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FINAL+1NSH
NSH

NSH

16-16-4

32
MIN

MIN

22-10-6

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLTue, Dec 23FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasMIN -185

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into Minnesota Wild and beat them, 3–2 in overtime.

NSH +1.5 cashed (MIN lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Ryan O'Reilly

Ryan O'Reilly

C · #90

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

MIN
Joel Eriksson Ek

Joel Eriksson Ek

C · #14

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
3
2
NSH16-16-4MIN22-10-6
NSH

NSH

16-16-4

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
MIN

MIN

22-10-6

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

10

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 5NSHNSH2@MINMIN3
Dec 24NSHNSH3@MINMIN2today
Feb 5MINMIN6@NSHNSH5
Apr 11MINMIN1@NSHNSH2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH+15439%
MINMIN-18565%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat MIN 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
NSH20013
MIN11002

Period scoring

NSH won 2 · MIN won 1

2
1

1

0
1

2

0
0

3

1
0

OT

NSH
MIN

Play-by-play · 297 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·0:53

    Game End

    NSH 3·MIN 2

  2. OT·0:53

    End of OT

    NSH 3·MIN 2

  3. OT·0:53

    Steven Stamkos Goal (15) Tip-In, assists: Erik Haula (14), Nick Blankenburg (11)

    · ·

    NSH 3·MIN 2

  4. OT·0:39

    Steven Stamkos faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  5. OT·0:39

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  6. OT·0:37

    Steven Stamkos Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  7. OT·0:00

    Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  8. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  9. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  10. 3rd·19:17

    Ryan Hartman shot blocked by Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  11. 3rd·18:54

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Ryan Hartman

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  12. 3rd·18:54

    Icing

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  13. 3rd·18:47

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Ryan Hartman

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  14. 3rd·18:47

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  15. 3rd·18:44

    Kirill Kaprizov Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  16. 3rd·18:32

    Ryan Hartman hit Cole Smith

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  17. 3rd·18:29

    Ryan Hartman faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  18. 3rd·18:29

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  19. 3rd·18:26

    Ryan Hartman Tip-In saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  20. 3rd·18:11

    Steven Stamkos hit Kirill Kaprizov

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  21. 3rd·18:02

    Giveaway by Steven Stamkos

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  22. 3rd·17:54

    Danila Yurov hit Cole Smith

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  23. 3rd·17:50

    Yakov Trenin hit Nick Blankenburg

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  24. 3rd·17:35

    Vladimir Tarasenko hit Cole Smith

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  25. 3rd·17:31

    Giveaway by Yakov Trenin

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  26. 3rd·17:27

    Cole Smith shot blocked by Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  27. 3rd·16:55

    Ryan O'Reilly Tip-In High and Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  28. 3rd·16:06

    Marcus Foligno hit Roman Josi

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  29. 3rd·15:52

    Luke Evangelista shot blocked by Zach Bogosian

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

  30. 3rd·15:46

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Nico Sturm

    ·

    NSH 2·MIN 2

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

29

Shots

32

50.0

PCT

0.0

8

PIM

10

31

Faceoffs W

20

10

Blocks

9

13

Giveaways

15

5

Takeaways

4

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 6.5·NSH +154/MIN -185

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock FaberMIN · D
    BURSTS2799+
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Matt BoldyMIN · LW
    SHOT MPH92.897
  • Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · C
    SKATE MPH23.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MIN favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-185

Close price

-185

Open no-vig

62.2%

Close no-vig

62.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR