NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+17DAL

DAL

18-26

11497

25-18

NBAMon, Jan 19FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNY -12.5

DAL · top performer

Max Christie

G · #00

22.7Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

Karl-Anthony Towns

C · #32

16.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowDAL ↔ NY

Biggest swing: 10pp · 1st Quarter · 2:53

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. PowellF · #7	28	2	0-1	—	2-2	+19	5	2
C. MartinF · #16	24	3	1-2	0-1	1-2	+19	1	3
N. MarshallF · #13	33	19	7-18	1-6	4-4	+15	8	4
C. FlaggF · #32	28	18	7-14	1-4	3-6	+21	7	3
M. ChristieG · #00	35	26	9-13	8-10	—	+20	6	2
Bench
J. Robinson-EarlF · #23	14	4	1-4	0-2	2-2	+2	3	1
M. CisseC · #30	20	15	5-6	—	5-8	-2	9	1
K. ThompsonG · #31	21	14	5-12	4-7	—	-8	5	2
B. WilliamsG · #10	11	6	2-4	—	2-4	-9	1	1
R. NembhardG · #9	22	4	2-7	0-1	—	+10	3	5
M. KellyG · #14	2	0	—	—	—	-1	1	1
J. HardyG · #1	2	3	1-1	1-1	—	-1	0	0
Team		114	40-82	15-32	19-28		49	25

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	31	9	3-8	1-4	2-2	-12	6	2
K. TownsC · #32	30	22	9-19	2-5	2-4	-15	18	4
J. HartG · #3	28	8	3-6	2-5	—	-16	6	3
M. BridgesG · #25	33	7	3-10	1-4	—	-21	3	3
J. BrunsonG · #11	34	22	9-24	1-4	3-3	-15	0	6
Bench
G. YabuseleF · #28	3	0	—	—	—	+1	0	0
P. DadietF · #4	3	0	—	—	—	+1	0	1
M. DiawaraF · #51	3	2	1-1	—	—	+1	1	0
M. RobinsonC · #23	19	12	6-8	—	0-2	-11	14	0
A. HukportiC · #55	3	1	—	—	1-2	+1	1	0
J. ClarksonG · #00	2	1	0-3	0-1	1-2	+1	0	0
L. ShametG · #44	23	6	2-5	1-4	1-3	-4	1	1
M. McBrideG · #2	27	5	1-8	1-4	2-2	+3	3	2
T. KolekG · #13	3	2	1-3	—	—	+1	0	0
Team		97	38-95	9-31	12-20		53	22

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

Home

40-82

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

38-95

FG %

15-32

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

9-31

19-28

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

12-20

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 20

NY113@

DAL111

Jan 19

DAL114@

NY97today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -12.5

Between 10 and —

Total

231.5

Standard · +5.5 vs avg

Moneyline

DAL+41020%

NY-55085%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -12.5↗SpreadBet NY -12.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

12.5

0.0 since open

Total

231.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DAL beat NY 114-97. M. Christie paced them with 26 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST. DAL outscored the other side 44-25 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs DAL

Starters vs bench

production by unit

DALstarters 60% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 27 REB · 14 AST

GS 52

Bench(7)

46 PTS · 22 REB · 11 AST

GS 39

NYstarters 70% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 33 REB · 18 AST

GS 45

Bench(9)

29 PTS · 20 REB · 4 AST

GS 22

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

DAL1st Quarter · 2:53 · 27-12

+10pp→ 70% WP

Mitchell Robinson · lost ball turnover (Moussa Cisse steals)

DAL2nd Quarter · 10:22 · 38-27

+6pp→ 61% WP

Cooper Flagg · makes 25-foot three pointer

DAL2nd Quarter · 8:43 · 43-31

+6pp→ 65% WP

Klay Thompson · makes 25-foot running jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
DAL	31	44	19	20	114
NY	22	25	24	26	97

Period scoring

DAL won 2 · NY won 2

Christie 9

Brunson 11

Flagg 11

Towns 9

Christie 8

Brunson 9

Cisse 7

Towns 6

DAL

Shooting comparison

DAL

49%

40-82

40%

38-95

47%

15-32

3PT

29%

9-31

68%

19-28

60%

12-20

Play-by-play · 506 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
DAL 114·NY 97
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DAL 114·NY 97
Q4·23.8
Tyler Kolek makes 7-foot two point shot
DAL 114·NY 97
Q4·31.0
Jaden Hardy makes 25-foot three point jumper (Miles Kelly assists)
·
DAL 114·NY 95
Q4·47.4
Mohamed Diawara makes 18-foot step back jumpshot (Pacome Dadiet assists)
·
DAL 111·NY 95
Q4·1:12
Moussa Cisse makes free throw 2 of 2
DAL 111·NY 93
Q4·1:12
Mavericks offensive team rebound
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:12
Moussa Cisse misses free throw 1 of 2
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:12
Mohamed Diawara personal foul
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:19
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:21
Tyler Kolek misses driving floating jump shot
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:29
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:31
Ryan Nembhard misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shot
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:49
Miles Kelly defensive rebound
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:53
Ariel Hukporti misses free throw 2 of 2
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:53
Ariel Hukporti makes free throw 1 of 2
DAL 110·NY 93
Q4·1:53
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl loose ball foul
·
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·1:53
Knicks offensive team rebound
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·1:54
Moussa Cisse blocks Tyler Kolek 's 3-foot driving layup
·
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:04
Jaden Hardy enters the game for Dwight Powell
·
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:04
Ryan Nembhard enters the game for Cooper Flagg
·
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:04
Miles Kelly enters the game for Max Christie
·
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:04
Moussa Cisse enters the game for Caleb Martin
·
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:04
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl enters the game for Naji Marshall
· ·
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:04
Dwight Powell personal take foul
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:12
Mohamed Diawara defensive rebound
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:14
Cooper Flagg misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:31
Ariel Hukporti lost ball turnover (Caleb Martin steals)
·
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:41
Cooper Flagg makes free throw 2 of 2
DAL 110·NY 92
Q4·2:41
Cooper Flagg makes free throw 1 of 2
DAL 109·NY 92

Betting line

NY -12.5·O/U 231.5·DAL +410/NY -550

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

allas Mavericks went into New York Knicks and beat them, 114–97.

DAL +12.5 cashed (NY lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 231.5 by 20.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Dwight PowellDAL · F
TS%69.999
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496
Cooper FlaggDAL · F
DRIVES12.894

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · DAL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

DAL

league avg

52.7%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

46.6%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.0%

114.1

PPG

114.9

▶

116.4

25.3

Assists / G

25.0

▶

27.0

14.0

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

12.7

Data via ESPN · hoopR