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FINAL+1VAN
VAN

VAN

12-17-3

21
NJ

NJ

18-14-1

NHLSun, Dec 14FinalSeriesVAN leads series 1-0VegasNJ -125

Recap · NHL

ancouver Canucks went into New Jersey Devils and beat them, 2–1.

VAN +1.5 cashed (NJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Vancouver Canucks at New Jersey Devils · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

6

Season series

VAN leads series 1-0

Dec 14VANVAN2@NJNJ1today
Jan 24NJNJ5@VANVAN4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

VANVAN+10549%
NJNJ-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

VAN beat NJ 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
VAN2002
NJ0101

Period scoring

VAN won 1 · NJ won 1

2
0

1

0
1

2

0
0

3

VAN
NJ

Play-by-play · 292 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  3. 3rd·19:50

    Dougie Hamilton shot blocked by Marco Rossi

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  4. 3rd·19:42

    David Kampf faceoff won against Nico Hischier

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  5. 3rd·19:42

    Off-side

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  6. 3rd·19:34

    Nico Hischier faceoff won against David Kampf

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  7. 3rd·19:34

    Icing

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  8. 3rd·19:28

    Filip Hronek hit Dougie Hamilton

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  9. 3rd·19:28

    Giveaway by Dougie Hamilton

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  10. 3rd·19:13

    Jesper Bratt shot blocked by Tyler Myers

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  11. 3rd·19:06

    Nico Hischier faceoff won against David Kampf

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  12. 3rd·19:06

    Timeout - Home

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  13. 3rd·19:06

    Goalie Stopped

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  14. 3rd·19:04

    Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot saved by Thatcher Demko

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  15. 3rd·18:52

    Nico Hischier Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  16. 3rd·18:39

    Nico Hischier shot blocked by Brock Boeser

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  17. 3rd·18:36

    Dougie Hamilton shot blocked by Marco Rossi

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  18. 3rd·18:35

    Dawson Mercer shot blocked by Tyler Myers

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  19. 3rd·18:29

    Giveaway by Tyler Myers

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  20. 3rd·18:28

    Giveaway by Dougie Hamilton

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  21. 3rd·18:22

    Nico Hischier faceoff won against Marco Rossi

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  22. 3rd·18:22

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  23. 3rd·18:12

    Dougie Hamilton Snap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  24. 3rd·18:08

    Stefan Noesen Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  25. 3rd·18:08

    Stefan Noesen Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  26. 3rd·17:39

    Nico Hischier faceoff won against David Kampf

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  27. 3rd·17:39

    Icing

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  28. 3rd·17:26

    Paul Cotter hit Filip Hronek

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  29. 3rd·16:58

    Tyler Myers hit Ondrej Palat

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

  30. 3rd·16:31

    Drew O'Connor Snap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    VAN 2·NJ 1

Team stats

VAN

Away

Stat

NJ

Home

15

Shots

26

66.7

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

6

27

Faceoffs W

29

16

Blocks

11

12

Giveaways

16

4

Takeaways

4

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·VAN +105/NJ -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock BoeserVAN · RW
    SHOT MPH96.498
  • Filip HronekVAN · D
    DIST MI292.398
  • Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
    SKATE MPH23.595
  • Nils HoglanderVAN · LW
    SHOT MPH93.694
  • Zeev BuiumVAN · D
    SKATE MPH22.788

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

58.5%

ensemble · NJ favored

  • Elo Static

    63.1%

    P(NJ win)

    67%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    63.1%

    P(NJ win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    63.1%

    P(NJ win)

    17%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-125

Close price

-125

Open no-vig

53.2%

Close no-vig

53.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API