MLBBot 3
PIT 3@CIN 3
-3.1pphigh
MLBBot 1
STL 0@TOR 0
+2.8ppmedium
MLBMid 1
ARI 0@CLE 0
-2.9ppmedium
MLBBot 1
MIA 0@NYM 0
+2.5ppmedium
MLBTop 1
WSH 0@ATL 0
-2.8ppmedium
MLBBot 1
CHW 1@TB 0
-19.1ppmedium
MLBTop 1
PHI 2@BAL 0
-31.1pplow
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-1 so far (MLB 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Recalled RHP Antwone Kelly from Indianapolis (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Recalled RHP Andrew Painter from Lehigh Valley (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBRockies: Reinstated CF Brenton Doyle from the 10-day IL (Jul 31)
MLBBot 3
PIT 3@CIN 3
-3.1pphigh
MLBBot 1
STL 0@TOR 0
+2.8ppmedium
MLBMid 1
ARI 0@CLE 0
-2.9ppmedium
MLBBot 1
MIA 0@NYM 0
+2.5ppmedium
MLBTop 1
WSH 0@ATL 0
-2.8ppmedium
MLBBot 1
CHW 1@TB 0
-19.1ppmedium
MLBTop 1
PHI 2@BAL 0
-31.1pplow
TONIGHTGraded picks 0-1 so far (MLB 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 6.0 IP · 10 K in a win over NYY — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Wilson (LV): 33 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST in a win over NY
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Cameron (KC): 8.0 IP · 7 K against MIN
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Recalled RHP Antwone Kelly from Indianapolis (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Recalled RHP Andrew Painter from Lehigh Valley (IL) (Jul 31)
TRANSACTION · MLBRockies: Reinstated CF Brenton Doyle from the 10-day IL (Jul 31)
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MLBPlayer profile/PIT
Mitch Keller
SP#23PITAdvanced data

Mitch Keller

Starting pitcher

6' 3" · 213 lbs · 30 yo

Form Line · next game · as of Jul 31

4.1K▲ +0vs pace (4.1)

typical range (~68%) 2–6 · on 21 games

ER3.3+0.4

The One's forward projection vs the player's own season pace — not a grade, not accuracy-tested. What is Form Line?

CIN

Live · @ CIN

Cincinnati Reds

PIT @ CIN

PIT's next →

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W-L

—-—

this season

ERA

—

this season

K

—

this season

IP

—

this season

StatcastTrends

Statcast fingerprint

Mitch Keller

MLB percentile · n=406

  1. xwOBA16
  2. xBA5
  3. xSLG22
  4. Barrel %62
  5. Hard-hit %25
  6. Exit velo36
  7. Whiff %13
  8. Chase %45
  9. K %16
  10. BB %59

▸Strong barrel suppression (62nd pct) — expected average (5th pct) the soft spot.

Statcast · 2026 season

The advanced layer

Expected stats, sabermetric context, and rate metrics straight from the MLB Stats API. Each bar is calibrated against league benchmark ranges, not season percentiles — so the position is stable even on a small sample.

PITCHING

Run prevention

21 G · 21 GS · 113.2 IP

Run prevention

ERA4.83
5.502.50
FIP4.27
5.003.00
xFIP4.52
5.003.00
WHIP1.31
1.551.00

Stuff & control

K/96.9
6.012.0
BB/93.0
4.52.0
HR/91.03
1.600.70
K%17.9%
18.0%30.0%
BB%7.8%
11.0%5.0%

Quality of contact

BABIP—
.270.330
GO/AO0.83
0.801.60

Pitch mix

Arsenal

2026 · 1,818 pitches

PitchUseWhiffRV/100
  1. 4-Seam Fastball32%17%+1.8
  2. Sinker17%15%-0.7
  3. Sweeper16%24%-2.4
  4. Slider9%20%+0.3
  5. Changeup9%27%-1.8
  6. Curveball9%37%-1.0
  7. Cutter8%21%-3.1

▸RV/100 is pitcher-side — negative is a pitch that saved runs.

Keep exploring

Related players

Teammates · PIT

  • Antwone KellySP
  • Billy CookCF
  • Brandon Lowe2B
  • Braxton AshcraftSP
  • Bryan ReynoldsLF
  • Bubba ChandlerSP

Other SP around the league

  • Aaron CivaleCHC
  • Aaron NolaPHI
  • Adrian HouserSF
  • Andre PallanteSTL
  • Andrew AbbottCIN
  • Andrew PainterPHI
Compare this player head-to-head→
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