May 5, 26sim 92
5101
8(H)111
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+39NY
PHI
45-37
98137
NY
53-29
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 48 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NBA
ew York Knicks held off Philadelphia 76ers, 137–98. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
NY -7.5 cashed (won by 39). Total cleared the 212.5 OVER by 22.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
PHI · top performer
Paul George
F · #8
13.3Game score
17
Pts
3
Reb
3
Ast
NY · top performer
Jalen Brunson
G · #11
30.6Game score
35
Pts
1
Reb
3
Ast
NBA · Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
PHI45-37
98137
NY53-29
PHI45-37NY53-29
PHI
45-37
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 26 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -26 | |
DEFL3.592 CONT7.482 TOUCHES62.655 | ||||||||
| 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -24 | |
| 27 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -25 | |
DEFL3.182 CONT3.821 DRIVES3.69 | ||||||||
| 27 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -28 | |
TOUCHES94.597 DRIVES13.779 CONT4.638 | ||||||||
| 28 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -15 | |
DEFL2.670 TOUCHES66.167 CONT5.255 | ||||||||
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -12 | |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | |
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8 | |
| 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | |
| 24 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -24 | |
| Team | 98 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 19 | ||
| DNP: K. Lowry | ||||||||
NY
53-29
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 30 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +22 | |
CONT8.491 DEFL3.185 DRIVES5.135 | ||||||||
| 20 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +11 | |
CONT7.685 DRIVES6.147 TOUCHES50.830 | ||||||||
| 26 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +24 | |
DEFL4.197 TOUCHES56.942 CONT4.633 | ||||||||
| 27 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +19 | |
DEFL1.929 DRIVES3.818 CONT3.617 | ||||||||
| 31 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +27 | |
TOUCHES89.694 DRIVES1688 DEFL1.618 | ||||||||
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9 | |
| 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6 | |
| 17 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +22 | |
| 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +11 | |
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +16 | |
| 10 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8 | |
| Team | 137 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 14 | ||
| DNP: J. Sochan | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
41
FG %
63
15
Ast
34
Playoff series
NY leads series 1-0
May 5PHI98@NY137today
PHI98@NY137todayMay 6PHI102@NY108
PHI102@NY108May 8NY108@PHI94
NY108@PHI94May 10NY144@PHI114
NY144@PHI114Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NY -7.5
Half-pt above key 7
Total
212.5
Defensive · -13.5 vs avg
Moneyline
PHI+23530%NY-29074%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 200 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
7.5
+2.0 since open
Total
212.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Game flowPHI ↔ NY
PHIP. George
FGame leader · 26 min
17 PTS · 3 REB · 3 AST
NYJ. Brunson
GGame leader · 31 min30+ point game
35 PTS · 1 REB · 3 AST
How it ended
NY beat PHI 137-98. J. Brunson led the way with 35 points and 3 assists. NY outscored the other side 41-26 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
NY vs PHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitPHIstarters 69% of ptsStarters(5)
68 PTS · 16 REB · 9 AST
GS 44
Bench(9)
30 PTS · 12 REB · 6 AST
GS 12
NYstarters 69% of ptsStarters(5)
95 PTS · 20 REB · 21 AST
GS 91
Bench(9)
42 PTS · 19 REB · 13 AST
GS 35
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 25 | 26 | 27 | 20 | 98 |
| NY | 33 | 41 | 35 | 28 | 137 |
Period scoring
PHI won 0 · NY won 4
25
33
Q1
Embiid 8
Brunson 23
26
41
Q2
Maxey 9
Brunson 13
27
35
Q3
Edgecombe 7
Bridges 8
20
28
Q4
Barlow 5
Kolek 8
PHI
NY
Shooting comparison
PHI
NY
41%
30-73
FG
63%
53-84
37%
11-30
3PT
51%
19-37
79%
27-34
FT
71%
12-17
Play-by-play · 451 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 98·NY 137
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 98·NY 137
- Q4·12.0
shot clock turnover
PHI 98·NY 137
- Q4·35.9
Trendon Watford lost ball turnover (Landry Shamet steals)
·
PHI 98·NY 137
- Q4·48.3
Ariel Hukporti makes dunk (Pacome Dadiet assists)
·
PHI 98·NY 137
- Q4·49.4
Pacome Dadiet offensive rebound
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·52.0
Landry Shamet misses 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·1:11
Jabari Walker offensive goaltending turnover
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·1:32
Trendon Watford defensive rebound
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·1:35
Landry Shamet misses 25-foot three point jumper
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·1:43
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·1:46
Johni Broome misses 26-foot three point jumper
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·1:56
76ers Full timeout
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·1:56
Landry Shamet steps out of bounds turnover
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·2:18
Justin Edwards makes 25-foot three point jumper (Trendon Watford assists)
·
PHI 98·NY 135
- Q4·2:39
Landry Shamet makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
PHI 95·NY 135
- Q4·2:49
Trendon Watford makes 3-foot two point shot
PHI 95·NY 132
- Q4·3:00
Pacome Dadiet makes 2-foot driving floating jump shot (Landry Shamet assists)
·
PHI 93·NY 132
- Q4·3:22
Trendon Watford makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 93·NY 130
- Q4·3:22
Trendon Watford makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 92·NY 130
- Q4·3:22
Landry Shamet personal foul
PHI 91·NY 130
- Q4·3:29
Mohamed Diawara makes 5-foot two point shot
PHI 91·NY 130
- Q4·3:37
Jabari Walker personal foul
PHI 91·NY 128
- Q4·3:45
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
PHI 91·NY 128
- Q4·3:47
Justin Edwards misses free throw 2 of 2
PHI 91·NY 128
- Q4·3:47
Justin Edwards makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 91·NY 128
- Q4·3:47
Mohamed Diawara personal foul
PHI 90·NY 128
- Q4·3:53
Johni Broome offensive rebound
PHI 90·NY 128
- Q4·3:55
Ariel Hukporti blocks Jabari Walker 's 1-foot layup
·
PHI 90·NY 128
- Q4·4:07
76ers defensive team rebound
PHI 90·NY 128
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
NY
Home
30-73
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
53-84
41
FG %
63
11-30
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
19-37
27-34
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
12-17
15
Assists
34
19
Turnovers
14
Betting line
NY -7.5·O/U 212.5·PHI +235/NY -290
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · GTOUCHES94.597
Josh HartNY · GDEFL4.197- Jalen BrunsonNY · GTOUCHES89.694
- Paul GeorgePHI · FDEFL3.592
OG AnunobyNY · FCONT8.491
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
68.8%
ensemble · NY favored
Elo Static
67.1%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
71.6%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
67.8%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
1.98 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
87% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NY vs PHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
175
projections · 150 high confidence
Points
- Jalen BrunsonNY26.5± 8.9high
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI25.0± 6.5high
Rebounds
- Karl-Anthony TownsNY10.8± 3.5high
- Joel EmbiidPHI8.0± 3.5high
- Josh HartNY7.6± 2.5high
Assists
- Jalen BrunsonNY6.9± 3.0high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI5.9± 1.9high
- Karl-Anthony TownsNY5.0± 2.8high
Blocks
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
- Adem BonaPHI1.1± 1.3high
- Karl-Anthony TownsNY1.0± 0.8high
Steals
- OG AnunobyNY1.6± 1.4high
- Josh HartNY1.5± 1.3high
- Paul GeorgePHI1.5± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands