PHX
22-15
MEM
16-21
PHX · top performer
Mark Williams
C · #15
12
Pts
12
Reb
1
Ast
MEM · top performer
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · #8
19
Pts
4
Reb
1
Ast
Biggest swing: 6pp · 2nd Quarter · 11:19
NBA · Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 27 | 12 | 4-9 | 4-9 | — | +9 | 6 | 4 | |
| 25 | 21 | 8-22 | 5-12 | — | +13 | 7 | 3 | |
| 27 | 12 | 5-6 | — | 2-2 | +13 | 12 | 1 | |
| 31 | 13 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | +16 | 1 | 8 | |
| 28 | 10 | 4-6 | 2-4 | — | +12 | 8 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | +1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 5 | 2-2 | — | 1-2 | +5 | 3 | 2 | |
| 22 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | +6 | 1 | 2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | — | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2-2 | — | — | +1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | +1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 21 | 19 | 7-13 | 5-10 | — | +10 | 0 | 1 | |
| 23 | 11 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-1 | +8 | 8 | 6 | |
| Team | 117 | 45-97 | 22-56 | 5-8 | 51 | 31 | ||
| DNP: N. Hayes-Davis | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 29 | 19 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 1-2 | -15 | 4 | 1 | |
| 25 | 11 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | -14 | 5 | 1 | |
| 27 | 9 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | -10 | 7 | 1 | |
| 21 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 | — | -3 | 8 | 4 | |
| 27 | 14 | 5-11 | 4-6 | — | -8 | 3 | 5 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 22 | 7 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | -18 | 3 | 0 | |
| 26 | 8 | 4-8 | 0-2 | — | +3 | 7 | 0 | |
| 20 | 2 | 1-3 | — | 0-2 | -10 | 4 | 2 | |
| 17 | 14 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | -10 | 3 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | -1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 14 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | -9 | 3 | 7 | |
| Team | 98 | 39-92 | 12-37 | 8-14 | 47 | 23 | ||
| DNP: J. Konchar | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
46
FG %
42
31
Ast
23
Team stats
PHX
Away
Stat
MEM
Home
45-97
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
39-92
46
FG %
42
22-56
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
12-37
5-8
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
8-14
31
Assists
23
16
Turnovers
18
Season series
Series tied 1-1
MEM114@PHX113PHX117@MEM98todayPHX131@MEM105Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PHX -5.5
Half-pt above key 5
Total
231.5
Standard · +5.5 vs avg
Moneyline
PHX-20567%MEM+17037%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
5.5
0.0 since open
Total
231.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
PHX beat MEM 117-98. M. Williams led with 12 PTS, 12 REB, 1 AST. PHX outscored the other side 35-24 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
MEM vs PHX
Starters vs bench
production by unitPHXstarters 58% of ptsStarters(5)
68 PTS · 34 REB · 19 AST
GS 63
Bench(8)
49 PTS · 17 REB · 12 AST
GS 38
MEMstarters 54% of ptsStarters(5)
53 PTS · 27 REB · 12 AST
GS 39
Bench(6)
45 PTS · 20 REB · 11 AST
GS 32
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCollin Gillespie · bad pass turnover (GG Jackson steals)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 30 | 35 | 26 | 26 | 117 |
| MEM | 23 | 24 | 21 | 30 | 98 |
Period scoring
PHX won 3 · MEM won 1
Q1
Brooks 9
Jr. 11
Q2
Brooks 9
Jackson 6
Q3
Allen 8
Jr. 7
Q4
O'Neale 6
Small 10
Shooting comparison
46%
45-97
FG
42%
39-92
39%
22-56
3PT
32%
12-37
63%
5-8
FT
57%
8-14
Play-by-play · 482 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHX 117·MEM 98
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHX 117·MEM 98
- Q4·0.0
(00:00) [Suns] REF-INITIATED REVIEW (REPLAY SUPPORTS CALL)
PHX 117·MEM 98
- Q4·3.5
shot clock turnover
PHX 117·MEM 98
- Q4·27.8
Javon Small makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
PHX 117·MEM 98
- Q4·41.7
Nick Richards makes 1-foot dunk (Jordan Goodwin assists)
·
PHX 117·MEM 95
- Q4·53.1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes 1-foot running dunk
PHX 115·MEM 95
- Q4·54.3
Isaiah Livers bad pass turnover (Olivier-Maxence Prosper steals)
·
PHX 115·MEM 93
- Q4·1:08
Rasheer Fleming defensive rebound
PHX 115·MEM 93
- Q4·1:11
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses 23-foot three point jumper
PHX 115·MEM 93
- Q4·1:16
Grizzlies Full timeout
PHX 115·MEM 93
- Q4·1:16
Nick Richards offensive foul turnover
PHX 115·MEM 93
- Q4·1:16
Nick Richards offensive charge
PHX 115·MEM 93
- Q4·1:20
Javon Small bad pass turnover (Nick Richards steals)
·
PHX 115·MEM 93
- Q4·1:29
Rasheer Fleming makes 22-foot three point jumper (Jordan Goodwin assists)
·
PHX 115·MEM 93
- Q4·1:45
Javon Small makes 10-foot driving floating jump shot
PHX 112·MEM 93
- Q4·1:59
Rasheer Fleming makes 23-foot three point jumper (Khaman Maluach assists)
·
PHX 112·MEM 91
- Q4·2:20
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
PHX 109·MEM 91
- Q4·2:23
Jahmai Mashack misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
PHX 109·MEM 91
- Q4·2:31
Nick Richards makes 15-foot jumper (Jordan Goodwin assists)
·
PHX 109·MEM 91
- Q4·2:52
Javon Small makes driving layup
PHX 107·MEM 91
- Q4·3:09
Isaiah Livers enters the game for Ryan Dunn
·
PHX 107·MEM 89
- Q4·3:09
Grizzlies defensive team rebound
PHX 107·MEM 89
- Q4·3:10
Ryan Dunn misses 22-foot three point jumper
PHX 107·MEM 89
- Q4·3:20
Nick Richards defensive rebound
PHX 107·MEM 89
- Q4·3:22
GG Jackson misses driving floating jump shot
PHX 107·MEM 89
- Q4·3:34
Grizzlies offensive team rebound
PHX 107·MEM 89
- Q4·3:37
Javon Small misses running pullup jump shot
PHX 107·MEM 89
- Q4·3:41
Javon Small defensive rebound
PHX 107·MEM 89
- Q4·3:46
Jordan Goodwin misses 26-foot three point jumper
PHX 107·MEM 89
Betting line
PHX -5.5·O/U 231.5·PHX -205/MEM +170
Recap · NBA
hoenix Suns went into Memphis Grizzlies and beat them, 117–98.
PHX -5.5 cashed (won by 19). Total stayed UNDER 231.5 by 16.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort- Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH · FCONT9.197
Devin BookerPHX · GUSG%31.397- Mark WilliamsPHX · CCONT8.496
Dillon BrooksPHX · FUSG%28.694
Olivier-Maxence ProsperMEM · FTS%66.293
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · PHX favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MEM win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MEM win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MEM win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
MEM vs PHX.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
165
projections · 120 high confidence
Points
- Devin BookerPHX24.6± 6.2high
- Jalen GreenPHX21.0± 10.3high
- Dillon BrooksPHX20.2± 8.1high
Rebounds
- Zach EdeyMEM11.3± 7.8low
- Miles BridgesPHX5.8± 3.6high
- Oso IghodaroPHX5.5± 3.2high
Assists
- Devin BookerPHX5.8± 2.3high
- Ty JeromeMEM5.4± 2.7medium
- Walter Clayton Jr.MEM4.7± 2.9high
Blocks
- Zach EdeyMEM1.9± 2.3low
- GG JacksonMEM0.9± 0.7high
- Oso IghodaroPHX0.8± 0.7high
Steals
- Scotty Pippen Jr.MEM1.9± 2.1low
- Jordan GoodwinPHX1.8± 2.1high
- Taylor HendricksMEM1.5± 2.0high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
PHX
league avg
MEM
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.3%
45.5%
FG%
47.0
45.6%
112.2
PPG
114.9
▶114.7
24.5
Assists / G
25.0
▶27.8
13.6
Turnovers / G
14.0
14.6