NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1MIN

MIN

23-10-6

WPG

15-17-4

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSat, Dec 27FinalSeriesMIN leads series 2-1VegasMIN -115

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild went into Winnipeg Jets and beat them, 4–3 in overtime.

WPG +1.5 cashed (MIN won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

MIN · top performer

Kirill Kaprizov

LW · #97

3Points

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

Kyle Connor

LW · #81

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

MIN23-10-6

WPG15-17-4

MIN23-10-6WPG15-17-4

MIN

23-10-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

WPG

15-17-4

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

MIN leads series 2-1

Oct 29

WPG4@

MIN3

Nov 23

MIN3@

WPG0

Dec 28

MIN4@

WPG3today

Jan 16

WPG6@

MIN2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

MIN-11553%

WPG-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MIN beat WPG 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
MIN	1	1	1	1	4
WPG	1	2	0	0	3

Period scoring

MIN won 2 · WPG won 1

MIN

WPG

Play-by-play · 310 plays

period

event

player

OT·0:39
Game End
MIN 4·WPG 3
OT·0:39
End of OT
MIN 4·WPG 3
OT·0:39
Matt Boldy Goal (24) Snap Shot, assists: Quinn Hughes (27), Kirill Kaprizov (23)
· ·
MIN 4·WPG 3
OT·0:22
Mark Scheifele Slap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
MIN 3·WPG 3
OT·0:00
Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
MIN 3·WPG 3
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
MIN 3·WPG 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
MIN 3·WPG 3
3rd·19:38
Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
MIN 3·WPG 3
3rd·19:38
Mats Zuccarello Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Kirill Kaprizov (22), Quinn Hughes (26)
· ·
MIN 3·WPG 3
3rd·19:35
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Morgan Barron
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·19:30
Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Morgan Barron
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·19:30
Timeout - Visitor
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·19:30
Dylan DeMelo Cross-checking against Joel Eriksson Ek
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·19:17
Kirill Kaprizov Slap Shot Wide Left
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·18:47
Adam Lowry Wrist Shot Wide Left
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·18:30
Matt Boldy shot blocked by Adam Lowry
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·18:05
Mark Scheifele faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·18:05
Puck in Benches
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·17:58
Mats Zuccarello Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·17:34
Nino Niederreiter Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·17:00
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Ryan Hartman
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·17:00
Goalie Stopped
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·16:58
Dylan Samberg Slap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·16:50
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·16:50
Icing
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·16:05
Giveaway by Mark Scheifele
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·15:34
Jared Spurgeon Slap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·15:08
Adam Lowry faceoff won against Ryan Hartman
·
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·15:08
Goalie Stopped
MIN 2·WPG 3
3rd·15:06
Quinn Hughes Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
MIN 2·WPG 3

Team stats

MIN

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

Shots

25.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 5.5·MIN -115/WPG -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Brock FaberMIN · D
BURSTS2799+
Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Morgan BarronWPG · C
SHOT MPH95.697
Matt BoldyMIN · LW
SHOT MPH92.897
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
DIST MI282.397

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · WPG favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WPG vs MIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 117 high confidence

Shots on goal

Matt BoldyMIN
3.8± 1.9high
Kyle ConnorWPG
3.7± 1.8high
Joel Eriksson EkMIN
3.3± 1.6high

Goals

Kyle ConnorWPG
0.6± 0.8high
Matt BoldyMIN
0.5± 0.7high
Joel Eriksson EkMIN
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Mark ScheifeleWPG
1.4± 1.2high
Quinn HughesMIN
1.3± 1.1high
Kirill KaprizovMIN
1.2± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands