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FINAL+4WPG
SEA

SEA

32-33-11

26
WPG

WPG

34-31-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLMon, Apr 6FinalSeriesSEA wins series 2-1VegasWPG -166

Recap · NHL

innipeg Jets held off Seattle Kraken, 6–2.

WPG -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

SEA
Matty Beniers

Matty Beniers

C · #10

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

WPG
Mark Scheifele

Mark Scheifele

C · #55

3Points

0

G

3

A

—

SOG

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
6
SEA32-33-11WPG34-31-12
SEA

SEA

32-33-11

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
WPG

WPG

34-31-12

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

0

Season series

SEA wins series 2-1

Oct 24SEASEA3@WPGWPG0
Nov 14WPGWPG3@SEASEA5
Apr 6SEASEA2@WPGWPG6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+14042%
WPGWPG-16662%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WPG beat SEA 6-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SEA1012
WPG1236

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · WPG won 2

1
1

1

0
2

2

1
3

3

SEA
WPG

Play-by-play · 316 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SEA 2·WPG 6

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 2·WPG 6

  3. 3rd·19:25

    Adam Lowry faceoff won against Oscar Fisker Molgaard

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 6

  4. 3rd·19:25

    Puck in Netting

    SEA 2·WPG 6

  5. 3rd·19:23

    Ryan Lindgren shot blocked by Brad Lambert

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 6

  6. 3rd·17:56

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Oscar Fisker Molgaard

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 6

  7. 3rd·17:56

    Vladislav Namestnikov Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: none

    SEA 2·WPG 6

  8. 3rd·17:35

    Brandon Montour Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  9. 3rd·17:22

    Neal Pionk hit Brandon Montour

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  10. 3rd·16:40

    Gabriel Vilardi Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  11. 3rd·16:32

    Giveaway by Cole Perfetti

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  12. 3rd·16:19

    Haydn Fleury hit Oscar Fisker Molgaard

    · ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  13. 3rd·16:19

    Oscar Fisker Molgaard shot blocked by Haydn Fleury

    · ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  14. 3rd·16:00

    Cole Koepke Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  15. 3rd·15:53

    Ryker Evans Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  16. 3rd·15:47

    Ryker Evans shot blocked by Isak Rosen

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  17. 3rd·15:19

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  18. 3rd·15:19

    Kyle Connor Goal (38) Snap Shot, assists: Mark Scheifele (63), Alex Iafallo (16)

    · ·

    SEA 2·WPG 5

  19. 3rd·15:15

    Kyle Connor Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  20. 3rd·15:11

    Alex Iafallo Slap Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  21. 3rd·14:49

    Giveaway by Matty Beniers

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  22. 3rd·14:37

    Takeaway by Brandon Montour

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  23. 3rd·14:28

    Giveaway by Nino Niederreiter

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  24. 3rd·14:23

    Jared McCann Tip-In saved by Connor Hellebuyck

    · ·

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  25. 3rd·13:51

    Brad Lambert Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  26. 3rd·13:48

    Nino Niederreiter hit Adam Larsson

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  27. 3rd·13:38

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  28. 3rd·13:38

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  29. 3rd·13:36

    Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck

    · ·

    SEA 2·WPG 4

  30. 3rd·13:32

    Oscar Fisker Molgaard Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 2·WPG 4

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

24

Shots

31

0.0

PCT

100.0

6

PIM

0

25

Faceoffs W

35

10

Blocks

11

15

Giveaways

13

5

Takeaways

3

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·SEA +140/WPG -166

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
    DIST MI293.099+
  • Bobby McMannSEA · C
    SKATE MPH24.399
  • Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
    SKATE MPH24.299
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · WPG favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WPG vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 123 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Kyle ConnorWPG
    3.7± 1.8high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    3.0± 1.8high
  • Brandon MontourSEA
    3.0± 1.3high

Goals

  • Kyle ConnorWPG
    0.6± 0.8high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    0.3± 0.5high
  • Jared McCannSEA
    0.3± 0.5high

Points

  • Mark ScheifeleWPG
    1.4± 1.2high
  • Kyle ConnorWPG
    1.0± 0.9high
  • Gabriel VilardiWPG
    0.9± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR