NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2CBJ

NYI

21-14-4

CBJ

16-15-6

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSun, Dec 28FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasCBJ -142

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets held off New York Islanders, 4–2.

CBJ -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYI · top performer

Anthony Duclair

LW · #11

1Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Kirill Marchenko

RW · #86

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NYI21-14-4

CBJ16-15-6

NYI21-14-4CBJ16-15-6

NYI

21-14-4

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CBJ

16-15-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 2

CBJ2@

NYI3

Dec 28

NYI2@

CBJ4today

Feb 28

NYI4@

CBJ3

Mar 22

CBJ0@

NYI1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYI+12045%

CBJ-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat NYI 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYI	1	1	0	2
CBJ	1	0	3	4

Period scoring

NYI won 1 · CBJ won 1

NYI

CBJ

Play-by-play · 336 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYI 2·CBJ 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYI 2·CBJ 4
3rd·19:43
Kyle MacLean faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
NYI 2·CBJ 4
3rd·19:43
Icing
NYI 2·CBJ 4
3rd·19:11
Giveaway by Charlie Coyle
NYI 2·CBJ 4
3rd·19:06
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
·
NYI 2·CBJ 4
3rd·19:02
Giveaway by Denton Mateychuk
NYI 2·CBJ 4
3rd·18:54
Casey Cizikas faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
NYI 2·CBJ 4
3rd·18:54
Cole Sillinger Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Sean Monahan (14)
·
NYI 2·CBJ 4
3rd·18:36
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Brendan Smith
·
NYI 2·CBJ 3
3rd·18:15
Kirill Marchenko Slap Shot saved by David Rittich
·
NYI 2·CBJ 3
3rd·16:41
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
NYI 2·CBJ 3
3rd·16:41
Kirill Marchenko Goal (13) Backhand, assists: Adam Fantilli (12), Damon Severson (11)
· ·
NYI 2·CBJ 3
3rd·16:19
Charlie Coyle hit Matthew Schaefer
·
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·16:19
Matthew Schaefer Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·16:14
Mathieu Olivier Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·16:13
Mathieu Olivier Wrist Shot saved by David Rittich
·
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·16:12
Boone Jenner Wrist Shot saved by David Rittich
·
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·16:10
Damon Severson shot blocked by Mathieu Olivier
·
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·16:02
Mathieu Olivier Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·15:50
Giveaway by Denton Mateychuk
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·15:42
Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·15:27
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Jonathan Drouin
·
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·15:27
Ivan Provorov Goal (5) Snap Shot, assists: Denton Mateychuk (10), Sean Monahan (13)
· ·
NYI 2·CBJ 2
3rd·15:03
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
NYI 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:03
Goalie Stopped
NYI 2·CBJ 1
3rd·15:00
Adam Fantilli Snap Shot saved by David Rittich
·
NYI 2·CBJ 1
3rd·14:59
Kirill Marchenko shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
·
NYI 2·CBJ 1
3rd·14:58
Damon Severson Slap Shot saved by David Rittich
·
NYI 2·CBJ 1
3rd·14:45
Adam Fantilli Wrist Shot saved by David Rittich
·
NYI 2·CBJ 1

Team stats

NYI

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYI +120/CBJ -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
BURSTS26999+
Ryan PulockNYI · D
SHOT MPH103.099+
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
DIST MI274.399
Emil HeinemanNYI · LW
SHOT MPH97.399

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+120

Close price

+120

Open no-vig

43.7%

Close no-vig

43.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

CBJ vs NYI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

135

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Bo HorvatNYI
2.9± 0.9high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high

Goals

Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Boone JennerCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Charlie CoyleCBJ
0.3± 0.7high

Points

Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
0.8± 0.9high
Mason MarchmentCBJ
0.8± 0.7high
Mathew BarzalNYI
0.8± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands