Live · 5
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FINAL+1LA
NSH

NSH

36-31-10

23
LA

LA

32-26-19

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLMon, Apr 6FinalSeriesNSH wins series 2-1VegasLA -135

Recap · NHL

os Angeles Kings held off Nashville Predators, 3–2.

NSH +1.5 cashed (LA won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Filip Forsberg

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

LA · top performer

LA
Joel Armia

Joel Armia

RW · #40

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
2
3
NSH36-31-10LA32-26-19
NSH

NSH

36-31-10

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
LA

LA

32-26-19

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

0

PIM

4

Season series

NSH wins series 2-1

Oct 26LALA4@NSHNSH5
Apr 3NSHNSH5@LALA4
Apr 7NSHNSH2@LALA3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH+11447%
LALA-13557%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

LA beat NSH 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
NSH011002
LA110013

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · LA won 2

0
1

1

1
1

2

1
0

3

0
0

OT

0
1

SO

NSH
LA

Play-by-play · 345 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    NSH 0·LA 1

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    NSH 0·LA 1

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    NSH 0·LA 1

  4. SO·0:00

    Luke Evangelista Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 0·LA 1

  5. SO·0:00

    Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 0·LA 1

  6. SO·0:00

    Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg

    ·

    NSH 0·LA 1

  7. SO·0:00

    Adrian Kempe Goal Snap Shot

    NSH 0·LA 1

  8. SO·0:00

    Ryan O'Reilly Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg

    · ·

    NSH 0·LA 1

  9. SO·0:00

    Trevor Moore Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 0·LA 1

  10. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    NSH 0·LA 1

  11. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    NSH 2·LA 2

  12. OT·4:37

    Matthew Wood Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg

    · ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  13. OT·3:39

    Brady Skjei shot blocked by Steven Stamkos

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  14. OT·2:52

    Jonathan Marchessault Backhand Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  15. OT·2:34

    Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  16. OT·1:56

    Quinton Byfield Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  17. OT·0:48

    Erik Haula Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg

    · ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  18. OT·0:22

    Giveaway by Artemi Panarin

    NSH 2·LA 2

  19. OT·0:00

    Scott Laughton faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  20. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    NSH 2·LA 2

  21. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 2·LA 2

  22. 3rd·19:50

    Giveaway by Trevor Moore

    NSH 2·LA 2

  23. 3rd·19:45

    Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  24. 3rd·19:19

    Alex Laferriere Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  25. 3rd·18:41

    Zachary L'Heureux hit Alex Laferriere

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  26. 3rd·18:12

    Adam Wilsby Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg

    · ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  27. 3rd·18:02

    Takeaway by Luke Evangelista

    NSH 2·LA 2

  28. 3rd·17:28

    Jonathan Marchessault hit Drew Doughty

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  29. 3rd·17:16

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Anze Kopitar

    ·

    NSH 2·LA 2

  30. 3rd·17:16

    Puck in Netting

    NSH 2·LA 2

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

LA

Home

31

Shots

28

50.0

PCT

0.0

0

PIM

4

25

Faceoffs W

35

20

Blocks

18

18

Giveaways

14

3

Takeaways

6

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·NSH +114/LA -135

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 11 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195
  • Roman JosiNSH · D
    DIST MI245.490
  • Adam WilsbyNSH · D
    BURSTS6889

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · LA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+114

Close price

+114

Open no-vig

44.9%

Close no-vig

44.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR