Jan 16, 26sim 98
33
4(H)1
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+1LA
NYR
21-24-6
34
LA
20-16-13
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
os Angeles Kings held off New York Rangers, 4–3.
NYR +1.5 cashed (LA won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NYR · top performer
J.T. Miller
LW · #8
2Points
2
G
0
A
—
SOG
LA · top performer
Kevin Fiala
LW · #22
2Points
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
NYR21-24-6
34
LA20-16-13
NYR21-24-6LA20-16-13
NYR
21-24-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
LA
20-16-13
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
4
Season series
LA leads series 1-0
Jan 21NYR3@LA4today
NYR3@LA4todayMar 16LA4@NYR1
LA4@NYR1Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LA -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
NYR+15439%LA-18565%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 12 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
LA beat NYR 4-3.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| LA | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Period scoring
NYR won 1 · LA won 1
2
2
1
0
2
2
1
0
3
NYR
LA
Play-by-play · 338 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 3·LA 4
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 3·LA 4
- 3rd·19:58
Vincent Trocheck Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
NYR 3·LA 4
- 3rd·19:57
Alexis Lafrenière shot blocked by Cody Ceci
·
NYR 3·LA 4
- 3rd·19:56
Vincent Trocheck Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
NYR 3·LA 4
- 3rd·19:55
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
NYR 3·LA 4
- 3rd·19:55
Icing
NYR 3·LA 4
- 3rd·19:33
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against J.T. Miller
·
NYR 3·LA 4
- 3rd·19:33
J.T. Miller Goal (13) Snap Shot, assists: Vladislav Gavrikov (9), Vincent Trocheck (21)
· ·
NYR 3·LA 4
- 3rd·19:29
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·19:29
Puck in Netting
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·19:27
J.T. Miller shot blocked by Warren Foegele
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·19:26
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·19:26
Icing
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·19:02
Vincent Trocheck shot blocked by Cody Ceci
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·18:43
Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·18:39
Adrian Kempe Wrist Shot Wide Left
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·18:11
Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·18:06
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Alex Laferriere
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·17:58
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·17:58
Icing
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·17:53
Cody Ceci Wrist Shot Wide Right
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·17:47
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Corey Perry
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·17:30
J.T. Miller Tip-In Wide Left
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·17:18
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·17:18
Puck in Crowd
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·16:53
Carson Soucy hit Taylor Ward
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·16:44
Giveaway by Brennan Othmann
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·16:28
Kevin Fiala faceoff won against Noah Laba
·
NYR 2·LA 4
- 3rd·16:28
Off-side
NYR 2·LA 4
Team stats
NYR
Away
Stat
LA
Home
36
Shots
27
0.0
PCT
0.0
6
PIM
4
45
Faceoffs W
18
21
Blocks
14
14
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
7
Betting line
LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYR +154/LA -185
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 12 skaters with EDGE- J.T. MillerNYR · LWSHOT MPH102.699+
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · DDIST MI263.494- Noah LabaNYR · CBURSTS17992
Alexis LafreniereNYR · LWDIST MI231.391
Warren FoegeleOTT · LWSKATE MPH22.786
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · LA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+154
Close price
+154
Open no-vig
37.8%
Close no-vig
37.8%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss
Player projections
LA vs NYR.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
141
projections · 126 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Alex LaferriereLA3.0± 1.6high
- Quinton ByfieldLA3.0± 2.2high
- Trevor MooreLA2.6± 2.0high
Goals
- Adrian KempeLA0.5± 0.7high
- Quinton ByfieldLA0.4± 0.7high
- Gabe PerreaultNYR0.4± 1.0high
Points
- Adam FoxNYR1.2± 1.0high
- J.T. MillerNYR1.0± 1.0high
- Mika ZibanejadNYR0.9± 1.0high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands