Stand-Up Speed Rusher

Projected
Round 1

Drafted · Round 1 · Pick 2 · 2nd overall
Bailey suits up at /p/david-bailey
Scouting report · The One Analytics
Day 1Projected · Round 1David Bailey projects as a stand-up speed rusher. A EDGE out of Texas Tech who tested with an elite athletic profile (83th composite). Combine line reads 6'3 5/8" · 251 lb, 4.50s 40, 35″ vertical, 129″ broad. College defensive line: 163 tackles · 29 sacks · 0 INT · 3 PD across 4 seasons. Dominance score 95 (dominated the cohort when adjusted for age of production).
Dominance score · college production
Dominated the cohort
Blends 35% age-weighted career volume, 40% peak single-season production, 15% breakout, and 10% position-specific efficiency.
Elite
Career volume
35% wtage-weighted
Elite
Peak season
40% wt2025
Strong
Breakout
15% wtearly-career + jump year
Elite
Efficiency
10% wtSacks/G · 0.6
Scouting Combine · 2026
Y · PERCENTILE vs EDGE CLASS · 2000–2026 baseline
Athletic composite
5 of 5 metrics graded
40-Yard
4.50s·95th of 1091
Vertical
35.0″·60th of 915
Broad
129.0″·94th of 915
Arm
33.8″·68th of 359
Hand
10.3″·81st of 359
40-Yard
vs. 1091
Vertical
vs. 915
Broad
vs. 915
Arm
vs. 359
Hand
vs. 359
Trait grades
Burst
77th percentile · 35" vert · 129" broad
Bend
No combine number on file — no 3-cone · no shuttle
Length
35th percentile · 6'3 5/8" · 33.75" arm
Power
No combine number on file — no bench on file
Speed
95th percentile · 4.50s 40-yard
Frame
39th percentile · 6'3 5/8" · 251 lb
NFL comparisons
Drake Jackson
Unknown2022 R2 · #61 · USC · 6-3/254lb
86
sim
Derick Hall
Rotational2023 R2 · #37 · Auburn · 6-3/254lb · 4.55s 40
81
sim
Von Miller
Multi All-Pro2011 R1 · #2 · Texas A&M · 6-3/246lb · 4.42s 40
75
sim
X-Factor
Speed grades in the 95th percentile. 4.50s 40-yard.
Primary risk
Length sits in the 35th percentile (6'3 5/8"). That's the headline weakness scouts will key on.
Scheme fit
Multi-front 3-4 OLB role with designed twists and games on passing downs.
College career · ESPN
| Season | Team | TOT | SOLO | AST | PD | SACK | FF | INT | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | STAN | 46 | 30 | 16 | 0 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | STAN | 34 | 22 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | STAN | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | TTU | 52 | 32 | 20 | 3 | 14.5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 163 | 106 | 57 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Generated by deterministic-v30 · Jun 2, 2026Workout · Combine