NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2ANA

ANA

27-21-3

SEA

22-19-9

NHLFri, Jan 23FinalSeriesSEA leads series 2-1VegasSEA -122

Recap · NHL

naheim Ducks went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 4–2.

ANA +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

Cutter Gauthier

LW · #61

2Points

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

Matty Beniers

C · #10

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
C. GauthierLW · #61	1	1	1	7	2	0	0	17:13
M. GranlundC · #64	0	1	0	2	2	1	0	18:51
J. HarkinsC · #24	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	10:44
R. JohnstonLW · #44	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:47
A. KillornLW · #17	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	15:17
C. KreiderLW · #20	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:48
R. PoehlingC · #25	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	18:13
B. SenneckeRW · #45	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	13:54
R. StromeC · #16	0	0	-1	2	1	0	2	10:11
J. VielLW · #28	0	1	1	4	5	1	0	15:57
T. WasheC · #42	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	14:13

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
R. GudasD · #7	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	16:10
D. HellesonD · #14	0	1	2	1	1	1	0	18:47
J. LaCombeD · #2	0	1	-1	1	0	1	0	22:54
P. MintyukovD · #98	1	1	2	3	1	2	0	20:27
I. MooreD · #74	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	14:19
J. TroubaD · #65	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	22:32
O. ZellwegerD · #51	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	16:43

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
L. DostalG · #1	22	2	20	.909	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. BeniersC · #10	0	1	-1	1	0	1	0	17:51
B. CattonC · #27	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	13:37
J. EberleRW · #7	0	1	-1	1	0	0	0	19:05
F. GaudreauC · #89	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:25
K. KakkoRW · #84	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	15:11
J. McCannLW · #19	1	0	-1	3	2	0	0	16:34
J. MelansonRW · #63	0	0	0	0	10	0	0	10:30
J. SchwartzC · #17	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:44
C. StephensonC · #9	0	0	-3	0	0	1	0	15:54
E. TolvanenRW · #20	0	0	-1	3	5	1	0	15:34
R. WintertonC · #26	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	12:20
S. WrightC · #51	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	15:21

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
V. DunnD · #29	0	0	-3	3	1	0	0	24:09
R. EvansD · #41	0	0	2	1	1	0	2	16:32
A. LarssonD · #6	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	17:34
R. LindgrenD · #55	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	14:37
B. MontourD · #62	0	0	-1	2	0	2	2	27:54
J. OleksiakD · #24	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	16:05

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
P. GrubauerG · #31	30	3	27	.900	58:41

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

SEA leads series 2-1

Oct 10

ANA1@

SEA3

Dec 23

SEA3@

ANA1

Jan 24

ANA4@

SEA2today

Feb 4

SEA2@

ANA4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANA+10250%

SEA-12255%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 14 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

ANA beat SEA 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
ANA	2	1	1	4
SEA	0	1	1	2

Period scoring

ANA won 1 · SEA won 0

ANA

SEA

Play-by-play · 306 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·19:55
Kaapo Kakko Wrist Shot saved by Lukas Dostal
·
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·19:53
Jaden Schwartz shot blocked by Kaapo Kakko
·
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·19:52
Shane Wright faceoff won against Mikael Granlund
·
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·19:52
Goalie Stopped
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·19:50
Vince Dunn Wrist Shot saved by Lukas Dostal
·
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·19:43
Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Brandon Montour
·
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·18:48
Tim Washe faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·18:48
Pavel Mintyukov Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: Mikael Granlund (12), Drew Helleson (9)
· ·
ANA 4·SEA 2
3rd·18:40
Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:40
Icing
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:32
Jordan Eberle Backhand saved by Lukas Dostal
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:30
Matty Beniers Batted Wide Left
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:17
Chris Kreider shot blocked by Matty Beniers
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:12
Giveaway by Lukas Dostal
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:00
Jeffrey Viel hit Vince Dunn
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:52
Cutter Gauthier Snap Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:50
Jeffrey Viel hit Brandon Montour
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:46
Cutter Gauthier Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:31
Ryan Poehling faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:31
Puck in Crowd
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:57
Tim Washe faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:57
Goalie Stopped
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:55
Eeli Tolvanen Tip-In Wide Left
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:40
Vince Dunn shot blocked by Alex Killorn
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:37
Brandon Montour shot blocked by Jackson LaCombe
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:33
Giveaway by Jacob Trouba
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:29
Eeli Tolvanen Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
ANA 3·SEA 2
3rd·16:23
Eeli Tolvanen hit Alex Killorn
·
ANA 3·SEA 2

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 6.5·ANA +102/SEA -122

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Beckett SenneckeANA · RW
SHOT MPH96.199+
Brandon MontourSEA · D
SHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · C
DIST MI267.798
Ryan PoehlingANA · C
SKATE MPH23.498
Jared McCannSEA · LW
SHOT MPH94.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

53.7%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
54.9%
P(SEA win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
54.9%
P(SEA win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
54.9%
P(SEA win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-122

Close price

-122

Open no-vig

52.6%

Close no-vig

52.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss