NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1STL

WPG

15-16-2

STL

13-15-7

NHLWed, Dec 17FinalSeriesSTL leads series 1-0VegasWPG -155

Recap · NHL

t. Louis Blues held off Winnipeg Jets, 1–0.

STL +1.5 cashed (WPG lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WPG · top performer

Morgan Barron

C · #36

0Points

—

SOG

STL · top performer

Robert Thomas

C · #18

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. BarronC · #36	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	12:23
K. ConnorLW · #81	0	0	-1	3	1	1	0	24:27
A. IafalloLW · #9	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	16:11
C. KoepkeLW · #45	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	11:03
A. LowryC · #17	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	12:43
V. NamestnikovC · #7	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	12:07
N. NiederreiterRW · #62	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	11:59
G. NyquistRW · #14	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	13:24
C. PerfettiC · #91	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	12:27
M. ScheifeleC · #55	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	22:53
J. ToewsC · #19	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	11:26
G. VilardiC · #13	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	17:01

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
D. DeMeloD · #2	0	0	-1	0	2	1	2	18:54
J. MorrisseyD · #44	0	0	-1	1	0	2	2	22:37
N. PionkD · #4	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	22:45
D. SambergD · #54	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	21:41
L. SchennD · #5	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	12:37
L. StanleyD · #64	0	0	0	1	1	0	14	16:57

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
C. HellebuyckG · #37	26	1	25	.962	59:43

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. BerggrenRW · #29	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	12:45
P. BuchnevichLW · #89	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	19:14
D. DvorskyRW · #54	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	14:02
R. FabbriC · #9	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	10:26
M. JosephRW · #71	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	8:33
J. NeighboursLW · #63	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	16:15
B. SchennC · #10	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15:25
O. StenbergC · #28	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	13:38
O. SundqvistC · #70	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	14:23
P. SuterC · #22	0	0	1	6	1	0	2	17:29
R. ThomasC · #18	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	21:20
A. ToropchenkoRW · #13	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	13:45

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
P. BrobergD · #6	0	0	0	0	1	6	0	25:02
J. FaulkD · #72	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	21:40
C. FowlerD · #17	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	20:20
M. KesselD · #51	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:03
L. MaillouxD · #23	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	14:34
C. ParaykoD · #55	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	22:06

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. HoferG · #30	24	0	24	1.000	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

STL leads series 1-0

Dec 18

WPG0@

STL1today

Jan 21

STL1@

WPG3

Mar 15

STL2@

WPG3

Apr 10

WPG3@

STL2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WPG-15561%

STL+13043%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

STL beat WPG 1-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WPG	0	0	0	0
STL	0	1	0	1

Period scoring

WPG won 0 · STL won 1

WPG

STL

Play-by-play · 276 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·19:18
Oskar Sundqvist faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·19:18
Logan Stanley Misconduct
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·19:18
Pius Suter Roughing against Josh Morrissey
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·19:18
Josh Morrissey Roughing against Pius Suter
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·19:18
Logan Stanley Roughing against Pius Suter served by Cole Koepke
· ·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·19:02
Brayden Schenn shot blocked by Josh Morrissey
· ·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·17:06
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Morgan Barron
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·17:06
TV Timeout
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·17:06
Dylan DeMelo Tripping against Jake Neighbours
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·17:06
Puck in Crowd
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·17:04
Brayden Schenn shot blocked by Kyle Connor
· ·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·16:39
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Alexey Toropchenko
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·15:55
Cole Perfetti Batted Wide Right
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·15:52
Cole Perfetti Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·15:33
Nino Niederreiter Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·14:43
Giveaway by Morgan Barron
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·14:16
Giveaway by Logan Stanley
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·13:36
Neal Pionk Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·13:30
Oskar Sundqvist Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·13:17
Neal Pionk Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·12:49
Giveaway by Morgan Barron
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·12:29
Dylan Samberg shot blocked by Morgan Barron
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·12:20
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Brayden Schenn
· ·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·12:20
Puck Frozen - Goalie
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·12:02
Dylan DeMelo hit Logan Mailloux
·
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·11:56
Giveaway by Cole Perfetti
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·10:39
Takeaway by Philip Broberg
WPG 0·STL 1
3rd·10:25
Mark Scheifele faceoff won against Pius Suter
·
WPG 0·STL 1

Team stats

WPG

Away

Stat

STL

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·WPG -155/STL +130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299
Philip BrobergSTL · D
BURSTS15898
Morgan BarronWPG · C
SHOT MPH95.697
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
DIST MI282.397

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.4%

ensemble · STL favored

Elo Static
52.6%
P(STL win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
52.6%
P(STL win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
52.6%
P(STL win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+130

Close price

+130

Open no-vig

41.7%

Close no-vig

41.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit