Feb 6, 26sim 98
142
15(H)1
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+2SEA
NJ
27-23-2
24
SEA
23-19-9
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
eattle Kraken held off New Jersey Devils, 4–2.
SEA +1.5 cashed (NJ lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NJ · top performer
Connor Brown
RW · #16
2Points
0
G
2
A
—
SOG
SEA · top performer
Jordan Eberle
RW · #7
2Points
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · New Jersey Devils at Seattle Kraken · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
NJ27-23-2
24
SEA23-19-9
NJ27-23-2SEA23-19-9
NJ
27-23-2
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
SEA
23-19-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
23
PIM
13
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Jan 15SEA2@NJ3
SEA2@NJ3Jan 25NJ2@SEA4today
NJ2@SEA4todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NJ -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
NJ-12556%SEA+10549%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 9 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
SEA beat NJ 4-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Period scoring
NJ won 1 · SEA won 2
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
3
3
NJ
SEA
Play-by-play · 286 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·19:54
Paul Cotter faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·19:54
Puck in Crowd
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·19:53
Jaden Schwartz shot blocked by Brett Pesce
·
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·19:53
Giveaway by Simon Nemec
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·19:47
Simon Nemec Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·19:36
Cody Glass shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
·
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·19:24
Joey Daccord Wrist Shot Wide Left
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·18:57
Arseny Gritsyuk hit Ryker Evans
·
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·18:48
Cody Glass faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·18:48
Jordan Eberle Goal (18) Wrist Shot, assists: none
NJ 2·SEA 4
- 3rd·18:23
Matty Beniers shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·18:19
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·17:47
Chandler Stephenson hit Jesper Bratt
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·17:36
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·17:36
Puck Frozen - Goalie
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·17:15
Jamie Oleksiak hit Evgenii Dadonov
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:55
Takeaway by Brandon Montour
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:29
Adam Larsson hit Nico Hischier
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:18
Simon Nemec shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:13
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:13
Icing
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:44
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:44
Puck in Crowd
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:40
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:19
Simon Nemec hit Jaden Schwartz
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:16
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:13
Brett Pesce hit Eeli Tolvanen
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:09
Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by Simon Nemec
·
NJ 2·SEA 3
Team stats
NJ
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
29
Shots
19
50.0
PCT
0.0
23
PIM
13
25
Faceoffs W
25
16
Blocks
20
17
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
4
Betting line
NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·NJ -125/SEA +105
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 13 skaters with EDGE
Brandon MontourSEA · DSHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · CDIST MI267.798
Jared McCannSEA · LWSHOT MPH94.496- Jordan EberleSEA · RWDIST MI236.192
Ryker EvansSEA · DSKATE MPH23.092
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · SEA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+105
Close price
+105
Open no-vig
46.8%
Close no-vig
46.8%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit
Player projections
SEA vs NJ.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
141
projections · 129 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Jack HughesNJ4.3± 1.7high
- Timo MeierNJ3.3± 3.0high
- Bobby McMannSEA3.0± 1.8high
Goals
- Jack HughesNJ0.6± 0.8high
- Dawson MercerNJ0.4± 0.7high
- Arseny GritsyukNJ0.3± 0.5high
Points
- Jack HughesNJ1.6± 1.7high
- Jesper BrattNJ1.0± 1.7high
- Nico HischierNJ0.9± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands