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FINAL+1SEA
SEA

SEA

18-14-7

43
VAN

VAN

16-20-4

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLFri, Jan 2FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasVAN -142

Recap · NHL

eattle Kraken went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 4–3.

SEA +1.5 cashed (VAN lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

SEA
Jordan Eberle

Jordan Eberle

RW · #7

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

VAN
Jake DeBrusk

Jake DeBrusk

LW · #74

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
4
3
SEA18-14-7VAN16-20-4
SEA

SEA

18-14-7

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
VAN

VAN

16-20-4

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

4

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 30VANVAN3@SEASEA2
Jan 3SEASEA4@VANVAN3today
Mar 1VANVAN1@SEASEA5
Mar 15SEASEA5@VANVAN2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VAN -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+12045%
VANVAN-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VAN -1.5↗SpreadBet VAN -1.5↗

Line movement · 14 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SEA beat VAN 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
SEA120014
VAN021003

Period scoring

SEA won 2 · VAN won 1

1
0

1

2
2

2

0
1

3

0
0

OT

1
0

SO

SEA
VAN

Play-by-play · 332 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  4. SO·0:00

    Matty Beniers Goal Wrist Shot

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  5. SO·0:00

    Liam Ohgren Backhand saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  6. SO·0:00

    Kaapo Kakko Backhand saved by Thatcher Demko

    ·

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  7. SO·0:00

    Elias Pettersson Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    · ·

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  8. SO·0:00

    Freddy Gaudreau Snap Shot saved by Thatcher Demko

    ·

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  9. SO·0:00

    Jake DeBrusk Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  10. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    SEA 1·VAN 0

  11. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  12. OT·4:55

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Aatu Raty

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  13. OT·4:55

    Puck in Netting

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  14. OT·4:21

    Filip Hronek shot blocked by Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  15. OT·4:08

    Brock Boeser shot blocked by Jake DeBrusk

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  16. OT·3:42

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  17. OT·3:42

    Goalie Stopped

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  18. OT·3:39

    Jake DeBrusk Tip-In saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  19. OT·3:28

    Giveaway by Ryan Lindgren

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  20. OT·3:25

    Filip Hronek Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  21. OT·3:22

    Jake DeBrusk Backhand Wide Left

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  22. OT·3:22

    Jake DeBrusk Backhand saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  23. OT·3:21

    Filip Hronek Slap Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  24. OT·2:56

    Brock Boeser shot blocked by Adam Larsson

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  25. OT·2:45

    Brock Boeser faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  26. OT·2:45

    Berkly Catton Interference against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  27. OT·2:28

    Berkly Catton Snap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  28. OT·2:13

    Eeli Tolvanen Wrist Shot saved by Thatcher Demko

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  29. OT·1:25

    Matty Beniers Snap Shot saved by Thatcher Demko

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

  30. OT·1:24

    Matty Beniers Wrist Shot saved by Thatcher Demko

    ·

    SEA 3·VAN 3

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

28

Shots

24

50.0

PCT

66.7

6

PIM

4

24

Faceoffs W

30

20

Blocks

6

21

Giveaways

23

5

Takeaways

5

Betting line

VAN -1.5·O/U 5.5·SEA +120/VAN -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock BoeserVAN · RW
    SHOT MPH96.498
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Filip HronekVAN · D
    DIST MI292.398
  • Jared McCannSEA · LW
    SHOT MPH94.496
  • Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
    SKATE MPH23.595

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · VAN favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(VAN win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(VAN win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(VAN win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

VAN vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 129 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Jake DeBruskVAN
    3.1± 2.4high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    3.0± 1.8high
  • Brandon MontourSEA
    3.0± 1.3high

Goals

  • Jake DeBruskVAN
    0.5± 0.7high
  • Brock BoeserVAN
    0.4± 1.0high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    0.3± 0.5high

Points

  • Brock BoeserVAN
    0.9± 1.3high
  • Filip HronekVAN
    0.7± 0.6high
  • Jake DeBruskVAN
    0.7± 0.6high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR