Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in NSH at LA?

The model favors NSH, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

How is the pick graded?

In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1LA

NSH

36-31-10

32-26-19

NHLMon, Apr 6FinalSeriesNSH wins series 2-1VegasLA -135

NSH · top performer

Roman Josi

D · #59

2Points

—

SOG

LA · top performer

Scott Laughton

C · #21

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. EvangelistaRW · #77	0	0	-1	3	1	0	0	16:41
F. ForsbergLW · #9	0	1	1	4	3	1	0	20:41
E. HaulaLW · #56	0	1	1	1	2	3	0	15:41
T. JostC · #17	0	0	-2	2	1	1	0	13:57
J. KemellRW · #25	0	0	-1	1	4	0	0	10:11
Z. L'HeureuxLW · #68	0	0	0	2	4	2	0	13:49
J. MarchessaultRW · #81	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	19:25
R. O'ReillyC · #90	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	22:10
R. SchaeferLW · #49	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	9:54
S. StamkosC · #91	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	21:38
F. SvechkovC · #40	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	10:29
M. WoodRW · #71	0	0	-2	2	1	0	0	17:14

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BarronD · #20	0	0	0	1	1	5	0	22:00
R. JosiD · #59	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	28:09
N. PerbixD · #48	0	0	-2	1	0	2	0	14:26
B. SkjeiD · #76	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	22:45
R. UfkoD · #85	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	13:25
A. WilsbyD · #83	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	22:25

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SarosG · #74	28	2	26	.929	65:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ArmiaRW · #40	1	0	2	2	1	0	0	14:56
Q. ByfieldRW · #55	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	20:52
S. HeleniusC · #79	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	7:41
A. KempeRW · #9	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	19:21
A. KopitarC · #11	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	19:48
A. LaferriereRW · #14	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	20:45
S. LaughtonC · #21	1	0	2	5	1	1	2	15:05
J. MalottLW · #39	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	7:47
T. MooreLW · #12	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	17:43
A. PanarinLW · #10	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	20:52
T. WardRW · #52	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	8:31
J. WrightRW · #53	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	13:22

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AndersonD · #44	0	0	-1	1	1	3	2	23:31
C. CeciD · #5	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	17:45
B. ClarkeD · #92	0	0	1	2	0	7	0	21:29
D. DoughtyD · #8	0	0	-1	2	0	2	0	25:14
B. DumoulinD · #2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	16:03
J. EdmundsonD · #6	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	20:55

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. ForsbergG · #31	31	2	29	.935	65:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

NSH wins series 2-1

Oct 26

LA4@

NSH5

Apr 3

NSH5@

LA4

Apr 7

NSH2@

LA3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSH+11447%

LA-13557%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 86 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

LA beat NSH 3-2. S. Laughton led the way — 1 G · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
NSH	0	1	1	0	0	2
LA	1	1	0	0	1	3

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · LA won 2

NSH

Play-by-play · 345 plays

period

event

player

SO·0:00
Game End
NSH 0·LA 1
SO·0:00
End of OT
NSH 0·LA 1
SO·0:00
End of Shootout
NSH 0·LA 1
SO·0:00
Luke Evangelista Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
NSH 0·LA 1
SO·0:00
Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
NSH 0·LA 1
SO·0:00
Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
NSH 0·LA 1
SO·0:00
Adrian Kempe Goal Snap Shot
NSH 0·LA 1
SO·0:00
Ryan O'Reilly Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
· ·
NSH 0·LA 1
SO·0:00
Trevor Moore Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 0·LA 1
SO·0:00
Start of Shootout
NSH 0·LA 1
OT·5:00
End of OT
NSH 2·LA 2
OT·4:37
Matthew Wood Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
· ·
NSH 2·LA 2
OT·3:39
Brady Skjei shot blocked by Steven Stamkos
·
NSH 2·LA 2
OT·2:52
Jonathan Marchessault Backhand Wide Left
·
NSH 2·LA 2
OT·2:34
Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 2·LA 2
OT·1:56
Quinton Byfield Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 2·LA 2
OT·0:48
Erik Haula Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
· ·
NSH 2·LA 2
OT·0:22
Giveaway by Artemi Panarin
NSH 2·LA 2
OT·0:00
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
NSH 2·LA 2
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·19:50
Giveaway by Trevor Moore
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·19:45
Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·19:19
Alex Laferriere Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·18:41
Zachary L'Heureux hit Alex Laferriere
·
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·18:12
Adam Wilsby Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
· ·
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·18:02
Takeaway by Luke Evangelista
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·17:28
Jonathan Marchessault hit Drew Doughty
·
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·17:16
Erik Haula faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
NSH 2·LA 2
3rd·17:16
Puck in Netting
NSH 2·LA 2

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·NSH +114/LA -135

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

os Angeles Kings held off Nashville Predators, 3–2.

NSH +1.5 cashed (LA won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.3%

ensemble · LA favored

Elo Static
52.3%
P(LA win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
52.3%
P(LA win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
52.3%
P(LA win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+114

Close price

+114

Open no-vig

44.9%

Close no-vig

44.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Logged before tip · graded in public

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in NSH at LA?: The model favors NSH, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.
How is the pick graded?: In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

Team pages

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