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ACC

NC State

2025 season

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · SP+ rating

#55 of 136

SP+ rating 4.8 · 60 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)

Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Model picks on NCSU

Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)

SP+ components

Offense

+31.4

Higher = better

Defense

+25.5

Lower = better

Special teams

-1.2

Net field-goal + return value

Schedule strength · opponent SP+

Avg opp SP+

+7.6

Avg opp rank

#45

Ranked faced

vs ranked

0-2

Mean SP+ of the 11 rated opponents (of 13 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.

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