May 4, 26sim 97
11
10(H)12
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+8NYY
BAL
15-19
311
NYY
23-11
Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York
43,416 attended
Line movement
91 snapshots
NYY spread
-1.5
open -1.5
Total
O/U 9.0
open O/U 8.5 · +0.5
NYY no-vig %
70.9%
open 64.5% · +6.4
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = NYY favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
NYY wins
BAL 3 · NYY 11 (by 8)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked NYY +17pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| NYY | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
