
CHI
10-32

LV
28-14
CHI · top performer

Kamilla Cardoso
C · #10
10
Pts
15
Reb
3
Ast
LV · top performer

A'ja Wilson
C · #22
31
Pts
11
Reb
2
Ast
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Las Vegas Aces · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 23 | 12 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-5 | -13 | 2 | 0 | |
| 24 | 10 | 5-11 | — | — | -10 | 7 | 3 | |
| 31 | 10 | 5-12 | — | — | -21 | 15 | 3 | |
| 31 | 12 | 5-12 | 2-6 | — | -19 | 4 | 3 | |
| 32 | 10 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 19 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 | — | +2 | 3 | 2 | |
| 19 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 | — | +1 | 3 | 2 | |
| 21 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | — | -8 | 3 | 0 | |
| Team | 66 | 27-67 | 6-20 | 6-7 | 40 | 19 | ||
| DNP: A. Reese, C. Vandersloot, A. Atkins, H. Van Lith | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 12 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | +4 | 1 | 0 | |
| 32 | 31 | 12-20 | 2-2 | 5-5 | +17 | 11 | 2 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | — | +15 | 2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 13 | 5-9 | 3-6 | — | +18 | 5 | 4 | |
| 31 | 20 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | +20 | 5 | 9 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 14 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | — | +3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 28 | 6 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-1 | +8 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-3 | — | -11 | 1 | 3 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | — | -4 | 1 | 1 | |
| Team | 80 | 32-70 | 10-34 | 6-7 | 28 | 20 | ||
| DNP: N. Smith | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
40
FG %
46
19
Ast
20
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
LV
Home
27-67
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
32-70
40
FG %
46
6-20
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
10-34
6-7
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
6-7
12
OR
6
28
DR
22
19
Assists
20
17
Turnovers
10
Season series
LV wins series 3-0
How it ended
LV beat CHI 80-66. A. Wilson paced them with 31 PTS, 11 REB, 2 AST. LV outscored the other side 24-15 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LV vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitStarters(5)
54 PTS · 31 REB · 15 AST
GS 42
Bench(3)
12 PTS · 9 REB · 4 AST
GS 5
Starters(5)
68 PTS · 24 REB · 15 AST
GS 61
Bench(4)
12 PTS · 4 REB · 5 AST
GS 8
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 15 | 15 | 20 | 16 | 66 |
| LV | 24 | 19 | 27 | 10 | 80 |
Period scoring
CHI won 1 · LV won 3
Q1
Banham 6
Wilson 8
Q2
Cardoso 4
Wilson 7
Q3
Williams 6
Wilson 12
Q4
Uzun 6
Wilson 4
Shooting comparison
40%
27-67
FG
46%
32-70
30%
6-20
3PT
29%
10-34
86%
6-7
FT
86%
6-7
Play-by-play · 348 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 66·LV 80
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 66·LV 80
- Q4·21.6
Megan Gustafson defensive rebound
CHI 66·LV 80
- Q4·24.6
Maddy Westbeld misses 27-foot three point jumper
CHI 66·LV 80
- Q4·47.9
Maddy Westbeld defensive rebound
CHI 66·LV 80
- Q4·50.2
Dana Evans misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
CHI 66·LV 80
- Q4·1:15
Rachel Banham makes 16-foot pullup jump shot (Elizabeth Williams assists)
·
CHI 66·LV 80
- Q4·1:33
Kierstan Bell bad pass (Elizabeth Williams steals)
·
CHI 64·LV 80
- Q4·1:35
Maddy Westbeld enters the game for Kia Nurse
·
CHI 64·LV 80
- Q4·1:35
Elizabeth Williams enters the game for Kamilla Cardoso
·
CHI 64·LV 80
- Q4·1:35
Kierstan Bell enters the game for Jewell Loyd
·
CHI 64·LV 80
- Q4·1:35
Aaliyah Nye enters the game for A'ja Wilson
·
CHI 64·LV 80
- Q4·1:35
Megan Gustafson enters the game for Chelsea Gray
·
CHI 64·LV 80
- Q4·1:35
Kiah Stokes enters the game for Jackie Young
·
CHI 64·LV 80
- Q4·1:35
Aces Full timeout
CHI 64·LV 80
- Q4·1:49
Rachel Banham makes 15-foot pullup jump shot (Rebecca Allen assists)
·
CHI 64·LV 80
- Q4·2:09
Kia Nurse defensive rebound
CHI 62·LV 80
- Q4·2:12
A'ja Wilson misses 15-foot step back jumpshot
CHI 62·LV 80
- Q4·2:32
Sevgi Uzun makes driving layup (Kamilla Cardoso assists)
·
CHI 62·LV 80
- Q4·2:57
Jackie Young makes 22-foot three point jumper (Dana Evans assists)
·
CHI 60·LV 80
- Q4·3:14
Rebecca Allen makes 16-foot pullup jump shot (Kamilla Cardoso assists)
·
CHI 60·LV 77
- Q4·3:36
Kamilla Cardoso defensive rebound
CHI 58·LV 77
- Q4·3:39
Jewell Loyd misses 23-foot three point jumper
CHI 58·LV 77
- Q4·3:56
A'ja Wilson defensive rebound
CHI 58·LV 77
- Q4·3:58
Kamilla Cardoso misses driving layup
CHI 58·LV 77
- Q4·4:08
Chelsea Gray out of bounds bad pass turnover
CHI 58·LV 77
- Q4·4:24
A'ja Wilson defensive rebound
CHI 58·LV 77
- Q4·4:26
Rebecca Allen misses 24-foot three point jumper
CHI 58·LV 77
- Q4·4:46
A'ja Wilson makes 5-foot two point shot (Dana Evans assists)
·
CHI 58·LV 77
- Q4·4:56
Kia Nurse enters the game for Michaela Onyenwere
· ·
CHI 58·LV 75
Recap · WNBA
as Vegas Aces held off Chicago Sky, 80–66.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBP● made · ○ missed
● made · ○ missed
Four factors · this game
Who won the possession battle
Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.
eFG%
shooting
TOV%
ball control
OREB%
offensive glass
FT rate
free throws / FGA
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 13 players in cohort
A'ja WilsonLV · CUSG%.32399+
Kiah StokesGS · CAST/TO3.899+
Megan DiLeoPOR · CTS%.67497
Jackie YoungLV · GAST/TO3.396
Kamilla CardosoCHI · CORB%.10789
Shot map + zone breakdown
wehoop via ESPN PBP● made · ○ missed
● made · ○ missed
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
82.9%
ensemble · LV favored
Elo Static
86.3%
P(LV win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
85.8%
P(LV win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
81.3%
P(LV win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
2.24 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
85% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LV vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
115
projections · 90 high confidence
Points
- A'ja WilsonLV25.4± 8.1high
- Jackie YoungLV17.6± 8.4high
- Sydney TaylorCHI16.8± 7.2high
Rebounds
- A'ja WilsonLV9.7± 4.0high
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.0± 3.0high
- Azura StevensCHI7.2± 2.9high
Assists
- Chelsea GrayLV7.0± 2.0high
- Jackie YoungLV6.1± 3.4high
- Natasha CloudCHI5.1± 1.8high
Blocks
- A'ja WilsonLV1.7± 1.4high
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.5± 1.1high
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
Steals
- A'ja WilsonLV1.7± 1.5high
- Jewell LoydLV1.5± 1.0high
- Azura StevensCHI1.3± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Team pages
Elsewhere in the WNBA