NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3SJ

18-17-3

VAN

15-19-3

NHLSat, Dec 27FinalSeriesSJ leads series 2-0VegasVAN -148

Recap · NHL

an Jose Sharks went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 6–3.

SJ +1.5 cashed (VAN lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SJ · top performer

Macklin Celebrini

C · #71

2Points

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

Conor Garland

RW · #8

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. CelebriniC · #71	1	1	1	8	1	0	0	21:47
I. ChernyshovLW · #92	1	1	2	2	0	0	0	14:43
T. DellandreaC · #10	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	12:14
W. EklundLW · #72	1	1	1	4	0	1	0	21:09
A. GaudetteRW · #81	0	1	0	5	2	1	0	13:54
B. GoodrowC · #23	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	10:43
C. GrafRW · #51	1	0	1	2	1	2	0	17:49
Z. OstapchukC · #63	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	8:23
R. ReavesRW · #75	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7:51
J. SkinnerLW · #53	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	12:12
T. ToffoliC · #73	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	15:40
A. WennbergC · #21	0	1	0	1	0	1	2	21:24

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
S. DickinsonD · #6	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	17:36
M. FerraroD · #38	0	1	1	2	3	0	0	22:05
V. IorioD · #22	0	1	2	2	0	1	2	14:56
J. KlingbergD · #3	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	22:00
S. MukhamadullinD · #85	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	20:55
D. OrlovD · #9	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	17:06

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
Y. AskarovG · #30	27	3	24	.889	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
B. BoeserRW · #6	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	15:42
J. DeBruskLW · #74	0	0	-1	2	4	0	0	18:01
C. GarlandRW · #8	0	2	1	1	1	1	0	14:44
D. KampfC · #64	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	14:56
E. KaneLW · #91	0	0	-2	1	0	0	2	15:00
L. KarlssonC · #94	1	0	-2	1	2	0	0	9:07
D. O'ConnorLW · #18	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	12:46
L. OhgrenLW · #92	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	11:18
E. PetterssonC · #40	0	0	-3	3	1	1	0	20:47
M. RossiC · #93	1	0	-1	1	0	1	0	16:23
M. SassonC · #63	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	9:50
K. SherwoodLW · #44	0	0	-2	5	5	0	0	16:22

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
Z. BuiumD · #24	0	0	-2	0	0	0	2	22:24
F. HronekD · #17	0	2	0	1	2	1	0	21:56
T. MyersD · #57	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	19:46
M. PetterssonD · #29	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	21:50
Elias N. PetterssonD · #25	0	0	-1	0	3	0	0	13:29
T. WillanderD · #5	0	0	-3	2	0	1	0	15:52

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
T. DemkoG · #35	36	5	32	.889	59:56

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

SJ leads series 2-0

Nov 28

VAN2@

SJ3

Dec 28

SJ6@

VAN3today

Jan 28

SJ5@

VAN2

Apr 12

VAN4@

SJ3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VAN -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SJ+12445%

VAN-14860%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VAN -1.5↗SpreadBet VAN -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SJ beat VAN 6-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
SJ	2	1	3	6
VAN	1	0	2	3

Period scoring

SJ won 3 · VAN won 0

VAN

Play-by-play · 330 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·19:46
Takeaway by Tom Willander
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·19:19
Ty Dellandrea faceoff won against David Kampf
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·19:19
Off-side
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·18:55
Tyler Myers Slap Shot Short
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·18:47
Jake DeBrusk Snap Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·18:32
Max Sasson faceoff won against Zack Ostapchuk
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·18:32
Goalie Stopped
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·18:28
Vincent Iorio Wrist Shot saved by Thatcher Demko
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·18:28
Giveaway by Thatcher Demko
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·18:13
Jake DeBrusk Wrist Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·17:55
Mario Ferraro hit Drew O'Connor
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·17:46
Liam Ohgren Tip-In saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·17:20
Drew O'Connor faceoff won against Adam Gaudette
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·17:20
Goalie Stopped
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·17:17
David Kampf Backhand saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·17:15
Drew O'Connor Wrist Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·16:55
Zack Ostapchuk faceoff won against David Kampf
·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·16:55
Collin Graf Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Alexander Wennberg (17), Mario Ferraro (7)
· ·
SJ 6·VAN 3
3rd·16:20
Marco Rossi faceoff won against Alexander Wennberg
·
SJ 5·VAN 3
3rd·16:20
Macklin Celebrini Goal (20) Snap Shot, assists: Igor Chernyshov (4), William Eklund (15)
· ·
SJ 5·VAN 3
3rd·15:51
Elias Pettersson faceoff won against Macklin Celebrini
· ·
SJ 4·VAN 3
3rd·15:51
Icing
SJ 4·VAN 3
3rd·15:34
Linus Karlsson hit John Klingberg
·
SJ 4·VAN 3
3rd·15:19
Takeaway by Jeff Skinner
SJ 4·VAN 3
3rd·14:52
David Kampf faceoff won against Ty Dellandrea
·
SJ 4·VAN 3
3rd·14:52
Hand Pass
SJ 4·VAN 3
3rd·14:44
Kiefer Sherwood hit John Klingberg
·
SJ 4·VAN 3
3rd·14:06
Giveaway by Alexander Wennberg
SJ 4·VAN 3

Team stats

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

Shots

20.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

VAN -1.5·O/U 6.5·SJ +124/VAN -148

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Brock BoeserVAN · RW
SHOT MPH96.498
Filip HronekVAN · D
DIST MI292.398
Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
SKATE MPH23.595
Liam OhgrenVAN · LW
SHOT MPH91.990
Zeev BuiumVAN · D
SKATE MPH22.788

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

54.5%

ensemble · VAN favored

Elo Static
56.3%
P(VAN win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
56.3%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
56.3%
P(VAN win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.