NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2OTT

WPG

15-21-4

OTT

20-15-5

NHLSat, Jan 3FinalSeriesOTT wins series 2-0VegasOTT -120

Recap · NHL

ttawa Senators held off Winnipeg Jets, 4–2.

OTT -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WPG · top performer

Kyle Connor

LW · #81

2Points

—

SOG

OTT · top performer

Drake Batherson

RW · #19

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. BarronC · #36	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	15:35
K. ConnorLW · #81	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	22:29
A. IafalloLW · #9	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	17:28
C. KoepkeLW · #45	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	8:46
A. LowryC · #17	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	14:13
V. NamestnikovC · #7	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	9:21
N. NiederreiterRW · #62	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	15:17
T. PearsonLW · #70	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	8:20
C. PerfettiC · #91	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	14:34
M. ScheifeleC · #55	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	20:34
J. ToewsC · #19	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	15:24
G. VilardiC · #13	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	18:04

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
D. DeMeloD · #2	0	1	1	0	3	1	2	18:15
C. MillerD · #6	0	0	-2	1	2	0	0	10:29
J. MorrisseyD · #44	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	26:05
N. PionkD · #4	0	0	1	3	1	2	0	24:44
D. SambergD · #54	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	20:51
L. StanleyD · #64	0	0	-2	0	0	0	6	12:33

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
C. HellebuyckG · #37	27	4	23	.852	57:21

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. AmadioRW · #22	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	13:33
D. BathersonRW · #19	1	0	-1	3	2	0	0	18:00
N. CousinsC · #21	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	10:10
D. CozensC · #24	0	1	-1	2	1	0	0	18:26
C. GirouxRW · #28	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	18:42
R. GreigC · #71	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	16:23
S. HallidayC · #83	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7:53
D. PerronLW · #57	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	11:24
S. PintoC · #12	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	21:22
T. StutzleC · #18	0	1	-1	3	0	1	0	20:49
B. TkachukLW · #7	0	1	-1	3	2	0	10	14:18
F. ZetterlundLW · #20	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	10:03

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
T. ChabotD · #72	2	0	0	2	0	3	0	20:30
N. JensenD · #3	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	16:09
T. KlevenD · #43	0	0	0	2	3	3	0	15:48
J. SandersonD · #85	0	1	0	0	0	4	0	27:56
J. SpenceD · #10	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	10:46
A. ZubD · #2	0	0	1	2	2	3	4	19:48

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
L. MerilainenG · #1	23	2	21	.913	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

OTT wins series 2-0

Dec 16

OTT3@

WPG2

Jan 4

WPG2@

OTT4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WPG+10050%

OTT-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

OTT beat WPG 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WPG	1	0	1	2
OTT	1	2	1	4

Period scoring

WPG won 0 · OTT won 1

WPG

OTT

Play-by-play · 288 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·19:51
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Jonathan Toews
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·19:51
Icing
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·19:10
Ridly Greig faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·19:10
Goalie Stopped
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·19:08
Mark Scheifele Wrist Shot saved by Leevi Meriläinen
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·18:45
Alex Iafallo Snap Shot Wide Left
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·18:35
Mark Scheifele faceoff won against Claude Giroux
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·18:35
Puck Frozen - Goalie
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·18:30
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·18:13
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Adam Lowry
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·18:09
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Dylan Cozens
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·18:09
Icing
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·18:04
Tyler Kleven Wrist Shot Wide Left
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·17:39
Colin Miller Slap Shot saved by Leevi Meriläinen
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·17:20
Logan Stanley shot blocked by Artem Zub
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·16:39
Morgan Barron hit Nick Jensen
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·16:18
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·16:09
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Tim Stützle
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·16:09
Icing
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·16:01
Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Leevi Meriläinen
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·15:56
Mark Scheifele Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·15:43
Claude Giroux Tip-In saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·15:28
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·15:28
Claude Giroux Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Jake Sanderson (21), Shane Pinto (9)
· ·
WPG 2·OTT 4
3rd·15:20
Shane Pinto Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
WPG 2·OTT 3
3rd·15:00
Drake Batherson Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 2·OTT 3
3rd·14:44
Nino Niederreiter hit Nick Jensen
·
WPG 2·OTT 3
3rd·14:02
Jordan Spence hit Josh Morrissey
·
WPG 2·OTT 3

Team stats

WPG

Away

Stat

OTT

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

40.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 5.5·WPG +100/OTT -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Colin MillerWPG · D
SHOT MPH102.599
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299
Morgan BarronWPG · C
SHOT MPH95.697
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
DIST MI282.397

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.8%

ensemble · OTT favored

Elo Static
61.9%
P(OTT win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
61.9%
P(OTT win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
61.9%
P(OTT win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-120

Close price

-120

Open no-vig

52.2%

Close no-vig

52.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit