NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+39NY

PHI

45-37

98137

53-29

NBAMon, May 4FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasNY -7.5

PHI · top performer

Paul George

F · #8

13.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

Jalen Brunson

G · #11

30.6Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowPHI ↔ NY

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
P. GeorgeF · #8	26	17	6-11	4-6	1-1	-26	3	3
J. EmbiidC · #21	25	14	3-11	0-2	8-9	-24	4	1
K. Oubre Jr.G · #9	27	12	5-8	1-2	1-1	-25	5	1
T. MaxeyG · #0	27	13	3-9	0-3	7-7	-28	3	2
V. EdgecombeG · #77	28	12	5-11	2-5	0-2	-15	1	2
Bench
T. WatfordF · #12	14	5	1-4	0-1	3-4	-12	1	1
J. WalkerF · #33	10	2	0-2	—	2-2	-8	2	0
D. TerryF · #14	12	3	1-4	1-2	—	-8	0	1
J. BroomeF · #22	5	0	0-1	0-1	—	0	1	0
J. EdwardsF · #11	16	8	2-4	2-4	2-4	-10	0	0
D. BarlowF · #25	13	7	3-3	—	1-2	-8	3	0
A. DrummondC · #1	9	0	0-1	0-1	—	-3	3	0
A. BonaC · #30	4	0	—	—	—	-4	1	0
Q. GrimesG · #5	24	5	1-4	1-3	2-2	-24	1	4
Team		98	30-73	11-30	27-34		28	15
DNP: K. Lowry

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	30	18	7-8	2-2	2-2	+22	3	1
K. TownsC · #32	20	17	7-11	3-5	—	+11	6	6
J. HartG · #3	26	8	3-7	1-2	1-2	+24	8	6
M. BridgesG · #25	27	17	7-10	3-5	—	+19	2	5
J. BrunsonG · #11	31	35	12-18	3-6	8-8	+27	1	3
Bench
P. DadietF · #4	9	4	2-3	0-1	—	+7	1	2
M. DiawaraF · #51	8	5	2-3	1-2	—	+9	2	1
M. RobinsonC · #23	12	2	1-1	—	0-4	+6	4	1
A. HukportiC · #55	17	5	2-2	—	1-1	+22	9	0
J. ClarksonG · #00	14	2	1-2	0-1	—	+11	2	0
L. ShametG · #44	12	3	1-4	1-3	—	+8	0	2
J. AlvaradoG · #5	9	5	2-4	1-3	—	+5	1	1
M. McBrideG · #2	16	8	3-6	2-5	—	+16	0	2
T. KolekG · #13	10	8	3-5	2-2	—	+8	0	4
Team		137	53-84	19-37	12-17		39	34
DNP: J. Sochan

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

Home

30-73

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

53-84

FG %

11-30

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

19-37

27-34

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

12-17

Assists

Turnovers

Playoff series

NY leads series 1-0

May 5

PHI98@

NY137today

May 6

PHI102@

NY108

May 8

NY108@

PHI94

May 10

NY144@

PHI114

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -7.5

Half-pt above key 7

Total

212.5

Defensive · -13.5 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI+23530%

NY-29074%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -7.5↗SpreadBet NY -7.5↗

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

7.5

+2.0 since open

Total

212.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat PHI 137-98. J. Brunson led the way with 35 points and 3 assists. NY outscored the other side 41-26 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs PHI

Starters vs bench

production by unit

PHIstarters 69% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 16 REB · 9 AST

GS 44

Bench(9)

30 PTS · 12 REB · 6 AST

GS 12

NYstarters 69% of pts

Starters(5)

95 PTS · 20 REB · 21 AST

GS 91

Bench(9)

42 PTS · 19 REB · 13 AST

GS 35

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
PHI	25	26	27	20	98
NY	33	41	35	28	137

Period scoring

PHI won 0 · NY won 4

Embiid 8

Brunson 23

Maxey 9

Brunson 13

Edgecombe 7

Bridges 8

Barlow 5

Kolek 8

PHI

Shooting comparison

PHI

41%

30-73

63%

53-84

37%

11-30

3PT

51%

19-37

79%

27-34

71%

12-17

Play-by-play · 451 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 98·NY 137
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 98·NY 137
Q4·12.0
shot clock turnover
PHI 98·NY 137
Q4·35.9
Trendon Watford lost ball turnover (Landry Shamet steals)
·
PHI 98·NY 137
Q4·48.3
Ariel Hukporti makes dunk (Pacome Dadiet assists)
·
PHI 98·NY 137
Q4·49.4
Pacome Dadiet offensive rebound
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·52.0
Landry Shamet misses 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·1:11
Jabari Walker offensive goaltending turnover
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·1:32
Trendon Watford defensive rebound
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·1:35
Landry Shamet misses 25-foot three point jumper
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·1:43
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·1:46
Johni Broome misses 26-foot three point jumper
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·1:56
76ers Full timeout
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·1:56
Landry Shamet steps out of bounds turnover
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·2:18
Justin Edwards makes 25-foot three point jumper (Trendon Watford assists)
·
PHI 98·NY 135
Q4·2:39
Landry Shamet makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
PHI 95·NY 135
Q4·2:49
Trendon Watford makes 3-foot two point shot
PHI 95·NY 132
Q4·3:00
Pacome Dadiet makes 2-foot driving floating jump shot (Landry Shamet assists)
·
PHI 93·NY 132
Q4·3:22
Trendon Watford makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 93·NY 130
Q4·3:22
Trendon Watford makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 92·NY 130
Q4·3:22
Landry Shamet personal foul
PHI 91·NY 130
Q4·3:29
Mohamed Diawara makes 5-foot two point shot
PHI 91·NY 130
Q4·3:37
Jabari Walker personal foul
PHI 91·NY 128
Q4·3:45
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
PHI 91·NY 128
Q4·3:47
Justin Edwards misses free throw 2 of 2
PHI 91·NY 128
Q4·3:47
Justin Edwards makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 91·NY 128
Q4·3:47
Mohamed Diawara personal foul
PHI 90·NY 128
Q4·3:53
Johni Broome offensive rebound
PHI 90·NY 128
Q4·3:55
Ariel Hukporti blocks Jabari Walker 's 1-foot layup
·
PHI 90·NY 128
Q4·4:07
76ers defensive team rebound
PHI 90·NY 128

Betting line

NY -7.5·O/U 212.5·PHI +235/NY -290

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks held off Philadelphia 76ers, 137–98. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -7.5 cashed (won by 39). Total cleared the 212.5 OVER by 22.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 players in cohort

Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Joel EmbiidPHI · C
USG%34.399
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

65.4%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
67.1%
P(NY win)
35%
weight
Elo Recent
66.8%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Pace Efficiency
62.1%
P(NY win)
32%
weight

Disagreement

2.27 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

85% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs PHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

155

projections · 150 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Jaylen BrownPHI
26.6± 6.3high
Joel EmbiidPHI
25.3± 7.2high

Rebounds

Karl-Anthony TownsNY
10.8± 3.1high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Joel EmbiidPHI
8.0± 3.5high

Assists

LeBron JamesPHI
7.2± 2.6high
Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
5.9± 1.9high

Blocks

Joel EmbiidPHI
1.3± 1.4high
Adem BonaPHI
1.1± 1.3high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
LeBron JamesPHI
1.3± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

PHI

league avg

52.9%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

46.0%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.0%

114.3

PPG

114.9

▶

116.4

24.1

Assists / G

25.0

▶

27.0

12.8

Turnovers / G

14.0

12.7

Team pages

Philadelphia 76ersNew York Knicks

Elsewhere in the NBA

Timberwolves104Spurs102Final

Data via ESPN · hoopR