NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CAR

23-17-14

CAR

34-15-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Feb 1FinalSeriesCAR wins series 2-0VegasCAR -180

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Los Angeles Kings, 3–2 in overtime.

LA +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

LA · top performer

Quinton Byfield

RW · #55

1Points

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

Sebastian Aho

C · #20

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

LA23-17-14

CAR34-15-6

LA23-17-14CAR34-15-6

23-17-14

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CAR

34-15-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

CAR wins series 2-0

Oct 19

CAR4@

LA3

Feb 1

LA2@

CAR3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

LA+15040%

CAR-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 12 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat LA 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
LA	0	0	2	0	2
CAR	1	0	1	1	3

Period scoring

LA won 1 · CAR won 2

CAR

Play-by-play · 327 plays

period

event

player

OT·1:25
Game End
LA 2·CAR 3
OT·1:25
End of OT
LA 2·CAR 3
OT·1:25
Sebastian Aho Goal (19) Snap Shot, assists: Seth Jarvis (18), Shayne Gostisbehere (29)
· ·
LA 2·CAR 3
OT·0:58
Seth Jarvis Backhand saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·CAR 2
OT·0:28
Seth Jarvis Snap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·CAR 2
OT·0:00
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
LA 2·CAR 2
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·19:44
Cody Ceci Slap Shot Wide Left
·
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·19:34
Corey Perry shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
·
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·19:13
Giveaway by Jackson Blake
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·18:45
Logan Stankoven faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·18:45
Icing
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·18:40
Nikolaj Ehlers Slap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·18:18
Jordan Martinook Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·18:13
Jordan Martinook hit Drew Doughty
·
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·16:49
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·16:49
Quinton Byfield Goal (11) Snap Shot, assists: Adrian Kempe (25)
·
LA 2·CAR 2
3rd·16:43
Quinton Byfield faceoff won against Logan Stankoven
·
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·16:43
Icing
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·16:20
Takeaway by Brandt Clarke
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·15:58
Giveaway by Sebastian Aho
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·15:53
Anze Kopitar shot blocked by Sebastian Aho
·
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·15:33
Giveaway by Jaccob Slavin
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·15:17
Jordan Martinook hit Brandt Clarke
·
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·15:15
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·15:15
Puck in Netting
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·15:10
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·15:10
Puck in Netting
LA 1·CAR 2
3rd·15:07
Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Jeff Malott
·
LA 1·CAR 2

Team stats

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA +150/CAR -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Sean WalkerCAR · D
SKATE MPH22.998
Taylor HallCAR · LW
BURSTS4696
Sebastian AhoCAR · C
DIST MI44.795
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
BURSTS3995
Seth JarvisCAR · C
DIST MI39.992

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-180

Close price

-180

Open no-vig

61.6%

Close no-vig

61.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit