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FINAL+3MIN
MIN

MIN

21-9-5

52
CBJ

CBJ

14-14-6

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLThu, Dec 18FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasMIN -112

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 5–2.

MIN -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Minnesota Wild at Columbus Blue Jackets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
5
2
MIN21-9-5CBJ14-14-6
MIN

MIN

21-9-5

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CBJ

CBJ

14-14-6

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

2

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 12CBJCBJ7@MINMIN4
Dec 19MINMIN5@CBJCBJ2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

MINMIN-11253%
CBJCBJ-10852%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MIN beat CBJ 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
MIN0235
CBJ1102

Period scoring

MIN won 2 · CBJ won 1

0
1

1

2
1

2

3
0

3

MIN
CBJ

Play-by-play · 342 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  3. 3rd·19:31

    Takeaway by Nico Sturm

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  4. 3rd·19:25

    Denton Mateychuk Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  5. 3rd·19:12

    Nico Sturm faceoff won against Isac Lundeström

    ·

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  6. 3rd·19:12

    Puck in Netting

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  7. 3rd·19:10

    Isac Lundeström Snap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  8. 3rd·19:04

    Isac Lundeström faceoff won against Nico Sturm

    ·

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  9. 3rd·19:04

    Tyler Pitlick Tripping against Denton Mateychuk

    ·

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  10. 3rd·18:46

    Isac Lundeström faceoff won against Nico Sturm

    ·

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  11. 3rd·18:46

    Matt Boldy Goal (20) Backhand, assists: Kirill Kaprizov (19)

    ·

    MIN 5·CBJ 2

  12. 3rd·18:38

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek

    ·

    MIN 4·CBJ 2

  13. 3rd·18:38

    Goalie Stopped

    MIN 4·CBJ 2

  14. 3rd·18:36

    Adam Fantilli Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    MIN 4·CBJ 2

  15. 3rd·18:33

    Takeaway by Ivan Provorov

    MIN 4·CBJ 2

  16. 3rd·18:19

    Nico Sturm Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    MIN 4·CBJ 2

  17. 3rd·18:08

    Nico Sturm faceoff won against Sean Monahan

    ·

    MIN 4·CBJ 2

  18. 3rd·18:08

    Kirill Kaprizov Goal (22) Wrist Shot, assists: Matt Boldy (21), Joel Eriksson Ek (18)

    · ·

    MIN 4·CBJ 2

  19. 3rd·18:01

    Kirill Marchenko shot blocked by Matt Kiersted

    ·

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  20. 3rd·17:46

    Zach Werenski shot blocked by Matt Boldy

    ·

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  21. 3rd·17:42

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek

    ·

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  22. 3rd·17:42

    Goalie Stopped

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  23. 3rd·17:39

    Denton Mateychuk Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  24. 3rd·17:31

    Boone Jenner Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  25. 3rd·17:30

    Boone Jenner Deflected saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  26. 3rd·17:05

    Giveaway by Denton Mateychuk

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  27. 3rd·16:52

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Marcus Foligno

    ·

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  28. 3rd·16:52

    Puck in Netting

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  29. 3rd·16:41

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Ryan Hartman

    ·

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

  30. 3rd·16:41

    Icing

    MIN 3·CBJ 2

Team stats

MIN

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

28

Shots

29

100.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

2

24

Faceoffs W

43

18

Blocks

12

19

Giveaways

16

6

Takeaways

6

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 6.5·MIN -112/CBJ -108

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock FaberMIN · D
    BURSTS2799+
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Egor ChinakhovPIT · RW
    SHOT MPH94.799
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CBJ vs MIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 129 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Matt BoldyMIN
    3.8± 1.9high
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ
    3.4± 2.5high
  • Joel Eriksson EkMIN
    3.3± 1.6high

Goals

  • Matt BoldyMIN
    0.5± 0.7high
  • Joel Eriksson EkMIN
    0.4± 0.7high
  • Kirill KaprizovMIN
    0.4± 0.5high

Points

  • Quinn HughesMIN
    1.3± 1.1high
  • Kirill KaprizovMIN
    1.2± 1.1high
  • Mats ZuccarelloMIN
    1.1± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR