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FINAL+14LV
CHI

CHI

10-32

6680
LV

LV

28-14

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBASun, Sep 7FinalSeriesLV wins series 3-0

Recap · WNBA

as Vegas Aces held off Chicago Sky, 80–66.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Kamilla Cardoso

Kamilla Cardoso

C · #10

9.9Game score

10

Pts

15

Reb

3

Ast

LV · top performer

LV
A'ja Wilson

A'ja Wilson

C · #22

32.8Game score

31

Pts

11

Reb

2

Ast

WNBA · Chicago Sky at Las Vegas Aces · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
66
80
CHI10-32LV28-14
CHI

CHI

10-32

66
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
M. OnyenwereM. Onyenwere★F · #12
231220102-13
E. WilliamsE. Williams★C · #1
241073224-10
K. CardosoK. Cardoso★C · #10
3110153013-21
R. BanhamR. Banham★G · #24
311243203-19
S. UzunS. Uzun★G · #0
321036102-2
M. WestbeldM. WestbeldF · #21
19232001+2
R. AllenR. AllenG · #9
19232000+1
K. NurseK. NurseG · #11
21830002-8
Team6640196317
DNP: A. Reese, C. Vandersloot, A. Atkins, H. Van Lith
LV

LV

28-14

80
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
K. BellK. Bell★F · #1
12010103+4
A. WilsonA. Wilson★C · #22
3231112431+17
M. GustafsonM. Gustafson★C · #17
17420011+15
C. GrayC. Gray★G · #12
321354103+18
J. YoungJ. Young★G · #0
312059101+20
K. StokesK. StokesC · #41
14221110+3
J. LoydJ. LoydG · #24
28600411+8
D. EvansD. EvansG · #11
23413000-11
A. NyeA. NyeG · #13
11011000-4
Team80282012610
DNP: N. Smith

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

40

FG %

46

19

Ast

20

Season series

LV wins series 3-0

Aug 26LVLV79@CHICHI74
Sep 8CHICHI66@LVLV80today
Sep 10CHICHI61@LVLV92

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCHI ↔ LV
CHICHI
K. Cardoso

K. Cardoso

C

Game leader · 31 min

10 PTS · 15 REB · 3 AST

LVLV
A. Wilson

A. Wilson

C

Game leader · 32 min30+ point game

31 PTS · 11 REB · 2 AST

How it ended

LV beat CHI 80-66. A. Wilson paced them with 31 PTS, 11 REB, 2 AST. LV outscored the other side 24-15 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

LV vs CHI

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
CHICHIstarters 82% of pts

Starters(5)

54 PTS · 31 REB · 15 AST

GS 42

Bench(3)

12 PTS · 9 REB · 4 AST

GS 5

LVLVstarters 85% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 24 REB · 15 AST

GS 61

Bench(4)

12 PTS · 4 REB · 5 AST

GS 8

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
CHI1515201666
LV2419271080

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · LV won 3

15
24

Q1

Banham 6

Wilson 8

15
19

Q2

Cardoso 4

Wilson 7

20
27

Q3

Williams 6

Wilson 12

16
10

Q4

Uzun 6

Wilson 4

CHI
LV

Shooting comparison

CHI
LV

40%

27-67

FG

46%

32-70

30%

6-20

3PT

29%

10-34

86%

6-7

FT

86%

6-7

Play-by-play · 348 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    CHI 66·LV 80

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    CHI 66·LV 80

  3. Q4·21.6

    Megan Gustafson defensive rebound

    CHI 66·LV 80

  4. Q4·24.6

    Maddy Westbeld misses 27-foot three point jumper

    CHI 66·LV 80

  5. Q4·47.9

    Maddy Westbeld defensive rebound

    CHI 66·LV 80

  6. Q4·50.2

    Dana Evans misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot

    CHI 66·LV 80

  7. Q4·1:15

    Rachel Banham makes 16-foot pullup jump shot (Elizabeth Williams assists)

    ·

    CHI 66·LV 80

  8. Q4·1:33

    Kierstan Bell bad pass (Elizabeth Williams steals)

    ·

    CHI 64·LV 80

  9. Q4·1:35

    Maddy Westbeld enters the game for Kia Nurse

    ·

    CHI 64·LV 80

  10. Q4·1:35

    Elizabeth Williams enters the game for Kamilla Cardoso

    ·

    CHI 64·LV 80

  11. Q4·1:35

    Kierstan Bell enters the game for Jewell Loyd

    ·

    CHI 64·LV 80

  12. Q4·1:35

    Aaliyah Nye enters the game for A'ja Wilson

    ·

    CHI 64·LV 80

  13. Q4·1:35

    Megan Gustafson enters the game for Chelsea Gray

    ·

    CHI 64·LV 80

  14. Q4·1:35

    Kiah Stokes enters the game for Jackie Young

    ·

    CHI 64·LV 80

  15. Q4·1:35

    Aces Full timeout

    CHI 64·LV 80

  16. Q4·1:49

    Rachel Banham makes 15-foot pullup jump shot (Rebecca Allen assists)

    ·

    CHI 64·LV 80

  17. Q4·2:09

    Kia Nurse defensive rebound

    CHI 62·LV 80

  18. Q4·2:12

    A'ja Wilson misses 15-foot step back jumpshot

    CHI 62·LV 80

  19. Q4·2:32

    Sevgi Uzun makes driving layup (Kamilla Cardoso assists)

    ·

    CHI 62·LV 80

  20. Q4·2:57

    Jackie Young makes 22-foot three point jumper (Dana Evans assists)

    ·

    CHI 60·LV 80

  21. Q4·3:14

    Rebecca Allen makes 16-foot pullup jump shot (Kamilla Cardoso assists)

    ·

    CHI 60·LV 77

  22. Q4·3:36

    Kamilla Cardoso defensive rebound

    CHI 58·LV 77

  23. Q4·3:39

    Jewell Loyd misses 23-foot three point jumper

    CHI 58·LV 77

  24. Q4·3:56

    A'ja Wilson defensive rebound

    CHI 58·LV 77

  25. Q4·3:58

    Kamilla Cardoso misses driving layup

    CHI 58·LV 77

  26. Q4·4:08

    Chelsea Gray out of bounds bad pass turnover

    CHI 58·LV 77

  27. Q4·4:24

    A'ja Wilson defensive rebound

    CHI 58·LV 77

  28. Q4·4:26

    Rebecca Allen misses 24-foot three point jumper

    CHI 58·LV 77

  29. Q4·4:46

    A'ja Wilson makes 5-foot two point shot (Dana Evans assists)

    ·

    CHI 58·LV 77

  30. Q4·4:56

    Kia Nurse enters the game for Michaela Onyenwere

    · ·

    CHI 58·LV 75

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

LV

Home

27-67

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

32-70

40

FG %

46

6-20

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

10-34

6-7

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

6-7

19

Assists

20

17

Turnovers

10

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LV win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LV win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LV win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LV vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

100

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • A'ja WilsonLV
    23.5± 12.0low
  • Chennedy CarterLV
    17.4± 9.2low
  • Rickea JacksonCHI
    16.0± 11.0low

Rebounds

  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    8.5± 5.1low
  • NaLyssa SmithLV
    7.2± 4.5low
  • A'ja WilsonLV
    6.9± 5.6low

Assists

  • Chelsea GrayLV
    6.3± 2.4low
  • Skylar DigginsCHI
    5.4± 3.0low
  • Jackie YoungLV
    5.2± 3.1low

Blocks

  • A'ja WilsonLV
    1.9± 1.5low
  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    1.2± 1.4low
  • Rickea JacksonCHI
    1.2± 1.6low

Steals

  • Aicha CoulibalyCHI
    1.3± 1.2low
  • Jacy SheldonCHI
    1.1± 2.0low
  • Chennedy CarterLV
    1.1± 1.3low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

CHI

CHI

league avg

LV

LV

41.1%

FG%

44.7

▶

49.7%

25.9%

3PT %

32.6

▶

34.9%

82.8

PPG

85.4

▶

91.0

19.3

Assists / G

18.0

▶

22.1

11.0

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

13.6

Data via ESPN · wehoop