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FINAL+1CAR
CAR

CAR

53-22-7

21
OTT

OTT

44-27-11

NHLThu, Apr 23FinalSeriesCAR wins series 2-1VegasOTT -122

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into Ottawa Senators and beat them, 2–1.

CAR +1.5 cashed (OTT lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

10

PIM

8

Playoff series

CAR leads series 3-0

Apr 18OTTOTT0@CARCAR2
Apr 20OTTOTT2@CARCAR3
Apr 23CARCAR2@OTTOTT1today
Apr 25CARCAR4@OTTOTT2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CARCAR+10250%
OTTOTT-12255%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 43 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

CARCAR
L. Stankoven

L. Stankoven

C

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

F. Andersen

F. Andersen

G

Goaltender

21 SV · 1 GA · .955

OTTOTT
D. Batherson

D. Batherson

RW

Top skater

1 G · 1 SOG

L. Ullmark

L. Ullmark

G

Goaltender

25 SV · 2 GA · .926

How it ended

CAR beat OTT 2-1. L. Stankoven led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CAR1102
OTT0101

Period scoring

CAR won 1 · OTT won 0

1
0

1

1
1

2

0
0

3

CAR
OTT

Play-by-play · 357 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  3. 3rd·19:58

    Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  4. 3rd·19:58

    Icing

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  5. 3rd·19:57

    Jalen Chatfield Wrist Shot Wide Left

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  6. 3rd·19:49

    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  7. 3rd·19:25

    Claude Giroux faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  8. 3rd·19:25

    Off-side

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  9. 3rd·19:15

    Giveaway by Sebastian Aho

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  10. 3rd·19:02

    Giveaway by Seth Jarvis

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  11. 3rd·18:49

    Jaccob Slavin Wrist Shot Wide Right

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  12. 3rd·18:43

    Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Thomas Chabot

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  13. 3rd·18:40

    Giveaway by Thomas Chabot

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  14. 3rd·18:34

    Nikolaj Ehlers Wrist Shot Above Crossbar

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  15. 3rd·18:29

    Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Sebastian Aho

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  16. 3rd·18:29

    Icing

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  17. 3rd·18:25

    Nikolaj Ehlers Wrist Shot Wide Right

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  18. 3rd·18:22

    Dylan Cozens Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  19. 3rd·18:14

    Tyler Kleven hit Seth Jarvis

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  20. 3rd·18:11

    Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Tyler Kleven

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  21. 3rd·17:01

    Jordan Spence hit Nikolaj Ehlers

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  22. 3rd·16:51

    Claude Giroux shot blocked by Sean Walker

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  23. 3rd·16:43

    Jordan Staal hit Tyler Kleven

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  24. 3rd·16:31

    William Carrier hit Warren Foegele

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  25. 3rd·16:24

    Mark Jankowski Backhand Hit Right Post

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  26. 3rd·16:22

    William Carrier Tip-In saved by Linus Ullmark

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  27. 3rd·16:08

    Michael Amadio hit Jalen Chatfield

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  28. 3rd·15:46

    Takeaway by Jordan Spence

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  29. 3rd·15:35

    Logan Stankoven hit Tyler Kleven

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

  30. 3rd·15:07

    Ridly Greig Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen

    ·

    CAR 2·OTT 1

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

OTT

Home

27

Shots

22

0.0

PCT

0.0

10

PIM

8

33

Faceoffs W

28

17

Blocks

18

21

Giveaways

15

3

Takeaways

4

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 5.5·CAR +102/OTT -122

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
    CORSI%6699+
  • Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
    CORSI%6599+
  • Dylan CozensOTT · C
    xGF%6599
  • Sebastian AhoCAR · C
    CORSI%6499
  • Jackson BlakeCAR · RW
    CORSI%6499

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

39.3%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    49.8%

    P(OTT win)

    68%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    49.8%

    P(OTT win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    49.8%

    P(OTT win)

    16%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+102

Close price

+102

Open no-vig

47.4%

Close no-vig

47.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API