Live · 3
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FINAL+1ANA
ANA

ANA

23-21-3

32
LA

LA

19-16-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLFri, Jan 16FinalSeriesANA leads series 2-1VegasLA -148

Recap · NHL

naheim Ducks went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 3–2.

ANA +1.5 cashed (LA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

ANA
Beckett Sennecke

Beckett Sennecke

RW · #45

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

LA · top performer

LA
Joel Armia

Joel Armia

RW · #40

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
3
2
ANA23-21-3LA19-16-12
ANA

ANA

23-21-3

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
LA

LA

19-16-12

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

6

Season series

ANA leads series 2-1

Nov 28LALA4@ANAANA5
Dec 28ANAANA1@LALA6
Jan 17ANAANA3@LALA2today
Jan 18LALA1@ANAANA2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANAANA+12445%
LALA-14860%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

ANA beat LA 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
ANA020013
LA110002

Period scoring

ANA won 2 · LA won 1

0
1

1

2
1

2

0
0

3

0
0

OT

1
0

SO

ANA
LA

Play-by-play · 329 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    ANA 2·LA 1

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    ANA 2·LA 1

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    ANA 2·LA 1

  4. SO·0:00

    Mason McTavish Goal Backhand

    ANA 2·LA 1

  5. SO·0:00

    Kevin Fiala Backhand saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 1

  6. SO·0:00

    Beckett Sennecke Goal Backhand

    ANA 1·LA 1

  7. SO·0:00

    Brandt Clarke Goal Wrist Shot

    ANA 0·LA 1

  8. SO·0:00

    Mikael Granlund Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 1

  9. SO·0:00

    Adrian Kempe Snap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 1

  10. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    ANA 0·LA 0

  11. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    ANA 2·LA 2

  12. OT·4:42

    Giveaway by Beckett Sennecke

    ANA 2·LA 2

  13. OT·3:15

    Beckett Sennecke Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  14. OT·3:06

    Brandt Clarke Slap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  15. OT·1:33

    Cutter Gauthier Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  16. OT·0:15

    Mikael Granlund Snap Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  17. OT·0:05

    Giveaway by Beckett Sennecke

    ANA 2·LA 2

  18. OT·0:00

    Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Adrian Kempe

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  19. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    ANA 2·LA 2

  20. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    ANA 2·LA 2

  21. 3rd·19:38

    Quinton Byfield faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  22. 3rd·19:38

    Goalie Stopped

    ANA 2·LA 2

  23. 3rd·19:36

    Ian Moore Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  24. 3rd·19:24

    Tim Washe faceoff won against Alex Turcotte

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  25. 3rd·19:24

    Icing

    ANA 2·LA 2

  26. 3rd·19:04

    Giveaway by Warren Foegele

    ANA 2·LA 2

  27. 3rd·18:33

    Brandt Clarke Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  28. 3rd·18:18

    Mikael Granlund shot blocked by Joel Edmundson

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  29. 3rd·17:56

    Jeff Malott hit Radko Gudas

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

  30. 3rd·17:13

    Kevin Fiala shot blocked by Ian Moore

    ·

    ANA 2·LA 2

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

LA

Home

28

Shots

28

0.0

PCT

0.0

8

PIM

6

29

Faceoffs W

29

18

Blocks

11

16

Giveaways

16

5

Takeaways

6

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·ANA +124/LA -148

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan PoehlingANA · C
    SKATE MPH23.498
  • Jackson LaCombeANA · D
    DIST MI47.993
  • Cutter GauthierANA · LW
    SHOT MPH89.691
  • Warren FoegeleOTT · LW
    SKATE MPH22.786
  • Alex KillornANA · LW
    SHOT MPH88.385

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · LA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR