Live · 3
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+2CGY
CGY

CGY

20-23-4

31
CHI

CHI

19-21-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 15FinalSeriesCHI wins series 2-1VegasCHI -120

Recap · NHL

algary Flames went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 3–1.

CGY +1.5 cashed (CHI lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CGY · top performer

CGY
Mikael Backlund

Mikael Backlund

C · #11

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

CHI · top performer

CHI
Colton Dach

Colton Dach

C · #34

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
1
CGY20-23-4CHI19-21-7
CGY

CGY

20-23-4

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CHI

CHI

19-21-7

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

19

PIM

17

Season series

CHI wins series 2-1

Nov 8CHICHI4@CGYCGY0
Nov 19CGYCGY2@CHICHI5
Jan 16CGYCGY3@CHICHI1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CHI -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CGYCGY+10050%
CHICHI-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CHI -1.5↗SpreadBet CHI -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CGY beat CHI 3-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CGY2013
CHI1001

Period scoring

CGY won 2 · CHI won 0

2
1

1

0
0

2

1
0

3

CGY
CHI

Play-by-play · 309 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CGY 3·CHI 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CGY 3·CHI 1

  3. 3rd·19:36

    Mikael Backlund faceoff won against Oliver Moore

    ·

    CGY 3·CHI 1

  4. 3rd·19:36

    Puck in Netting

    CGY 3·CHI 1

  5. 3rd·19:34

    Colton Dach shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz

    · ·

    CGY 3·CHI 1

  6. 3rd·18:59

    Nick Foligno faceoff won against Nazem Kadri

    ·

    CGY 3·CHI 1

  7. 3rd·18:59

    Matt Coronato Goal (13) Wrist Shot, assists: Yegor Sharangovich (9)

    ·

    CGY 3·CHI 1

  8. 3rd·18:54

    Giveaway by Andre Burakovsky

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  9. 3rd·18:01

    Morgan Frost faceoff won against Oliver Moore

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  10. 3rd·18:01

    Icing

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  11. 3rd·17:54

    Nick Foligno hit MacKenzie Weegar

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  12. 3rd·17:23

    Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Nick Foligno

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  13. 3rd·17:06

    Oliver Moore shot blocked by Joel Hanley

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  14. 3rd·16:26

    Mikael Backlund Wrist Shot High and Wide Left

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  15. 3rd·16:26

    Giveaway by Alex Vlasic

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  16. 3rd·15:44

    Giveaway by Joel Farabee

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  17. 3rd·15:33

    Jason Dickinson faceoff won against Joel Farabee

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  18. 3rd·15:33

    Puck in Netting

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  19. 3rd·15:31

    Morgan Frost shot blocked by Louis Crevier

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  20. 3rd·15:17

    Louis Crevier hit Adam Klapka

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  21. 3rd·15:06

    MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Louis Crevier

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  22. 3rd·15:00

    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Wyatt Kaiser

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  23. 3rd·14:39

    Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Andre Burakovsky

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  24. 3rd·14:36

    Nazem Kadri faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  25. 3rd·14:36

    Icing

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  26. 3rd·14:21

    Matt Coronato Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  27. 3rd·14:18

    Giveaway by Artyom Levshunov

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  28. 3rd·13:49

    Andre Burakovsky faceoff won against Yegor Sharangovich

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  29. 3rd·13:49

    Goalie Stopped

    CGY 2·CHI 1

  30. 3rd·13:47

    Louis Crevier Snap Shot saved by Devin Cooley

    ·

    CGY 2·CHI 1

Team stats

CGY

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

23

Shots

23

25.0

PCT

0.0

19

PIM

17

26

Faceoffs W

31

12

Blocks

19

18

Giveaways

18

4

Takeaways

7

Betting line

CHI -1.5·O/U 6.5·CGY +100/CHI -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Yan KuznetsovCGY · D
    SHOT MPH100.297
  • Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D
    DIST MI54.196
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595
  • Mikael BacklundCGY · C
    SHOT MPH93.594

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-120

Close price

-120

Open no-vig

52.2%

Close no-vig

52.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR