NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+31CHI

CHI

30-49

12998

WSH

17-62

NBATue, Apr 7FinalSeriesCHI leads series 2-0VegasCHI -5.5

Recap · NBA

hicago Bulls went into Washington Wizards and beat them, 129–98. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

CHI -5.5 cashed (won by 31). Total stayed UNDER 249.5 by 22.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

Patrick Williams

F · #44

23.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

WSH · top performer

Julian Reese

F · #15

16.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
G. YabuseleF · #28	27	9	3-9	1-5	2-2	+14	6	1
I. OkoroF · #35	16	11	4-7	1-3	2-2	+15	4	2
L. MillerF · #11	25	13	5-11	1-6	2-3	+20	8	1
C. SextonG · #2	30	15	5-16	1-8	4-4	+21	9	7
T. JonesG · #30	27	20	8-15	0-3	4-4	+15	2	9
Bench
P. WilliamsF · #44	32	20	6-8	4-6	4-4	+25	7	6
L. OlbrichC · #47	21	7	3-6	0-1	1-4	+17	7	2
M. McClungG · #5	18	5	2-5	1-3	—	-2	0	3
R. DillinghamG · #7	27	26	9-15	5-8	3-4	+24	7	2
Y. KawamuraG · #8	16	3	1-2	1-2	—	+6	2	2
Team		129	46-94	15-45	22-27		52	35
DNP: Z. Collins, A. Simons

DNP: Z. Collins, A. Simons

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
A. GillF · #16	16	8	3-4	2-2	0-2	-13	1	0
L. BlackF · #12	24	3	1-4	1-3	—	-31	5	0
J. ReeseF · #15	36	17	8-14	—	1-4	-15	11	4
B. CarringtonG · #7	32	14	5-12	2-8	2-2	-20	4	7
B. CoulibalyG · #0	24	19	7-10	2-3	3-6	-22	3	1
Bench
J. ChampagnieF · #9	29	5	2-9	1-5	—	-14	8	2
S. CooperG · #13	27	17	6-10	2-5	3-3	-22	1	4
J. WatkinsG · #5	22	13	4-10	1-7	4-4	-4	7	1
W. RileyG · #27	31	2	1-13	0-5	—	-14	6	3
Team		98	37-86	11-38	13-21		46	22
DNP: T. Vukcevic, J. Hardy, T. Johnson

DNP: T. Vukcevic, J. Hardy, T. Johnson

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Season series

CHI leads series 2-0

Nov 23

WSH120@

CHI121

Apr 7

CHI129@

WSH98today

Apr 9

CHI119@

WSH108

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CHI -5.5

Half-pt above key 5

Total

249.5

High-scoring · +23.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CHI-22569%

WSH+18535%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CHI -5.5↗SpreadBet CHI -5.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

5.5

0.0 since open

Total

249.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCHI ↔ WSH

Biggest swing: 7pp · 1st Quarter · 9:12

CHI

P. Williams

Game leader · 32 min

20 PTS · 7 REB · 6 AST

WSH

J. Reese

Game leader · 36 minDouble-double

17 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST

How it ended

CHI beat WSH 129-98. P. Williams led with 20 PTS, 7 REB, 6 AST. CHI outscored the other side 38-18 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

WSH vs CHI

Starters vs bench

production by unit

CHIstarters 53% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 29 REB · 20 AST

GS 60

Bench(5)

61 PTS · 23 REB · 15 AST

GS 61

WSHstarters 62% of pts

Starters(5)

61 PTS · 24 REB · 12 AST

GS 47

Bench(4)

37 PTS · 22 REB · 10 AST

GS 19

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

CHI1st Quarter · 9:12 · 5-6

+7pp→ 68% WP

Patrick Williams · makes 27-foot three point jumper (Tre Jones assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
CHI	38	28	34	29	129
WSH	18	19	26	35	98

Period scoring

CHI won 3 · WSH won 1

Williams 7

Coulibaly 7

Okoro 6

Champagnie 5

Jones 8

Cooper 10

Dillingham 9

Olbrich 11

CHI

WSH

Shooting comparison

CHI

WSH

49%

46-94

43%

37-86

33%

15-45

3PT

29%

11-38

81%

22-27

62%

13-21

Play-by-play · 498 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 129·WSH 98
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 129·WSH 98
Q4·17.6
Lachlan Olbrich defensive rebound
CHI 129·WSH 98
Q4·17.6
Jamir Watkins misses 24-foot fade away jump shot
CHI 129·WSH 98
Q4·18.7
Jamir Watkins offensive rebound
CHI 129·WSH 98
Q4·21.3
Lachlan Olbrich blocks Julian Reese 's 2-foot layup
·
CHI 129·WSH 98
Q4·42.8
Lachlan Olbrich makes 6-foot two point shot
CHI 129·WSH 98
Q4·42.8
Lachlan Olbrich offensive rebound
CHI 127·WSH 98
Q4·44.7
Leonard Miller misses free throw 2 of 2
CHI 127·WSH 98
Q4·44.7
Leonard Miller makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 127·WSH 98
Q4·44.7
Julian Reese shooting foul
CHI 126·WSH 98
Q4·54.0
Sharife Cooper makes driving layup
CHI 126·WSH 98
Q4·1:00
Leaky Black defensive rebound
CHI 126·WSH 96
Q4·1:04
Yuki Kawamura misses 22-foot three point jumper
CHI 126·WSH 96
Q4·1:10
Julian Reese makes 13-foot fade away jump shot (Sharife Cooper assists)
·
CHI 126·WSH 96
Q4·1:23
Lachlan Olbrich makes 1-foot reverse layup (Yuki Kawamura assists)
·
CHI 126·WSH 94
Q4·1:33
Julian Reese makes 1-foot reverse layup
CHI 124·WSH 94
Q4·1:36
Julian Reese offensive rebound
CHI 124·WSH 92
Q4·1:36
Jamir Watkins misses 24-foot three point jumper
CHI 124·WSH 92
Q4·1:48
Leonard Miller makes free throw 1 of 1
CHI 124·WSH 92
Q4·1:48
Jamir Watkins shooting foul
CHI 123·WSH 92
Q4·1:48
Leonard Miller makes running layup
CHI 123·WSH 92
Q4·1:50
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
CHI 121·WSH 92
Q4·1:53
Will Riley misses driving floating jump shot
CHI 121·WSH 92
Q4·2:14
Rob Dillingham makes 27-foot three point step back jumpshot (Yuki Kawamura assists)
·
CHI 121·WSH 92
Q4·2:25
Lachlan Olbrich offensive rebound
CHI 118·WSH 92
Q4·2:26
Rob Dillingham misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot
CHI 118·WSH 92
Q4·2:37
Jamir Watkins makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 118·WSH 92
Q4·2:37
Jamir Watkins makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 118·WSH 91
Q4·2:37
Lachlan Olbrich personal foul
CHI 118·WSH 90

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

46-94

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

37-86

FG %

15-45

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

11-38

22-27

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

13-21

Assists

Turnovers

Betting line

CHI -5.5·O/U 249.5·CHI -225/WSH +185

DraftKings · via ESPN

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · CHI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

175

projections · 145 high confidence

Points

Anthony DavisWSH
20.5± 9.2high
Collin SextonCHI
17.9± 4.5high
Tre JonesCHI
17.5± 7.4high

Rebounds

Anthony DavisWSH
11.3± 4.3high
Julian ReeseWSH
10.5± 6.4low
Josh GiddeyCHI
8.1± 4.3high

Assists

Josh GiddeyCHI
9.9± 4.4high
Trae YoungWSH
8.1± 3.5medium
Tre JonesCHI
5.2± 2.9high

Blocks

Anthony DavisWSH
1.7± 1.5high
Alex SarrWSH
1.6± 1.4high
Matas BuzelisCHI
1.5± 1.4high

Steals

Collin SextonCHI
1.6± 1.3high
Julian ReeseWSH
1.4± 1.7low
Leaky BlackWSH
1.4± 1.7medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

CHI

league avg

WSH

54.7%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

53.5%

46.9%

FG%

◀

47.0

46.3%

116.3

PPG

◀

114.9

112.9

28.5

Assists / G

◀

25.0

14.6

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.1

Data via ESPN · hoopR