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FINAL+3CAR
CAR

CAR

22-9-2

41
NSH

NSH

13-16-4

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLWed, Dec 17FinalSeriesCAR wins series 2-0VegasCAR -180

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into Nashville Predators and beat them, 4–1.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CAR · top performer

CAR
Sebastian Aho

Sebastian Aho

C · #20

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

NSH · top performer

NSH
Filip Forsberg

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
1
CAR22-9-2NSH13-16-4
CAR

CAR

22-9-2

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NSH

NSH

13-16-4

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

8

Season series

CAR wins series 2-0

Dec 7NSHNSH3@CARCAR6
Dec 18CARCAR4@NSHNSH1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CARCAR-18064%
NSHNSH+15040%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat NSH 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CAR1034
NSH0011

Period scoring

CAR won 2 · NSH won 0

1
0

1

0
0

2

3
1

3

CAR
NSH

Play-by-play · 364 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CAR 4·NSH 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CAR 4·NSH 1

  3. 3rd·19:15

    Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Mark Jankowski

    ·

    CAR 4·NSH 1

  4. 3rd·19:15

    Sebastian Aho Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Andrei Svechnikov (13)

    ·

    CAR 4·NSH 1

  5. 3rd·19:11

    Takeaway by Andrei Svechnikov

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  6. 3rd·18:54

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Sebastian Aho

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  7. 3rd·18:54

    Off-side

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  8. 3rd·18:48

    Giveaway by Ryan O'Reilly

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  9. 3rd·18:33

    Nick Blankenburg Wrist Shot saved by Pyotr Kochetkov

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  10. 3rd·18:27

    Luke Evangelista Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  11. 3rd·18:20

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Steven Stamkos

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  12. 3rd·18:20

    Goalie Stopped

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  13. 3rd·18:18

    Luke Evangelista Wrist Shot saved by Pyotr Kochetkov

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  14. 3rd·18:02

    Takeaway by K'Andre Miller

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  15. 3rd·17:57

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Logan Stankoven

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  16. 3rd·17:57

    Icing

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  17. 3rd·17:53

    Logan Stankoven Wrist Shot Wide Right

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  18. 3rd·17:45

    Adam Wilsby shot blocked by Sean Walker

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  19. 3rd·17:13

    Sebastian Aho Snap Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  20. 3rd·17:09

    Giveaway by Erik Haula

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  21. 3rd·17:06

    Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Nick Blankenburg

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  22. 3rd·17:03

    Andrei Svechnikov Snap Shot Short

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  23. 3rd·16:55

    Sean Walker shot blocked by Erik Haula

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  24. 3rd·16:43

    Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  25. 3rd·16:43

    Puck in Crowd

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  26. 3rd·16:28

    Pyotr Kochetkov shot blocked by Roman Josi

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  27. 3rd·15:56

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  28. 3rd·15:56

    TV Timeout

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  29. 3rd·15:56

    Puck in Crowd

    CAR 3·NSH 1

  30. 3rd·15:00

    Giveaway by Nick Blankenburg

    CAR 3·NSH 1

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

NSH

Home

37

Shots

26

25.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

8

36

Faceoffs W

41

14

Blocks

15

12

Giveaways

18

7

Takeaways

6

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·CAR -180/NSH +150

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NSH favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+150

Close price

+150

Open no-vig

38.4%

Close no-vig

38.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR