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FINAL+5LA
ANA

ANA

21-15-2

16
LA

LA

16-12-9

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSat, Dec 27FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasLA -125

Recap · NHL

os Angeles Kings held off Anaheim Ducks, 6–1.

LA -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

ANA
Leo Carlsson

Leo Carlsson

C · #91

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

LA · top performer

LA
Anze Kopitar

Anze Kopitar

C · #11

3Points

0

G

3

A

—

SOG

NHL · Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
6
ANA21-15-2LA16-12-9
ANA

ANA

21-15-2

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
LA

LA

16-12-9

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

12

PIM

8

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 28LALA4@ANAANA5
Dec 28ANAANA1@LALA6today
Jan 17ANAANA3@LALA2
Jan 18LALA1@ANAANA2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANAANA+10549%
LALA-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

LA beat ANA 6-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
ANA0101
LA4026

Period scoring

ANA won 1 · LA won 2

0
4

1

1
0

2

0
2

3

ANA
LA

Play-by-play · 301 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    ANA 1·LA 6

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    ANA 1·LA 6

  3. 3rd·19:50

    Chris Kreider Backhand Wide Left

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  4. 3rd·19:48

    Mikael Granlund Slap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  5. 3rd·19:21

    Cody Ceci Wrist Shot High and Wide Left

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  6. 3rd·19:15

    Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by Samuel Helenius

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  7. 3rd·19:11

    Joel Armia shot blocked by Radko Gudas

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  8. 3rd·18:24

    Ryan Poehling faceoff won against Alex Turcotte

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  9. 3rd·18:24

    Off-side

    ANA 1·LA 6

  10. 3rd·18:15

    Kevin Fiala hit Ross Johnston

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  11. 3rd·18:15

    Giveaway by Ross Johnston

    ANA 1·LA 6

  12. 3rd·17:55

    Adrian Kempe Wrist Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  13. 3rd·17:42

    Mikael Granlund Backhand saved by Anton Forsberg

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  14. 3rd·17:17

    Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  15. 3rd·17:17

    Goalie Stopped

    ANA 1·LA 6

  16. 3rd·17:15

    Ian Moore Slap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg

    · ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  17. 3rd·17:06

    Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  18. 3rd·17:06

    Puck in Netting

    ANA 1·LA 6

  19. 3rd·17:04

    Drew Helleson shot blocked by Adrian Kempe

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  20. 3rd·16:30

    Giveaway by Beckett Sennecke

    ANA 1·LA 6

  21. 3rd·16:25

    Warren Foegele Wrist Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  22. 3rd·16:06

    Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by Olen Zellweger

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  23. 3rd·15:49

    Warren Foegele Backhand saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  24. 3rd·15:44

    Giveaway by Radko Gudas

    ANA 1·LA 6

  25. 3rd·15:30

    Olen Zellweger shot blocked by Brandt Clarke

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  26. 3rd·15:11

    Alex Killorn Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  27. 3rd·14:59

    Giveaway by Ryan Poehling

    ANA 1·LA 6

  28. 3rd·14:29

    Ian Moore Slap Shot Wide Left

    · ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

  29. 3rd·14:19

    Giveaway by Mikey Anderson

    ANA 1·LA 6

  30. 3rd·13:50

    Cody Ceci Wrist Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    ANA 1·LA 6

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

LA

Home

26

Shots

30

50.0

PCT

25.0

12

PIM

8

27

Faceoffs W

22

13

Blocks

16

18

Giveaways

17

4

Takeaways

3

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 6.5·ANA +105/LA -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan PoehlingANA · C
    SKATE MPH23.498
  • Leo CarlssonANA · C
    BURSTS4996
  • Jackson LaCombeANA · D
    DIST MI47.993
  • Cutter GauthierANA · LW
    SHOT MPH89.691
  • Warren FoegeleOTT · LW
    SKATE MPH22.786

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · LA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR