST

GS 22

Bench(5)

15 PTS · 11 REB · 7 AST

GS 12

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

IND1st Quarter · 5:53 · 6-6

+6pp→ 64% WP

Stefanie Dolson · traveling

WSH2nd Quarter · 9:39 · 19-22

+6pp→ 49% WP

Shakira Austin · makes driving layup

IND2nd Quarter · 4:51 · 32-29

+7pp→ 67% WP

Shey Peddy · makes 22-foot three point jumper (Odyssey Sims assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
IND	19	26	17	32	94
WSH	20	18	9	18	65

Period scoring

IND won 3 · WSH won 1

Howard 7

Citron 9

Peddy 8

Austin 5

Mitchell 7

Iriafen 5

Howard 7

Iriafen 4

IND

WSH

Shooting comparison

IND

WSH

51%

36-70

44%

25-57

47%

9-19

3PT

29%

4-14

68%

13-19

73%

11-15

Play-by-play · 384 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
IND 94·WSH 65
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
IND 94·WSH 65
Q4·21.4
Lucy Olsen makes layup
IND 94·WSH 65
Q4·21.4
Lucy Olsen offensive rebound
IND 94·WSH 63
Q4·21.4
Lucy Olsen misses layup
IND 94·WSH 63
Q4·23.6
Emily Engstler offensive rebound
IND 94·WSH 63
Q4·25.3
Sug Sutton misses layup
IND 94·WSH 63
Q4·37.4
Emily Engstler defensive rebound
IND 94·WSH 63
Q4·39.6
Bree Hall misses 17-foot pullup jump shot
IND 94·WSH 63
Q4·1:01
Jade Melbourne makes driving layup
IND 94·WSH 63
Q4·1:12
Damiris Dantas makes 25-foot three point jumper (Aerial Powers assists)
·
IND 94·WSH 61
Q4·1:20
Damiris Dantas defensive rebound
IND 91·WSH 61
Q4·1:22
Lucy Olsen misses 27-foot three point jumper
IND 91·WSH 61
Q4·1:39
Emily Engstler defensive rebound
IND 91·WSH 61
Q4·1:41
Makayla Timpson misses free throw 2 of 2
IND 91·WSH 61
Q4·1:41
Sug Sutton enters the game for Sonia Citron
·
IND 91·WSH 61
Q4·1:41
Makayla Timpson makes free throw 1 of 2
IND 91·WSH 61
Q4·1:41
Madison Scott personal foul
IND 90·WSH 61
Q4·1:53
Sonia Citron makes free throw 2 of 2
IND 90·WSH 61
Q4·1:53
Mystics offensive team rebound
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·1:53
Sonia Citron misses free throw 1 of 2
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·1:53
Bree Hall shooting foul
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·1:57
Sonia Citron defensive rebound
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·1:58
Sonia Citron blocks Bree Hall 's 7-foot pullup jump shot
·
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·2:18
Emily Engstler traveling
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·2:25
Lucy Olsen defensive rebound
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·2:29
Lucy Olsen blocks Aerial Powers 's 5-foot jumper
·
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·2:44
Jade Melbourne out of bounds bad pass turnover
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·2:57
Aerial Powers personal foul
IND 90·WSH 60
Q4·3:07
Makayla Timpson makes free throw 2 of 2
IND 90·WSH 60

Recap · WNBA

ndiana Fever went into Washington Mystics and beat them, 94–65. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

IND36/70 · 51%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim5/8

63%

In the paint18/32

56%

Mid-range4/11

36%

Top-of-arc 38/15

53%

Left corner 31/3

33%

Right corner 30/1

WSH25/57 · 44%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim8/12

67%

In the paint11/24

46%

Mid-range2/7

29%

Top-of-arc 33/11

27%

Left corner 30/2

Right corner 31/1

100%

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

IND

WSH

eFG%

shooting

57.9%

47.4%

TOV%

ball control

7.1%

24.8%

OREB%

offensive glass

26.7%

27.6%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

18.6%

19.3%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Natasha HowardMIN · F
ORB%.15099
Kiki IriafenWSH · F
DRB%.30197
Aliyah BostonIND · C
DRB%.28196
Shakira AustinWSH · C
DRB%.28195
Stefanie DolsonSEA · C
TS%.64588

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

IND36/70 · 51%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim5/8

63%

In the paint18/32

56%

Mid-range4/11

36%

Top-of-arc 38/15

53%

Left corner 31/3

33%

Right corner 30/1

WSH25/57 · 44%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim8/12

67%

In the paint11/24

46%

Mid-range2/7

29%

Top-of-arc 33/11

27%

Left corner 30/2

Right corner 31/1

100%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

29.6%

ensemble · IND favored

Elo Static
44.6%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
40.1%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
39.6%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

2.24 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

85% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs IND.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

120

projections · 95 high confidence

Points

Kelsey MitchellIND
25.4± 3.6high
Caitlin ClarkIND
20.5± 10.4high
Shakira AustinWSH
16.1± 6.8high

Rebounds

Shakira AustinWSH
10.2± 3.4high
Kiki IriafenWSH
9.0± 3.7high
Aliyah BostonIND
7.7± 2.8high

Assists

Caitlin ClarkIND
7.3± 2.4high
Sonia CitronWSH
3.7± 2.0high
Georgia AmooreWSH
3.1± 2.5high

Blocks

Shakira AustinWSH
1.6± 1.3high
Aliyah BostonIND
1.0± 1.0high
Makayla TimpsonIND
0.9± 1.4high

Steals

Kelsey MitchellIND
1.4± 1.5high
Aliyah BostonIND
1.3± 1.2high
Sonia CitronWSH
1.0± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Indiana FeverWashington Mystics

Elsewhere in the WNBA

Data via ESPN · wehoop