
CAR
53-22-7

OTT
44-27-11
Recap · NHL
arolina Hurricanes went into Ottawa Senators and beat them, 2–1.
CAR +1.5 cashed (OTT lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CAR · top performer

Logan Stankoven
C · #22
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
OTT · top performer

Drake Batherson
RW · #19
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:58 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:01 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7:47 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:06 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14:54 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:38 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20:06 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:33 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:36 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:58 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:43 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:11 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:57 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22:33 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:49 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 60:00 |
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:29 | |
| 1 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7:32 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:16 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:32 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:44 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18:08 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23:57 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19:27 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:28 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29:41 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:59 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:13 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19:21 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:19 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:29 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 2 | 25 | .926 | 58:01 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
10
PIM
8
Playoff series
CAR leads series 3-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
OTT -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 43 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
L. Stankoven
CTop skater
1 G · 4 SOG
F. Andersen
GGoaltender
21 SV · 1 GA · .955
D. Batherson
RWTop skater
1 G · 1 SOG
L. Ullmark
GGoaltender
25 SV · 2 GA · .926
How it ended
CAR beat OTT 2-1. L. Stankoven led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| OTT | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
CAR won 1 · OTT won 0
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 357 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·19:58
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·19:58
Icing
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·19:57
Jalen Chatfield Wrist Shot Wide Left
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·19:49
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·19:25
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·19:25
Off-side
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·19:15
Giveaway by Sebastian Aho
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·19:02
Giveaway by Seth Jarvis
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:49
Jaccob Slavin Wrist Shot Wide Right
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:43
Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:40
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:34
Nikolaj Ehlers Wrist Shot Above Crossbar
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:29
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:29
Icing
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:25
Nikolaj Ehlers Wrist Shot Wide Right
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:22
Dylan Cozens Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:14
Tyler Kleven hit Seth Jarvis
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·18:11
Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·17:01
Jordan Spence hit Nikolaj Ehlers
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·16:51
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Sean Walker
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·16:43
Jordan Staal hit Tyler Kleven
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·16:31
William Carrier hit Warren Foegele
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·16:24
Mark Jankowski Backhand Hit Right Post
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·16:22
William Carrier Tip-In saved by Linus Ullmark
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·16:08
Michael Amadio hit Jalen Chatfield
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·15:46
Takeaway by Jordan Spence
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·15:35
Logan Stankoven hit Tyler Kleven
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
- 3rd·15:07
Ridly Greig Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
Team stats
CAR
Away
Stat
OTT
Home
27
Shots
22
0.0
PCT
0.0
10
PIM
8
33
Faceoffs W
28
17
Blocks
18
21
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
4
Betting line
OTT -1.5·O/U 5.5·CAR +102/OTT -122
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LWCORSI%6699+
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · DCORSI%6599+
Dylan CozensOTT · CxGF%6599
Sebastian AhoCAR · CCORSI%6499
Jackson BlakeCAR · RWCORSI%6499
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
39.3%
ensemble · CAR favored
Elo Static
49.8%
P(OTT win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
49.8%
P(OTT win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
49.8%
P(OTT win)
16%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
1 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+102
Close price
+102
Open no-vig
47.4%
Close no-vig
47.4%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit