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FINAL+3EDM
EDM

EDM

23-16-7

41
CHI

CHI

19-20-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLMon, Jan 12FinalSeriesEDM leads series 2-0VegasEDM -180

Recap · NHL

dmonton Oilers went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 4–1.

EDM -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

EDM · top performer

EDM
Zach Hyman

Zach Hyman

LW · #18

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

CHI · top performer

CHI
Tyler Bertuzzi

Tyler Bertuzzi

LW · #59

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
1
EDM23-16-7CHI19-20-7
EDM

EDM

23-16-7

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CHI

CHI

19-20-7

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

4

Season series

EDM leads series 2-0

Nov 2CHICHI2@EDMEDM3
Jan 13EDMEDM4@CHICHI1today
Apr 3CHICHI1@EDMEDM3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

EDMEDM-18064%
CHICHI+15040%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

EDM beat CHI 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
EDM1124
CHI0011

Period scoring

EDM won 3 · CHI won 0

1
0

1

1
0

2

2
1

3

EDM
CHI

Play-by-play · 306 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    EDM 4·CHI 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    EDM 4·CHI 1

  3. 3rd·19:49

    Giveaway by Ryan Greene

    EDM 4·CHI 1

  4. 3rd·19:29

    Giveaway by Curtis Lazar

    EDM 4·CHI 1

  5. 3rd·19:15

    Nick Foligno faceoff won against Trent Frederic

    ·

    EDM 4·CHI 1

  6. 3rd·19:15

    Leon Draisaitl Goal (24) Wrist Shot, assists: none

    EDM 4·CHI 1

  7. 3rd·19:15

    Giveaway by Wyatt Kaiser

    EDM 4·CHI 1

  8. 3rd·19:11

    Ryan Greene hit Spencer Stastney

    ·

    EDM 3·CHI 1

  9. 3rd·19:07

    Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Nick Foligno

    ·

    EDM 3·CHI 1

  10. 3rd·19:07

    Evan Bouchard Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Zach Hyman (11)

    ·

    EDM 3·CHI 1

  11. 3rd·19:01

    Oliver Moore faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  12. 3rd·19:01

    Timeout - Home

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  13. 3rd·19:01

    Goalie Stopped

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  14. 3rd·19:00

    Andre Burakovsky Snap Shot saved by Connor Ingram

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  15. 3rd·18:47

    Nick Lardis Slap Shot Short

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  16. 3rd·18:41

    Oliver Moore faceoff won against Connor McDavid

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  17. 3rd·18:41

    Icing

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  18. 3rd·18:20

    Oliver Moore faceoff won against Connor McDavid

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  19. 3rd·18:20

    Icing

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  20. 3rd·18:02

    Ryan Greene faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  21. 3rd·18:02

    Goalie Stopped

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  22. 3rd·18:00

    Zach Hyman Backhand saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  23. 3rd·17:38

    Connor McDavid faceoff won against Oliver Moore

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  24. 3rd·17:38

    Video Review

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  25. 3rd·17:38

    On-Ice Official

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  26. 3rd·17:35

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  27. 3rd·17:13

    Zach Hyman Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  28. 3rd·16:56

    Ryan Donato hit Ty Emberson

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  29. 3rd·16:47

    Trent Frederic Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

  30. 3rd·16:32

    Ryan Greene faceoff won against Leon Draisaitl

    ·

    EDM 2·CHI 1

Team stats

EDM

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

37

Shots

30

0.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

4

25

Faceoffs W

27

16

Blocks

9

15

Giveaways

16

2

Takeaways

6

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM -180/CHI +150

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Connor McDavidEDM · C
    BURSTS5498
  • Evan BouchardEDM · D
    SHOT MPH97.395
  • Alex VlasicCHI · D
    BURSTS7190
  • Darnell NurseEDM · D
    BURSTS1389

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+150

Close price

+150

Open no-vig

38.4%

Close no-vig

38.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR