Matchup orbital

BAL

4

BAL

BAL

15-17

Bot 7th

Win prob

34/66

AWAY · HOME

NYY

9

NYY

NYY

21-11

The One model★ Lock
Sat, May 2
BAL

BAL

Orioles

15-17

vs66%NYY

NYY★

Yankees

21-11

NYY
BAL 34%win prob66% NYY
NYY 1571 · BAL 1482Box score→
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MLBGame · Sat, May 2Bot 7th
BAL

BAL15-17

BAL

@

21-11NYY

NYY

NYY
SeriesNYY lead series 1-0VegasNYY -171
● LIVEBottom 7th
Updated 0s ago
BAL
BAL15-174
0:00
NYY
NYY21-119

Current series

NYY lead series 1-0

May 1BALBAL2@NYYNYY7
May 2BALBAL@NYYNYYtoday
May 3BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
May 4BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming

Season series

NYY lead series 1-0

May 1BALBAL2@NYYNYY7
May 2BALBAL@NYYNYYtoday
May 3BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
May 4BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
May 11NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
May 12NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
May 13NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
Aug 18NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
Aug 19NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
Aug 20NYYNYY@BALBALupcoming
Sep 25BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
Sep 26BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming
Sep 27BALBAL@NYYNYYupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYY -1.5

Total

8.5

Standard · 0.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BALBAL+14141%
NYYNYY-17163%

7· 6.4h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYY -1.5↗SpreadBet NYY -1.5↗

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.5

0.0 since open

Pitching matchup · today

ESPN · season stats
BALBALSP
K. Bradish

K. Bradish

#38 · 1-3

ERA

4.20

K

31

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/26vsBOSBOS5.0 IP · 3 ER · 3 KL(1-3)
4/20@KCKC5.1 IP · 1 ER · 7 K-
4/15vsARIARI6.0 IP · 2 ER · 4 K-
NYYNYYSP
R. Weathers

R. Weathers

#40 · 1-2

ERA

3.21

K

40

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/25@HOUHOU5.1 IP · 2 ER · 4 K-
4/19vsKCKC7.1 IP · 0 ER · 8 KW(1-2)
4/14vsLAALAA5.0 IP · 5 ER · 10 KL(0-2)

Starting lineups

ESPN · 1-9 batting order
BALBAL1L · 7R · 1S
  1. 1

    T. Ward

    LF · #3

    R
  2. 2

    G. Henderson

    SS · #2

    L
  3. 3

    A. Rutschman

    C · #35

    B
  4. 4

    P. Alonso

    DH · #25

    R
  5. 5

    T. O'Neill

    RF · #9

    R
  6. 6

    C. Mayo

    1B · #16

    R
  7. 7

    J. Jackson

    2B · #82

    R
  8. 8

    W. Wilson

    3B · #32

    R
  9. 9

    B. Alexander

    3B · #23

    R
NYYNYY6L · 2R · 1S
  1. 1

    T. Grisham

    CF · #12

    L
  2. 2

    B. Rice

    1B · #22

    L
  3. 3

    A. Judge

    RF · #99

    R
  4. 4

    C. Bellinger

    LF · #35

    L
  5. 5

    J. Chisholm Jr.

    2B · #13

    L
  6. 6

    J. Dominguez

    DH · #24

    B
  7. 7

    J.C. Escarra

    C · #25

    L
  8. 8

    R. McMahon

    3B · #19

    L
  9. 9

    J. Caballero

    SS · #72

    R

Live · top performers so far

Bot 7th
Game flowBAL ↔ NYY

Recent swing: 8pp · Top 6th Inning

BALBAL
S. Basallo

S. Basallo

C

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

K. Bradish

K. Bradish

SP

Starting pitcher

4.0 IP · 4 K · 5 ER · 6 H · 4 BB

On pace: 7 IP · 7 K · 9 ER

NYYNYY
C. Bellinger

C. Bellinger

LF

Batter of the game2-HR game

4-for-4 · 2 HR · 3.500 OPS

R. Weathers

R. Weathers

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 5 K · 1 ER · 3 H · 2 BB

On pace: 7 IP · 7 K · 1 ER

How it's going

NYY lead BAL 9-4 (Bot 7th).

Win probability

NYY vs BAL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7

Score progression

0 lead changes

BAL4
NYY9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
NYYBottom 2nd Inning · 0-1
+14pp→ 68% WP

Bellinger · homered to right center (363 feet).

NYYBottom 3rd Inning · 0-2
+8pp→ 79% WP

Judge · intentionally walked.

NYYBottom 4th Inning · 1-5
+11pp→ 92% WP

Grisham · homered to right center (412 feet), McMahon scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team1234567R
BAL00010214
NYY01221039

Period scoring

BAL won 1 · NYY won 5

0
0

Inn 1

0
1

Inn 2

Bellinger 1

0
2

Inn 3

Judge 1

1
2

Inn 4

Alonso 1

Grisham 2

0
1

Inn 5

Bellinger 1

2
0

Inn 6

Alonso 1

1
3

Inn 7

Ward 1

Jr. 2

BAL
NYY

Game flow · key plays

  1. T6

    Alonso grounded into double play, third to second to first, Ward scored, Rutschman out at second, Henderson to third.

    BAL 2·NYY 6

    +8pp

  2. B4

    Grisham homered to right center (412 feet), McMahon scored.

    BAL 1·NYY 5

    +11pp

  3. B3

    Bellinger doubled to center, Grisham scored, Judge to third.

    BAL 0·NYY 3

    +7pp

  4. B3

    Judge intentionally walked.

    BAL 0·NYY 2

    +8pp

  5. B2

    Bellinger homered to right center (363 feet).

    BAL 0·NYY 1

    +14pp

  6. B1

    Rice grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Grisham out at second.

    BAL 0·NYY 0

    −7pp

Team stats

BAL

Away

Stat

NYY

Home

4

Hits

10

1

Errors

1

4

Runs

9

Player box score

BAL

BAL

15-17

4
T. Ward

T. Ward★

LF

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

G. Henderson

G. Henderson★

SS

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Rutschman

A. Rutschman★

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

P. Alonso

P. Alonso★

1B

OPS

1.667

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

T. O'Neill

T. O'Neill★

RF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Mayo

C. Mayo★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Jackson

J. Jackson★

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

W. Wilson

W. Wilson★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Alexander

B. Alexander★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Basallo

S. Basallo

C

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

4-25

R

4

RBI

3

HR

1

K. Bradish

K. Bradish★

SP

IP

4.0

H

6

ER

5

K

4

K. Akin

K. Akin

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

1

K

0

G. Wolfram

G. Wolfram

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

D. Enns

D. Enns

RP

IP

0.1

H

0

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

6.1

H

10

ER

9

K

7

Betting line

NYY -1.5·O/U 8.5·BAL +141/NYY -171

DraftKings · via ESPN