2025 season
Model verdict
The verdict · SP+ rating
#95 of 136
SP+ rating -7.5 · 30.4 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)
Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
SP+ components
Offense
+18.2
Higher = better
Defense
+27.4
Lower = better
Special teams
+1.6
Net field-goal + return value
Schedule strength · opponent SP+
Avg opp SP+
-6.4
Avg opp rank
#92
Ranked faced
0
vs ranked
—
Mean SP+ of the 8 rated opponents (of 12 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.
Mid-American
Model picks on BUFF
Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)