Aug 19, 25sim 95
1880
16(H)69
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+14LA
DAL
9-34
7791
LA
20-22
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
os Angeles Sparks held off Dallas Wings, 91–77.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DAL · top performer
Paige Bueckers
G · #5
20.8Game score
18
Pts
6
Reb
7
Ast
LA · top performer
Julie Allemand
G · #20
25.9Game score
21
Pts
1
Reb
4
Ast
WNBA · Dallas Wings at Los Angeles Sparks · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
DAL9-34
7791
LA20-22
DAL9-34LA20-22
DAL
9-34
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 30 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -16 | |
| 31 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -4 | |
| 28 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13 | |
| 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | |
TS%.62099+ eFG%.58299+ AST/TO2.786 | ||||||||
| 31 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | |
| 19 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | |
| 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | |
| Team | 77 | 46 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 15 | ||
| DNP: L. Yueru, L. Geiselsoder, A. Ogunbowale, T. Harris, J. Quinerly | ||||||||
LA
20-22
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 25 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +14 | |
| 30 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +13 | |
| 22 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 | |
| 24 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | |
| 35 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +16 | |
| 15 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +13 | |
| 16 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +18 | |
| Team | 91 | 41 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 7 | ||
| DNP: E. Cannon | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
39
FG %
40
24
Ast
23
Season series
LA wins series 4-0
Jun 7LA93@DAL79
LA93@DAL79Aug 15LA97@DAL96
LA97@DAL96Aug 21DAL80@LA81
DAL80@LA81Sep 7DAL77@LA91today
DAL77@LA91todayHeadlines · top performers
Game flowDAL ↔ LA
Biggest swing: 16pp · 3rd Quarter · 2:14
DALP. Bueckers
GGame leader · 31 min
18 PTS · 6 REB · 7 AST
LAJ. Allemand
GGame leader · 35 min
21 PTS · 1 REB · 4 AST
How it ended
LA beat DAL 91-77. J. Allemand led with 21 PTS, 1 REB, 4 AST. LA outscored the other side 25-13 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LA vs DAL
Starters vs bench
production by unitDALstarters 77% of ptsStarters(5)
59 PTS · 35 REB · 24 AST
GS 54
Bench(5)
18 PTS · 11 REB · 0 AST
GS 4
LAstarters 79% of ptsStarters(5)
72 PTS · 24 REB · 14 AST
GS 61
Bench(6)
19 PTS · 17 REB · 9 AST
GS 14
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactLA1st Quarter · 1:55 · 12-17
+13pp→ 77% WP
Myisha Hines-Allen · personal foul
LA3rd Quarter · 2:14 · 55-58
+16pp→ 67% WP
Cameron Brink · misses 24-foot three point jumper
LA4th Quarter · 9:47 · 64-69
+12pp→ 76% WP
Rae Burrell · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Sarah Ashlee Barker assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 14 | 19 | 31 | 13 | 77 |
| LA | 21 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 91 |
Period scoring
DAL won 1 · LA won 3
14
21
Q1
Jones 4
Hines-Allen 10
19
21
Q2
Bueckers 8
Stevens 7
31
24
Q3
Hines-Allen 9
Allemand 16
13
25
Q4
Siegrist 4
Burrell 13
DAL
LA
Shooting comparison
DAL
LA
39%
28-72
FG
40%
34-84
22%
5-23
3PT
30%
10-33
94%
16-17
FT
65%
13-20
Play-by-play · 413 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
DAL 77·LA 91
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DAL 77·LA 91
- Q4·10.8
Julie Vanloo defensive rebound
DAL 77·LA 91
- Q4·13.5
Diamond Miller misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
DAL 77·LA 91
- Q4·23.7
Diamond Miller defensive rebound
DAL 77·LA 91
- Q4·25.4
Julie Vanloo misses 26-foot three point jumper
DAL 77·LA 91
- Q4·44.1
Sania Feagin defensive rebound
DAL 77·LA 91
- Q4·45.9
Diamond Miller misses 25-foot three point jumper
DAL 77·LA 91
- Q4·1:01
Rae Burrell makes free throw 2 of 2
DAL 77·LA 91
- Q4·1:01
Alissa Pili enters the game for Cameron Brink
·
DAL 77·LA 90
- Q4·1:01
Rae Burrell makes free throw 1 of 2
DAL 77·LA 90
- Q4·1:01
Grace Berger personal foul
DAL 77·LA 89
- Q4·1:06
Christyn Williams makes two point shot (Grace Berger assists)
·
DAL 77·LA 89
- Q4·1:09
Grace Berger defensive rebound
DAL 75·LA 89
- Q4·1:11
Sania Feagin misses 5-foot two point shot
DAL 75·LA 89
- Q4·1:28
Diamond Miller makes 26-foot three point jumper (Grace Berger assists)
·
DAL 75·LA 89
- Q4·1:38
Cameron Brink makes 2-foot layup (Sania Feagin assists)
·
DAL 72·LA 89
- Q4·1:44
Sparks offensive team rebound
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·1:44
Ajae Petty vs. Cameron Brink (Sania Feagin gains possession)
· ·
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·1:48
Rae Burrell misses 9-foot pullup jump shot
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·1:53
Christyn Williams kicked ball violation
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·2:06
Diamond Miller lost ball turnover (Rae Burrell steals)
·
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·2:25
Aziaha James defensive rebound
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·2:28
Diamond Miller enters the game for Amy Okonkwo
·
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·2:28
Cameron Brink misses free throw 2 of 2
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·2:28
Sania Feagin enters the game for Julie Allemand
·
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·2:28
Julie Vanloo enters the game for Dearica Hamby
·
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·2:28
Sparks offensive team rebound
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·2:28
Cameron Brink misses free throw 1 of 2
DAL 72·LA 87
- Q4·2:28
Ajae Petty shooting foul
DAL 72·LA 87
Team stats
DAL
Away
Stat
LA
Home
28-72
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
34-84
39
FG %
40
5-23
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
10-33
16-17
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
13-20
24
Assists
23
15
Turnovers
7
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 12 players in cohort- Paige BueckersDAL · GTS%.62099+
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
28.3%
ensemble · DAL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LA vs DAL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
110
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Kelsey PlumLA24.5± 10.4low
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA16.4± 5.3low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Dearica HambyLA6.9± 5.0low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA6.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Kelsey PlumLA5.5± 3.9low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
Blocks
- Cameron BrinkLA1.6± 1.4low
- Awak KuierDAL0.9± 1.1low
- Azzi FuddDAL0.8± 1.5low
Steals
- Ariel AtkinsLA1.7± 1.7low
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Dearica HambyLA1.4± 1.9low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
DAL
league avg
LA
46.6%
FG%
44.7
▶50.7%
37.3%
3PT %
◀
32.6
34.3%
88.9
PPG
85.4
▶91.6
23.4
Assists / G
◀
18.0
21.1
10.3
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
16.4