2025 season
Model verdict
The verdict · SP+ rating
#17 of 136
SP+ rating 16.2 · 88.1 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)
Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
SP+ components
Offense
+32.9
Higher = better
Defense
+17.9
Lower = better
Special teams
+1.2
Net field-goal + return value
Schedule strength · opponent SP+
Avg opp SP+
+6.2
Avg opp rank
#53
Ranked faced
6
vs ranked
4-2
Mean SP+ of the 13 rated opponents · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.
SEC
Model picks on TEX
Below the 30-pick gate (n=2)